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Developing a Global Model for Flood Susceptibility Mapping Using Machine Learning

Research Project

Project/Area Number 23K04328
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 25030:Disaster prevention engineering-related
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

AHMED M.Saber  京都大学, 防災研究所, 特定准教授 (00818403)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 角 哲也  京都大学, 防災研究所, 教授 (40311732)
カントウシュ サメ・アハメド  京都大学, 防災研究所, 教授 (70750800)
Project Period (FY) 2023-04-01 – 2026-03-31
Project Status Granted (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,810,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,110,000)
Fiscal Year 2025: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2024: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥2,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥570,000)
Keywordsglobal Model / Machine Learning / Flood susceptibility
Outline of Research at the Start

The main outlines of the research plan:
1. Data Acquisition and Processing (identifying flood and non-flood locations)
2. Machine Learning algorithms (Model training and testing including accuracy assessment)
3. Flood susceptibility Mapping & global function(updating model and enhancement the results)

Outline of Annual Research Achievements

The project goal is to develop a Global Flood Susceptibility Map (GFSM) by using the Machine Learning (ML) model. Up to date, we have examined machine learning algorism in 10 case studies. Then we used cross-validation among the case studies from Japan (Four cases), USA (three Cases), Indonesia (One case), Egypt (One case), Vietnam (One Case), Saudi Arabia (One Case). Now we are comparing the different developed ML functions to be selected to develop the global map.
Within the current year, we are going to develop the first draft of the global flood susceptibility map.

Current Status of Research Progress
Current Status of Research Progress

1: Research has progressed more than it was originally planned.

Reason

We have already conducted the research plan for last year, by collecting datasets, and run the models on several case studies, and now we are working on developing the best function for flood susceptibility map.

The first draft of our planned global map is expected very soon. The accuracy of the model and results are acceptable.

Strategy for Future Research Activity

The plan as follows:
1. Applying the developed ML model to the collected case studies: Japan (four cases), USA (three cases), Indonesia (one case), Egypt (one case), Vietnam (one Case), Saudi Arabia (One Case).
2. Training and testing by the cross-validation method for all cases.
3. The best function will be used to develop the first draft map for the world.

Report

(1 results)
  • 2023 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (7 results)

All 2024 2023

All Journal Article (1 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 1 results) Presentation (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results) Funded Workshop (3 results)

  • [Journal Article] Enhancing flood risk assessment through integration of ensemble learning approaches and physical-based hydrological modeling2023

    • Author(s)
      Saber Mohamed、Boulmaiz Tayeb、Guermoui Mawloud、Abdrabo Karim I.、Kantoush Sameh A.、Sumi Tetsuya、Boutaghane Hamouda、Hori Tomoharu、Binh Doan Van、Nguyen Binh Quang、Bui Thao T. P.、Vo Ngoc Duong、Habib Emad、Mabrouk Emad
    • Journal Title

      Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk

      Volume: 14 Pages: 1-38

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Machine Learning Approaches and Hydrological Modeling for Flood Risk Assessment2024

    • Author(s)
      Mohamed Saber*, Sameh A. Kantoush, Tetsuya Sumi, Emad Mabrouk
    • Organizer
      2nd International Conference Water Resources Management & Sustainability: Solutions for Arid Regions, Dubai, UAE
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Machine Learning for Predicating Flood Inundation in Comparison with Hydrological Models2023

    • Author(s)
      Mohamed Saber, Tayeb Boulmaiz, Sameh A. Kantoush, Tetsuya Sumi, Mawloud Guermoui, Karim I. Abdrabo, Hamouda Boutaghane, Doan Van Binh, Binh Quang Nguyen, Thao T. P. Bui, Emad Habib, Emad Mabrouk
    • Organizer
      the 40th IAHR World Congress, Vienna, Austria
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Machine Learning Approaches and Hydrological Modeling approach for Flood risk mapping2023

    • Author(s)
      Mohamed Saber, Sameh A. Kantoush, Tetsuya Sumi
    • Organizer
      DPRI annual meeting, Kyoto university, Japan
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
  • [Funded Workshop] 2nd International Conference Water Resources Management & Sustainability: Solutions for Arid Regions, Dubai, UAE2024

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
  • [Funded Workshop] 40th IAHR World Congress Vienna-Austria2023

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
  • [Funded Workshop] 7th ISFF2023, Algeria2023

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report

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Published: 2023-04-13   Modified: 2024-12-25  

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