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Largescale numerical investigation on the potential of MTL to produce supershear earthquakes

Research Project

Project/Area Number 23K22843
Project/Area Number (Other) 22H01573 (2022-2023)
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund (2024)
Single-year Grants (2022-2023)
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 22020:Structure engineering and earthquake engineering-related
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

Maddegedar a.L.  東京大学, 地震研究所, 准教授 (20426290)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 加藤 愛太郎  東京大学, 地震研究所, 教授 (20359201)
Project Period (FY) 2022-04-01 – 2026-03-31
Project Status Granted (Fiscal Year 2024)
Budget Amount *help
¥15,860,000 (Direct Cost: ¥12,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,660,000)
Fiscal Year 2025: ¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2024: ¥5,980,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,380,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥3,380,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥780,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥2,730,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥630,000)
KeywordsFault rupture / complex geometry / consistent stress / super-shear rupture / effect of geometry / high fidelity models / fault rupture / large sclae simulations / super-shear / PDS-FEM / far-field boundary / off-fault damage zone / visco-plasticity / rupture speed / sub-Rayleigh / far-field loading / MTL / HPC
Outline of Research at the Start

Though earthquake generating faults have geometrically complex structure, existing simulations use simple geometric models. Further, the initial stress of standard models is incompatible with fault geometry and material distribution. Both this geometric simplification and incompatible initial stress can make the standard models diverge from the response of the natural faults. We plan to compare geometrically complex model with consistent stress and standard model to quantify the difference in their responses to demonstrate the importance of geometric complexities.

Outline of Annual Research Achievements

As planned, we performed large scale simulations of the rupture of the Palu-Koro fault under the initial conditions corresponding to the 2018 event and reproduced the corresponding super-shear rupture. We showed that the initial stress and frictional properties have a significant influence on the nature of the rupture, such as when a rupture jumps to neighboring faults, by simulating several 2D multiple fault systems. We developed two geometric models of the median tectonic line. The first model is based on the data provided by J-SHIS. Although this is the standard model, it is highly simplified. Therefore, we generated an accurate geometric model based on fault trace data from the Geological Survey of Japan (GSJ), and preliminary simulations were performed on coarse mesh models.

Current Status of Research Progress
Current Status of Research Progress

2: Research has progressed on the whole more than it was originally planned.

Reason

We successfully completed all the tasks planned for FY2023 except SCEC benchmark verification. The reason for this exception is the difficulty of reproducing the artificial initial stresses of the SCEC benchmarks using far-field boundary conditions. To prevent this from hampering our progress, we verified our simulations by reproducing some theoretically expected behavior. We have automated the tedious and time-consuming task of geometric modelling and mesh refinement using fault trace data as input. This allows us to easily correct our models or generate models for other faults. We have submitted two papers to AGU Journal of Geophysical Research and Computational Mechanics by Springer. Successful completion of all planned tasks led us to conclude that the research has progressed well.

Strategy for Future Research Activity

We plan to identify the far-field boundary conditions required to trigger different rupture patterns on a coarse mesh, and simulate fine mesh models of both the simplified fault geometry from J-SHIS data and the detailed geometry from GSJ data. These two simulations will be compared to highlight the importance of using detailed fault models and setting the initial stress consistent with the complex fault geometry and distribution of nonlinear materials. Further, we plan to study the rupture characteristics under heterogeneous distribution of friction parameters. We plan to make another attempt at verification using SCEC benchmark tests to build confidence. Code performance on ARM A64FX based Wisteria supercomputer will be improved since the Oakbridge system has been decommissioned.

Report

(2 results)
  • 2023 Annual Research Report
  • 2022 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (8 results)

All 2023 2022

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Peer Reviewed: 1 results,  Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (5 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results)

  • [Journal Article] A Novel Implicit Stress Integration Algorithm and its Verification Using von Mises and Drucker Prager Plasticity2023

    • Author(s)
      Dharmasiri M. A. K. M.、Lalith Maddegedara、Fujita Kohei、Ichimura Tsuyoshi、Hori Muneo
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 15th International Conference on Computer Modeling and Simulation

      Volume: - Pages: 63-71

    • DOI

      10.1145/3608251.3608283

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Formulation of a Novel Implicit Stress Integration Algorithm based on Plastic Consistency Parameter and its Verification Using von Mises Plasticity2022

    • Author(s)
      Migel Arachchillage Kasun Madusanka Dharmasiri, Maddegedara Lalith, Kohei Fujita, Tsuyoshi Ichimura, Muneo Hori
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Computational Methods

      Volume: 9 Pages: 186203-186203

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Application of PDS-FEM to simulate high-power LASER induced cracking2022

    • Author(s)
      Maddegedara Lalith, Muhammad Naveed Akram, Mahendra Kumar Pal, Elia Nicolin, Yosuke Kawahito, Toshihiro Kameda and Muneo Hori
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Computational Methods

      Volume: 9 Pages: 172185-172185

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Modified Fully Implicit Cutting Plane Method Based Stress Integration Algorithm and Its Verification Using Drucker Prager Model2023

    • Author(s)
      Dharmasiri, M. A. K. M., Maddegedara Lalith, Kohei Fujita, Tsuyoshi Ichimura, and Muneo Hori.
    • Organizer
      17th International Conference on Computational Plasticity (COMPLAS 2023). Barcelona, Spain
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A Novel Fully Implicit Algorithm for Integrating the Rate Form of Plasticity and Its Verification Using von Mises Plasticity2023

    • Author(s)
      Dharmasiri, M. A. K. M., Maddegedara Lalith, Kohei Fujita, Tsuyoshi Ichimura, and Muneo Hori
    • Organizer
      The Sixth Australasian Conference on Computational Mechanics. Melbourne, Australia
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A Novel Implicit Stress Integration Algorithm and Its Verification Using von Mises and Drucker Prager Plasticity2023

    • Author(s)
      Dharmasiri, M. A. K. M., Maddegedara Lalith, Kohei Fujita, Tsuyoshi Ichimura, and Muneo Hori.
    • Organizer
      The 15th International Conference on Computer Modeling and Simulation, Dalian China
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Formulation of a Novel Implicit Stress Integration Algorithm based on Plastic Consistency Parameter and its Verification Using von Mises Plasticity2022

    • Author(s)
      Migel Arachchillage Kasun Madusanka Dharmasiri
    • Organizer
      13th International Conference on Computational Methods
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Application of PDS-FEM to simulate high-power LASER induced cracking2022

    • Author(s)
      Maddegedara Lalith
    • Organizer
      13th International Conference on Computational Methods
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

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Published: 2022-04-19   Modified: 2024-12-25  

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