| Project/Area Number |
23K12458
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists
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| Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
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| Review Section |
Basic Section 07040:Economic policy-related
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| Research Institution | Akita University |
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Principal Investigator |
Wan Jiangyun (WanYunyun) 秋田大学, 教育文化学部, 講師 (30769914)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2023-04-01 – 2026-03-31
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| Project Status |
Granted (Fiscal Year 2023)
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| Budget Amount *help |
¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2025: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Fiscal Year 2024: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
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| Keywords | Immigration / unemployment / crimes / deportation / immigration policy / crime / Japan / labor shortage |
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| Outline of Research at the Start |
To study the effect of immigration, a theoretical model featuring unemployment and crime is constructed. Then its parameters are calibrated and the effects on welfare as well as the unemployed, wages, and crime rates are calculated. An analysis of policy implications concludes the project.
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| Outline of Annual Research Achievements |
I worked with my co-author on the model of undocumented immigration with a specific focus on unemployment and crimes. It is a dynamic model in which unskilled native workers compete for jobs with immigrants in one or a group of industries. After developing the model, we examined the effect of raising minimum wages, implementing an anti-crime policy, and deporting immigrants who commit crimes. We found that the deportation and anti-crime policy can potentially increase the immigrant population, despite the contrary presumption. Raising minimum wages can also increase the number of employed workers, although additions to the labor force are due to immigration.
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| Current Status of Research Progress |
Current Status of Research Progress
2: Research has progressed on the whole more than it was originally planned.
Reason
We have made much progress in developing of the basic model and interpretation of policy experiments. The main progress is due to the proof that the key variables of the model take steady-state equilibrium values without transition dynamic paths. This discovery has facilitated the proof of the existence of equilibria and evaluations of policy experiments.
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| Strategy for Future Research Activity |
We have our first draft of the paper. My immediate goal is to revise and keep revising the draft so as to present it at seminars and economic conferences to get feedback from other economists until it becomes good enough to be submitted to an economic journal for publication. After completing and submitting the paper, I will modify the model to make it fit the Japanese industries and then get quantitative estimates of policy experiments.
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