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Global Governance in the Age of Cyber-Physical Fusion: Toward Sustainable Peace

Research Project

Project/Area Number 23K22087
Project/Area Number (Other) 22H00815 (2022-2023)
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund (2024)
Single-year Grants (2022-2023)
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 06020:International relations-related
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

阪本 拓人  東京大学, 大学院総合文化研究科, 教授 (40456182)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 久保田 徳仁  防衛大学校(総合教育学群、人文社会科学群、応用科学群、電気情報学群及びシステム工学群), 人文社会科学群, 准教授 (00545858)
キハラハント 愛  東京大学, 大学院総合文化研究科, 教授 (10806459)
村瀬 洋介  国立研究開発法人理化学研究所, 計算科学研究センター, 研究員 (30709770)
大石 晃史  東京外国語大学, 現代アフリカ地域研究センター, 研究員 (60814944)
Project Period (FY) 2022-04-01 – 2025-03-31
Project Status Granted (Fiscal Year 2024)
Budget Amount *help
¥17,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2024: ¥5,070,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,170,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥5,460,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,260,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥6,890,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,590,000)
Keywordsグローバル・ガバナンス / 計算社会科学 / サイバーフィジカル融合 / 国際連合 / サイバーセキュリティ
Outline of Research at the Start

実空間とサイバー空間の融合,すなわち「サイバーフィジカル融合」の進展は,地球規模の課題に対する国際社会の取り組みにいかなる変革をもたらしているのであろうか.本研究では,武力紛争や人道危機に対する国際社会,特に国連の対応に焦点をあて,この問題に取り組む.具体的には,紛争や人道危機が,実空間とサイバー空間の両面でいかに展開し,こうした展開に国際社会の主要な主体がいかに対応しているのかを,既存のデータソースに加え,SNSでの情報発信・伝達を分析することで体系的に明らかにする.さらに,SNS等の情報源活用に関する政策決定者の認識を把握するため,国連等でインタビュー調査も行う.

Outline of Annual Research Achievements

今年度も昨年度に続き,大学院生RAの研究補助のもと,国連研究やオンライン外交,SNSと国際関係といった関連分野の文献の収集と検討を行うとともに,国連安保理の公式会合のデータセット(各会合の基本情報および各国/機関代表による発言のテキスト等から構成)の整備とアップデートを進めた.また,このデータセットを使って安保理における安全保障言説の変容を分析した研究代表者の論文も,International Studies Quarterly誌に掲載された.
このように従来の研究作業を推進する傍ら,今年度は新たな研究作業にも着手した.すなわち国連安保理での政策討議と,こうした討議を行う外交官らがオンラインで発するメッセージとの比較である.そのため,各国の国連常駐代表部や国連本体のX(旧ツイッター)アカウントのSNS投稿データを大量に購入し,大規模テキスト分析の手法を駆使して,上述の安保理会合のデータセットに収められた安保理議場での発言の記録と体系的に比較した.そして,探索的な分析の結果をRAたちと共著論文"How different are offline and online diplomacy? A comparative analysis of public statements and SNS posts by delegates to the United Nations"にまとめ,Frontiers in Big Data誌に投稿した.同論文はR&Rを経て査読を通り,2024年度に掲載予定である.
そのほか,研究分担者たちも人権や国際人道法,国連平和活動の分野(キハラハント),社会的ジレンマやゲーム理論の研究(村瀬)などの多方面で引き続き顕著な業績をあげている.

Current Status of Research Progress
Current Status of Research Progress

2: Research has progressed on the whole more than it was originally planned.

Reason

本研究課題で当初から大きな目的に掲げていたグローバル・ガバナンスにおけるサイバーフィジカル・プロセスのデータ取得と分析にようやく着手することができたのは大きな進展である.他方で,国連でのこうしたプロセスに対する認識を問うインタビュー調査は実施できていない.

Strategy for Future Research Activity

引き続き研究組織内のコミュニケーションを密に図りつつ,RAの助けも得ながら着実に研究計画の実施に努めたい.特に今年度手をつけた安保理討議とSNS投稿との比較は,研究デザインのさらなる洗練を図りつつ本格的に分析を展開していく予定である.以上を最優先課題としつつ,インタビュー調査についても引き続き実施の機会を積極的に探っていきたい.

Report

(2 results)
  • 2023 Annual Research Report
  • 2022 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (49 results)

All 2024 2023 2022

All Journal Article (9 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results,  Peer Reviewed: 8 results,  Open Access: 7 results) Presentation (35 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 19 results,  Invited: 6 results) Book (5 results)

  • [Journal Article] Threat Conceptions in Global Security Discourse: Analyzing the Speech Records of the United Nations Security Council, 1990?20192023

    • Author(s)
      Sakamoto Takuto
    • Journal Title

      International Studies Quarterly

      Volume: 67 Issue: 3

    • DOI

      10.1093/isq/sqad067

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] The Evolution of Monitoring: Evidence from Text Analysis of Election Monitoring Reports2023

    • Author(s)
      Yukawa Taku、Sakamoto Takuto
    • Journal Title

      Foreign Policy Analysis

      Volume: 20 Issue: 1 Pages: 1-12

    • DOI

      10.1093/fpa/orad034

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Indirect reciprocity with stochastic and dual reputation updates2023

    • Author(s)
      Murase Yohsuke、Hilbe Christian
    • Journal Title

      PLOS Computational Biology

      Volume: 19 Issue: 7 Pages: e1011271-e1011271

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011271

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Grouping promotes both partnership and rivalry with long memory in direct reciprocity2023

    • Author(s)
      Murase Yohsuke、Baek Seung Ki
    • Journal Title

      PLOS Computational Biology

      Volume: 19 Issue: 6 Pages: e1011228-e1011228

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011228

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Evolution of global development cooperation: An analysis of aid flows with hierarchical stochastic blockmodels2022

    • Author(s)
      K. Oishi, H. Ito, Y. Murase, H. Takikawa, and T. Sakamoto
    • Journal Title

      PLoS ONE

      Volume: 17 Issue: 8 Pages: e0272440-e0272440

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pone.0272440

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] State of the Civil War in the Phantom State: Integration and Fragmentation among Armed Groups in the Central African Republic Since 20052022

    • Author(s)
      Hosoi Tomohiro、Ito Hiroto、Oishi Koji
    • Journal Title

      SSRN Electronic Journal

      Volume: 該当しない

    • DOI

      10.2139/ssrn.4303666

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Evolution of direct reciprocity in group-structured populations2022

    • Author(s)
      Murase Yohsuke、Hilbe Christian、Baek Seung Ki
    • Journal Title

      Scientific Reports

      Volume: 12 Issue: 1 Pages: 18645-18645

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41598-022-23467-4

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] A second-order stability analysis for the continuous model of indirect reciprocity2022

    • Author(s)
      Lee Sanghun、Murase Yohsuke、Baek Seung Ki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Theoretical Biology

      Volume: 548 Pages: 111202-111202

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jtbi.2022.111202

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Violating Peace: Sex, Aid and Peacekeeping2022

    • Author(s)
      Kihara-Hunt Ai
    • Journal Title

      International Peacekeeping

      Volume: 10 Dec 2022 Issue: 4 Pages: 1-3

    • DOI

      10.1080/13533312.2022.2154207

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Response: Human Rights and Global Diversity2024

    • Author(s)
      Ai Kihara-Hunt
    • Organizer
      University of Tokyo - Leiden University Owada Chair
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 単純二項対立ではない評価による間接互恵性2024

    • Author(s)
      村瀬洋介
    • Organizer
      ワークショップ:ヒトの協力行動の理解 ー間接互恵性とその周辺ー
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Structural balance of alliance and rivalry networks in international relations2024

    • Author(s)
      Koji Oishi and Kentaro Sakuwa
    • Organizer
      AROB-ISBC-SWARM 2024
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] グローバル社会のリスクを分析する2023

    • Author(s)
      阪本拓人
    • Organizer
      東京大学デジタルオブザーバトリ研究推進機構発足記念フォーラム「2050年を見据えたレジリエントな社会の実現に向けて」
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 冷戦後の国連安保理における政策討議の体系的分析:「平和に対する脅威」の概念を中心に2023

    • Author(s)
      阪本拓人
    • Organizer
      国際関係論研究会第208回定例研究会
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大規模テキスト分析をいかに生かすか:国際関係・紛争研究への適用を中心に2023

    • Author(s)
      阪本拓人
    • Organizer
      京都大学アジア経済発展論研究会セミナー(AEDS)
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 紛争と危機のシミュレーション2023

    • Author(s)
      阪本拓人
    • Organizer
      日本オペレーションズ・リサーチ学会 第10回「危機管理と公衆安全」研究部会
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 社会科学分野におけるオープンデータの活用:国際関係・人間の安全保障への適用事例を中心に2023

    • Author(s)
      阪本拓人
    • Organizer
      日本学術会議主催 学術フォーラム「オープンサイエンス、データ駆動型研究が変える科学と社会」
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Resilience under Strain: Spatial Dimensions of 'Farmer-Herder Conflict' in the Sahel2023

    • Author(s)
      Takuto Sakamoto
    • Organizer
      Hitotsubashi Summer Institute (HSI) 2023: Economic Development
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] ニアメのフルベ:都市で生きる牧民の調査2023

    • Author(s)
      阪本拓人
    • Organizer
      日本アフリカ学会第60回学術大会
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Sexual Exploitation and Abuse in UN Peace Operations2023

    • Author(s)
      Ai Kihara-Hunt
    • Organizer
      Women, Peace and Security Workshop
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 国際法から見たガザ情勢2023

    • Author(s)
      キハラハント愛
    • Organizer
      ガザ紛争を考える:イスラエル、パレスチナと国際社会はどうなるか (中東学会他主催)
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Analysis of the UN Universal Periodic Review2023

    • Author(s)
      Ai Kihara-Hunt
    • Organizer
      Model UN Universal Periodic Review
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] People on the Move under Refugee Law and International Humanitarian Law2023

    • Author(s)
      Ai Kihara-Hunt
    • Organizer
      Asian University for Women-University of Tokyo Symposium “Empowering Migrants, Immigrants and Refugees”
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] People on the Move under Human Rights Law2023

    • Author(s)
      Ai Kihara-Hunt
    • Organizer
      Asian University for Women-University of Tokyo Symposium “Empowering Migrants, Immigrants and Refugees”
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Human Rights Protection for Migrants2023

    • Author(s)
      Ai Kihara-Hunt
    • Organizer
      Borderland Conference
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Mapping Accountability in UN Peace Operations2023

    • Author(s)
      Ai Kihara-Hunt
    • Organizer
      Academic Council on the United Nations System (ACUNS)
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Friendly-Rival Strategies for the Iterated Prisoner’s Dilemma2023

    • Author(s)
      Murase Yohsuke
    • Organizer
      CCP2023 - 34th IUPAP Conference on Computational Physics
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Indirect reciprocity with stochastic and dual reputation updates2023

    • Author(s)
      Murase Yohsuke
    • Organizer
      Collective Phenomena in complex systems: problems inspired by Ecology and Evolution (CoPhEE2023)
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 確率的および双方向的な評判更新による間接互恵性2023

    • Author(s)
      村瀬洋介
    • Organizer
      2023年度日本数理生物学会年会
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 確率的および双方向的な評判更新による間接互恵性2023

    • Author(s)
      村瀬洋介
    • Organizer
      日本物理学会第78回年次大会
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] HPCを用いた進化ゲーム理論研究2023

    • Author(s)
      村瀬洋介
    • Organizer
      HPCIC 計算科学フォーラム
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Indirect reciprocity beyond dichotomic reputation updates2023

    • Author(s)
      Murase Yohsuke
    • Organizer
      Complex Systems Research Exchange
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Friendly Rival Strategies for iterated Prisoner's Dilemma2023

    • Author(s)
      Murase Yohsuke
    • Organizer
      RHINOS
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 間接互恵性における非バイナリ評価モデル:私的評価問題の解決をめざして2023

    • Author(s)
      村瀬洋介
    • Organizer
      ゲーム理論ワークショップ2023
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Perspectives of Global South Agency in International Politics2023

    • Author(s)
      Kihara-Hunt Ai
    • Organizer
      International Studies Association
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Evolution of Individual Legal Accountability Framework for Sexual Exploitation and Abuse in UN Peace Operations2023

    • Author(s)
      Kihara-Hunt Ai
    • Organizer
      International Studies Association
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 社会科学分野におけるオープンデータの活用:国際関係・人間の安全保障への適用事例を中心に2022

    • Author(s)
      阪本拓人
    • Organizer
      日本学術会議オープンサイエンス・データ利活用推進小委員会(第25期・第10回)
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Meta-modeling of an Agent-Based Social Network Model2022

    • Author(s)
      Murase Yohsuke
    • Organizer
      4th International Workshop on Agent-Based Modelling of Human Behaviour (ABMHuB'22)
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 間接互恵における 3 種のラベルを用いた場合の進化的安定戦略2022

    • Author(s)
      村瀬洋介
    • Organizer
      日本数理生物学会 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Successful social norms in indirect reciprocity with ternary reputations2022

    • Author(s)
      Murase Yohsuke et al.
    • Organizer
      Roles of Heterogeneity in Nonequilibrium Collective Dynamics 2022 (RHINO2022)
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Successful social norms in indirect reciprocity with ternary reputations2022

    • Author(s)
      Murase Yohsuke et al.
    • Organizer
      Conference on Complex Systems
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Asian Perspectives on the Role of the UN in Intensifying Global Challenges2022

    • Author(s)
      Kihara-Hunt Ai
    • Organizer
      国連システム学術評議会 年次会: Evidence-Based Solutions for Intensifying Global Challenges
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Handbook on Governance2022

    • Author(s)
      Kihara-Hunt Ai
    • Organizer
      国連システム学術評議会 年次会: Evidence-Based Solutions for Intensifying Global Challenges
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Evolution of Individual Legal Accountability Framework for Sexual Exploitation and Abuse at UN Peace Operations2022

    • Author(s)
      キハラハント愛
    • Organizer
      グローバルガバナンス学会第15回研究大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Reconsidering Resilience in African Pastoralism: Towards a Relational and Contextual Approach2023

    • Author(s)
      Shinya Konaka, Greta Semplici, Peter D. Little, Takuto Sakamoto, and others
    • Total Pages
      383
    • Publisher
      Trans Pacific Press
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Multidisciplinary Futures of UN Peace Operations2023

    • Author(s)
      Alexandar Gioder, David Curran, Georgina Holmes, Fifi Edu-Afful, Kihara-Hunt Ai、Burke Roisin, and others
    • Total Pages
      298
    • Publisher
      Palgrave Macmillan
    • ISBN
      3031385950
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Handbook on Governance in International Organizations2023

    • Author(s)
      Alistair Edgar, Ai Kihara-Hunt, and others
    • Total Pages
      369
    • Publisher
      Edward Edgar Publishing
    • ISBN
      1800884923
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] ようこそアフリカ世界へ2022

    • Author(s)
      遠藤貢、阪本拓人
    • Total Pages
      272
    • Publisher
      昭和堂
    • ISBN
      4812221285
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] アフリカ潜在力のカレイドスコープ2022

    • Author(s)
      落合 雄彦、松田 素二、浜田 明範、平野(野元) 美佐、佐藤 千鶴子、松本 尚之、中村 香子、佐久間 寛、阪本 拓人
    • Total Pages
      256
    • Publisher
      晃洋書房
    • ISBN
      4771036608
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2022-04-19   Modified: 2024-12-25  

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