Modelling of International Cargo Transportation Firm Behavior and Trade Estimation for Evaluating Port/Maritime/Trade Policies

• Project/Area Number: 23760487
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
• Allocation Type: Multi-year Fund
• Research Field: Civil engineering project/Traffic engineering
• Research Institution: Kobe University
• Principal Investigator: ISHIGURO KAZUHIKO 神戸大学, 海事科学研究科(研究院), 准教授 (60282034)
• Project Period (FY): 2011 – 2013
• Project Status: Completed (Fiscal Year 2013)
• Budget Amount: ¥3,250,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥750,000); Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000); Fiscal Year 2012: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000); Fiscal Year 2011: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
• Keywords: 多地域応用一般均衡モデル / 物流業 / ロジットモデル / 港湾選択モデル / ネットワーク配分モデル / 運輸業 / 国際輸送 / 国内輸送 / 運賃

Research Abstract

This study developed three models of cargo transportation. The models were assessed reproducibility and validity. (1) A spatial computable equilibrium model was developed. A cargo transportation firm behavior and a freight mechanism is included in the model. The model was applied to estimating impacts of transportation market changes and policies such as an increase of ship size and deregulation of cabotage. (2) Shippers' port choice behavior models were developed by considering vessel calling schedule. The model were applied to estimating impacts of a new calling service by a day of the week and an abolition of incentives to calling and/or shipment at a particular port. (3) Cargo transportation assignment model was developed. Economy of scale at container terminal is expressed in the model. The model was applied to estimating impacts of an increase of ship size and a soaring fuel price.

Research Products

• [Journal Article] リバース・ロジスティクス効率化効果推計モデル (2014)
  • Author(s): 石黒一彦
  • Journal Title: 内航海運研究 Volume: Vol.3 Pages: 31-40
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] カボタージュ規制緩和が地域経済および内航需要量に与える影響 (2013)
  • Author(s): 石黒一彦
  • Journal Title: 内航海運研究 Volume: Vol.2 Pages: 43-54
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 多地域応用一般均衡モデルを用いた船員問題の分析 (2012)
  • Author(s): 石黒一彦
  • Journal Title: 内航海運研究 Volume: Vol.1 Pages: 11-19
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Presentation] Container Cargo Transportation Model including Multi-Layer Transportation Network and Economy of Scale (2014)
  • Author(s): Kazuhiko Ishiguro
  • Organizer: International Association of Maritime Economists Conference 2014
  • Place of Presentation: Norfolk, USA
• [Presentation] 規模の経済と多層ネットワークを考慮した海上コンテナ輸送モデルの開発と適用 (2013)
  • Author(s): 石黒一彦
  • Organizer: 第48回土木計画学研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 大阪
  • Year and Date: 2013-11-02
• [Presentation] Asian Container Cargo Transportation Model including Multi-Layer Transportation Network and Economy of Scale (2013)
  • Author(s): Kazuhiko Ishiguro and Pitu Mirchandani
  • Organizer: 10^<th> Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies
  • Place of Presentation: Taipei(台湾)
  • Year and Date: 2013-09-09
• [Presentation] Economic Effect of International Transportation Infrastructure Development on a Landlocked Region (2013)
  • Author(s): Rujun Jin and Kazuhiko Ishiguro
  • Organizer: The 6th International Conference of Asian Shipping and Logistics
  • Place of Presentation: 神戸
  • Year and Date: 2013-08-31
• [Presentation] 配船スケジュールを考慮した荷主の港湾選択行動分析 (2013)
  • Author(s): 茅野宏人・石黒一彦
  • Organizer: 第47回土木計画学研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 広島
  • Year and Date: 2013-06-01
• [Presentation] Equilibrium Model for Analysis on Opening and Improving Transportation Routes (2012)
  • Author(s): Kazuhiko Ishiguro and Pitu Mirchandani
  • Organizer: INFORMS Annual Meeting
  • Place of Presentation: Phoenix(アメリカ合衆国)
  • Year and Date: 2012-10-14
• [Presentation] Equilibrium Model for Analysis on Opening and Improving Transportation Routes (2012)
  • Author(s): Kazuhiko Ishiguro
  • Organizer: INFORMS 2012
  • Place of Presentation: Phoenix Convention Center, AZ, USA
• [Presentation] 配船スケジュールを考慮した荷主の港湾選択行動分析
  • Author(s): 茅野宏人
  • Organizer: 第47回土木計画学研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 広島
• [Presentation] Economic Effect of International Transportation Infrastructure Development on a Landlocked Region
  • Author(s): Rujun Jin
  • Organizer: The 6th International Conference of Asian Shipping and Logistics
  • Place of Presentation: 神戸
• [Presentation] Asian Container Cargo Transportation Model including Multi-Layer Transportation Network and Economy of Scale
  • Author(s): Kazuhiko Ishiguro
  • Organizer: The 10th Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies Conference
  • Place of Presentation: Taipei, Taiwan
• [Book] 内航海運 (2014)
  • Author(s): 森隆行，石田信博，松尾俊彦，永岩健一郎，石黒一彦，李志明
  • Total Pages: 160
  • Publisher: 晃洋書房