Economic Valuation of Travel Time Variability: Theoretical andEmpirical Study based on an Integrated Behavioral Model

• Project/Area Number: 23760475
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
• Allocation Type: Multi-year Fund
• Research Field: Civil engineering project/Traffic engineering
• Research Institution: Tokyo Institute of Technology
• Principal Investigator: FUKUDA Daisuke 東京工業大学, 大学院・理工学研究科, 准教授 (70334539)
• Project Period (FY): 2011 – 2012
• Project Status: Completed (Fiscal Year 2012)
• Budget Amount: ¥4,030,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥930,000); Fiscal Year 2012: ¥2,080,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥480,000); Fiscal Year 2011: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
• Keywords: 交通計画 / 交通行動分析 / プロジェクト評価 / 費用便益分析 / 交通工学 / 旅行時間信頼性 / 選好意識調査 / 大規模統計解析 / 不確実性下の意思決定

Research Abstract

In order to establish the basic framework of valuing travel time variability in congestible transportation facilities with an integrated behavioral model, this study examined the following sub-topics: (a) Extensions of the integrated model for the real situations; (b) Estimation of travel time distribution at route level by the convolution of link-level travel times; (c) Development of forecasting models of travel time variability; and (d) Survey design of stated choice questions and estimation of the value of travel time variability.

Research Products

• [Journal Article] Faster hyperpath generating algorithms for vehicle navigation (2013)
  • Author(s): Ma, J., Fukuda, D., Schmoecker, J.-D.
  • Journal Title: Transportmetrica Volume: in press Issue: 10 Pages: 925-948
  • DOI: 10.1080/18128602.2012.719165
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Process and context in choice models (2012)
  • Author(s): Ben-Akiva, M., De Palma, A., McFadden, D.,Abou-Zeid,M.,Chiappori,P.A.,De Lapparent,M.,Durlauf,S.N.,Fosgerau,M.,Fukuda,D.,Hess,S.,Manski, M.,Pakes,A.,Picard,N.,Walker,J.
  • Journal Title: MarketingLetters Volume: 23[2] Pages: 439-456
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Valuing travel time variability: characteristics of the travel time distribution on an urban road (2012)
  • Author(s): Fosgerau,M.,Fukuda,D.
  • Journal Title: Transportation Research Part Volume: C24 Pages: 83-101
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Accounting for interaction effects on the valuation of travel time variability (2012)
  • Author(s): Xiao,Y.,Fukuda,D.,Tanishita,M.,Matsuzaki,T.
  • Journal Title: Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Transportation Network Reliability Pages: 205-212
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Reliability-based vehicle routing on a light GIS platform (2012)
  • Author(s): Ma,J.,Fukuda,D.
  • Journal Title: Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Transportation Network Reliability Pages: 1061-1076
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Link-based route choice considering riskaversion, disappointment and regret (2012)
  • Author(s): Fonzone,A.,Schmocker,J.-D.,Ma,J.,Fukuda, D.
  • Journal Title: Transportation ResearchRecord Volume: 2322 Pages: 119-128
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Effects of traffic sensor location on traffic state estimation (2012)
  • Author(s): Hong, Z., Fukuda, D.
  • Journal Title: Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences Volume: 54 Pages: 1186-1196
  • DOI: 10.1016/j.sbspro.2012.09.833
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Process and context in choice models (2012)
  • Author(s): Ben-Akiva, M., De Palma, A., McFadden, D., Abou-Zeid, M., Chiappori, P.A., De Lapparent, M., Durlauf, S.N., Fosgerau, M., Fukuda, D., Hess, S., Manski, M., Pakes, A., Picard, N., Walker, J.
  • Journal Title: Marketing Letters Volume: 23 Issue: 2 Pages: 439-456
  • DOI: 10.1007/s11002-012-9180-7
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Valuing travel time variability: characteristics of the travel time distribution on an urban road (2012)
  • Author(s): Fosgerau, M., Fukuda, D.
  • Journal Title: Transportation Research Part C Volume: 24 Pages: 83-101
  • DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2012.02.008
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Accounting for interaction effects on the valuation of travel time variability (2012)
  • Author(s): Xiao, Y., Fukuda, D., Tanishita, M., Matsuzaki, T.
  • Journal Title: Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Transportation Network Reliability Pages: 205-212
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Reliability-based vehicle routing on a light GIS platform (2012)
  • Author(s): Ma, J., Fukuda, D.
  • Journal Title: Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Transportation Network Reliability Pages: 1061-1076
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Link-based route choice considering risk aversion, disappointment and regret (2012)
  • Author(s): Fonzone, A., Schmoecker, J.-D., Ma, J., Fukuda, D.
  • Journal Title: Transportation Research Record Volume: 2322 Issue: 1 Pages: 119-128
  • DOI: 10.3141/2322-13
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Evaluating hyperpath routing with GPSprobe data (2011)
  • Author(s): Ma,J.,Fukuda,D
  • Journal Title: Proceedings of the 16th HKSTS Conference Pages: 123-130
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Mobile phones and telecommuting: effects on trips and tours of Londoners (2011)
  • Author(s): Padayhag,G.U.,Schmocker,J.-D.,Fukuda,D.
  • Journal Title: Journal of Transport and Land Use Volume: 4[3] Pages: 23-41
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Faster hyperpath generating algorithms for vehicle navigation
  • Author(s): Ma,J.,Fukuda,D.,Schmocker,J.-D
  • Journal Title: Transportmetrica Volume: (掲載決定)
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Effects of traffic sensor location on traffic state estimation
  • Author(s): Hong,Z.,Fukuda,D.
  • Journal Title: Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences Volume: (掲載決定)
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Presentation] 離散-連続モデルの研究動向に関するレビュー (2012)
  • Author(s): 福田大輔,力石真
  • Organizer: 土木計画学研究講演集
• [Presentation] ETCデータを用いた旅行時間信頼性の予測方法に関する研究 (2012)
  • Author(s): 福田大輔,伊藤愛実
  • Organizer: 土木計画学研究講集
• [Presentation] プローブデータを用いた旅行時間信頼性の規定要因 (2012)
  • Author(s): 谷下雅義,横山将大,福田大輔
  • Organizer: 土木計画学研究講演集
• [Presentation] 混雑した都市鉄道における出発時刻選択モデルの構造推定:ゲーム理論に基づいた実証研究 (2012)
  • Author(s): 松村杏子,武藤滋夫,福田大輔,柳沼秀樹
  • Organizer: 土木計画学研究講演集
• [Presentation] 計画停電が首都圏鉄道ネットワークの利便性に及ぼした影響のモデル分析 (2012)
  • Author(s): 藤田亮祐,柳沼秀樹,福田大輔
  • Organizer: 土木計画学研究講演集
• [Presentation] An extended scheduling model incorporating probability weight and risk attitude for valuation of traveltime variability (2012)
  • Author(s): Xiao,Y.,Fukuda,D.
  • Organizer: Kuhmo Nectar Transport Economics Conference
• [Presentation] 離散-連続モデルの研究動向に関するレビュー (2012)
  • Author(s): 福田大輔, 力石真
  • Organizer: 土木計画学研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 埼玉大学
• [Presentation] ETCデータを用いた旅行時間信頼性の予測方法に関する研究 (2012)
  • Author(s): 福田大輔, 伊藤愛実
  • Organizer: 土木計画学研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 京都大学
• [Presentation] プローブデータを用いた旅行時間信頼性の規定要因 (2012)
  • Author(s): 谷下雅義, 横山将大, 福田大輔
  • Organizer: 土木計画学研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 京都大学
• [Presentation] 混雑した都市鉄道における出発時刻選択モデルの構造推定：ゲーム理論に基づいた実証研究 (2012)
  • Author(s): 松村杏子, 武藤滋夫, 福田大輔, 柳沼秀樹
  • Organizer: 土木計画学研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 京都大学
• [Presentation] 計画停電が首都圏鉄道ネットワークの利便性に及ぼした影響のモデル分析 (2012)
  • Author(s): 藤田亮祐,柳沼秀樹,福田大輔
  • Organizer: 土木計画学研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 京都大学
• [Presentation] An extended scheduling model incorporating probability weight and risk attitude for valuation of travel time variability (2012)
  • Author(s): Xiao, Y., Fukuda, D.
  • Organizer: Kuhmo Nectar Transport Economics Conference
  • Place of Presentation: ベルリン・ドイツ