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The Development of Agent-based Simulation Methodology for Empirical Research of International Relations

Research Project

Project/Area Number 24243023
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field International relations
Research InstitutionAoyama Gakuin University

Principal Investigator

YAMAKAGE Susumu  青山学院大学, 国際政治経済学部, 教授 (10115959)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) ENDO Mitsugi  東京大学, 大学院総合文化研究科, 教授 (70251311)
SAKAMOTO Takuto  独立行政法人日本貿易振興機構アジア経済研究所, 地域研究センター, 研究員 (40456182)
MITSUTSUJI Katsuma  東京大学, 大学院総合文化研究科, 研究員 (30647441)
Research Collaborator SUZUKI Kazutoshi  
YUKAWA Taku  
ITO Gaku  
KAI Ayako  
TSUCHIYAMA Jitsuo  
AOI Chiyuki  
Project Period (FY) 2012-10-31 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥35,750,000 (Direct Cost: ¥27,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥8,250,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥7,540,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,740,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥11,050,000 (Direct Cost: ¥8,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,550,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥8,970,000 (Direct Cost: ¥6,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,070,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥8,190,000 (Direct Cost: ¥6,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,890,000)
Keywords国際関係 / 政治学 / 社会科学方法論 / シミュレーション / マルチエージェントモデル / 人工社会 / 自己組織化 / 複雑系 / 分析方法論 / 安全保障 / 内戦 / 治安 / 国際規範
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Beyond getting insight and analogy through the simplified and abstract models according to “KISS” principle, we built agent-based (multi-agent) models for empirical research that relate to the target phenomena in more straightforward way. The model shows the agents whose traits and properties are consistent with empirical evidence behave like the entities in the real world with simple rules. We replicated the pastoral people in African developing countries, insurgent groups in Afghanistan, and European great powers up to the time of the first world war, in order to reveal the micro-mechanism that exist behind the phenomena. Through the agent-based models, we could get non-trivial implications about the international relations at various levels. We suggest the multi-agent modeling as a useful methodology for international studies.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Annual Research Report
  • 2013 Annual Research Report
  • 2012 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (49 results)

All 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 Other

All Journal Article (23 results) (of which Acknowledgement Compliant: 12 results,  Peer Reviewed: 10 results,  Open Access: 6 results) Presentation (21 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Invited: 3 results) Book (2 results) Remarks (3 results)

  • [Journal Article] 第1次世界大戦にいたる欧州国際関係パラレルワールドの動態:『国際緊張モデル』によるマルチエージェントシミュレーション分析(その3)2016

    • Author(s)
      光辻克馬・山影進
    • Journal Title

      Aoyama Journal of International Studies

      Volume: 3 Pages: 87-108

    • NAID

      120005746565

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Computational Research on Mobile Pastoralism Using Agent-Based Modeling and Satellite Imagery2016

    • Author(s)
      Takuto Sakamoto
    • Journal Title

      PLoS ONE

      Volume: 11(3) Issue: 3 Pages: 1-30

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pone.0151157

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Mobility and Sustainability: A Computational Model of African Pastoralists2016

    • Author(s)
      Takuto Sakamoto
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Management and Sustainability

      Volume: 6(1) Issue: 1 Pages: 59-75

    • DOI

      10.5539/jms.v6n1p59

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 幕末動乱期のマルチエージェントシミュレーション(MAS)分析:自己駆動粒子系による統治制度動態モデル(GSSM)の構築とその応用2015

    • Author(s)
      光辻克馬・山影進
    • Journal Title

      青山国際政経論集

      Volume: 94 Pages: 95-138

    • NAID

      120005744625

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 明治維新はどれだけ蓋然的だったのか:幕末動乱期のマルチエージェントシミュレーション(MAS)分析 その22015

    • Author(s)
      光辻克馬・山影進
    • Journal Title

      青山国際政経論集

      Volume: 95 Pages: 81-108

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] From KISS to TASS-modeling: a Preliminary Analysis of the Segregation Model Incorporated with Spatial Data on Chicago2015

    • Author(s)
      Ito, Gaku and Susumu Yamakage
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Journal of Political Science

      Volume: 16(4) Issue: 4 Pages: 553-573

    • DOI

      10.1017/s1468109915000304

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] A Computational Model of Nomads: Mobility and Sustainability of African Pastoralists2015

    • Author(s)
      Takuto Sakamoto
    • Journal Title

      Working Paper Series: Study on Artificial Societies

      Volume: 47 Pages: 1-22

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 2つの集計化と非集計化:内戦研究の微視的転回,その含意と課題2015

    • Author(s)
      伊藤岳
    • Journal Title

      国際関係論研究

      Volume: 31 Pages: 73-99

    • NAID

      40020590932

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 改良版『国際緊張モデル』による第一次世界大戦前夜の欧州国際関係をめぐるマルチエージェントシミュレーション分析2015

    • Author(s)
      光辻克馬、山影進
    • Journal Title

      Aoyama Journal of International Studies

      Volume: 2 Pages: 151-167

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Multi-Agent Simulation of State Collapse and Reconstruction: Analyzing the Past and the Future of Somalia2015

    • Author(s)
      Takuto Sakamoto and Mitsugi Endo
    • Journal Title

      Working Paper Series: Study on Artificial Societies

      Volume: 46 Pages: 1-24

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 人工社会構築からマルチエージェント国際政治学教育へ:アクティブラーニングを通じた新しい方法へのいざないを試みて2015

    • Author(s)
      山影進
    • Journal Title

      青山インフォメーション・サイエンス

      Volume: 42(1) Pages: 12-22

    • NAID

      120005678853

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] A Computational Model of Nomads: Mobility and Sustainability of African Pastoralists2015

    • Author(s)
      Takuto Sakamoto
    • Journal Title

      Working Paper Series Study on Artificial Societies

      Volume: 47 Pages: 1-22

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] The Insurgent Disease? Simulating the Geography of Insurgent Violence2015

    • Author(s)
      Gaku Ito
    • Journal Title

      Working Paper Series Study on Artificial Societies

      Volume: 48 Pages: 1-32

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] International Policy Diffusion at the Systemic Level: Linking Micro Patterns to Macro Dynamism2014

    • Author(s)
      Taku YUKAWA, Iku YOSHIMOTO, and Susumu YAMAKAGE
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Theoretical Politics

      Volume: Volume26, Number2 Pages: 177-196

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 第一次世界大戦前夜における欧州国際関係のパラレルワールド:ランドスケープ理論を拡張した「国際緊張モデル」によるマルチエージェントシミュレーション2014

    • Author(s)
      光辻克馬、山影進
    • Journal Title

      Aoyama Journal of International Studies

      Volume: 1 Pages: 79-106

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 自己駆動粒子系の動力学:群集運動を中心に2014

    • Author(s)
      平岡喬之
    • Journal Title

      ワーキングペーパーシリーズ人工社会研究

      Volume: 44 Pages: 1-18

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 「拡大と疲弊の相互作用が生む戦争規模の法則性」補遺:追加的な感度分析2014

    • Author(s)
      伊藤岳
    • Journal Title

      ワーキングペーパーシリーズ人工社会研究

      Volume: 45 Pages: 1-14

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Exploring Spatial Dynamics of Civil Conflicts in Virtual Africa: A New Research Design2013

    • Author(s)
      Takuto SAKAMOTO
    • Journal Title

      CDR Quarterly

      Volume: 8 Pages: 28-58

    • NAID

      40020323451

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 国際関係論におけるシミュレーション技法の展開:理論研究と実証研究の架橋2013

    • Author(s)
      伊藤岳
    • Journal Title

      国際関係論研究

      Volume: 30 Pages: 43-63

    • NAID

      40019941918

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Bridging Empirical Analysis in International Politics and Multi-Agent Simulation-Substituting Basic Norms in International Society2013

    • Author(s)
      Katsuma MITSUTSUJI and Susumu YAMAKAGE
    • Journal Title

      ワーキングペーパーシリーズ人工社会研究

      Volume: 43 Pages: 1-28

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Conflict Analysis in Virtual States (CAVS): A New Experimental Method Based on the Extensive Use of Multi-Agent Simulation (MAS) and Geographical Information System (GIS)2013

    • Author(s)
      Takuto SAKAMOTO
    • Journal Title

      JICA Research Institute Working Paper

      Volume: 56 Pages: 1-27

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] マルチエージェントシミュレーションの可能性:社会科学の立ち位置から2012

    • Author(s)
      山影進
    • Journal Title

      設計工学

      Volume: 第47巻、第12号

    • NAID

      10031136614

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] パッケージ交渉の分岐点: 日米構造協議における争点リンケージ2012

    • Author(s)
      鈴木一敏
    • Journal Title

      国際政治

      Volume: 170 Pages: 156-170

    • NAID

      130004700607

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Nomadic Computation: Analysis of African Pastoralism Using Agent-Based Modeling and Satellite Imagery2015

    • Author(s)
      Takuto Sakamoto
    • Organizer
      APL Seminar at Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization (IDE-JETRO)
    • Place of Presentation
      Japan External Trade Organization (IDE-JETRO), Chiba
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-29
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 武装勢力による暴力行使の規定要因を比較・評価する:アフガニスタンと北カフカスの比較分析2015

    • Author(s)
      伊藤岳・山影進
    • Organizer
      新潟県立大学実証政治学研究センター「実証政治学の先端学術会議」
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学(本郷キャンパス)
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-09
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Sustainability of Mobile Pastoralism in African Drylands2015

    • Author(s)
      Takuto Sakamoto
    • Organizer
      International Workshop on Computational Social Science
    • Place of Presentation
      Santorini Island, Greece
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-29
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Nomadic Computation: A SpatioTemporal Analysis of Sustainability of African Pastoralists2015

    • Author(s)
      Takuto Sakamoto
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Computational Social Science
    • Place of Presentation
      Helsinki, Finland
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-08
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 脱植民地化と主権国家性:極小国家独立をめぐる国際連合における議論の研究2015

    • Author(s)
      光辻克馬
    • Organizer
      駒場国際政治ワークショップ
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学(駒場キャンパス)
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-29
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Modeling the Spatial Patterns of Insurgent Violence in Afghanistan2015

    • Author(s)
      Gaku Ito
    • Organizer
      International Workshop on “Multi-Agent Simulation (MAS) and Global Issues: From Complexity to Policy Implications
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学(駒場キャンパス)
    • Year and Date
      2015-02-20
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Single and Multiple Identity Strategies in Bolivian Social Movements2015

    • Author(s)
      Hiromi MAKITA
    • Organizer
      International Workshop on “Multi-Agent Simulation (MAS) and Global Issues: From Complexity to Policy Implications
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学(駒場キャンパス)
    • Year and Date
      2015-02-20
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Procrastination vs. Ambition: Explaining Successive S-Shaped Diffusion Curve2015

    • Author(s)
      Koichiro Shiratori
    • Organizer
      International Workshop on “Multi-Agent Simulation (MAS) and Global Issues: From Complexity to Policy Implications
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学(駒場キャンパス)
    • Year and Date
      2015-02-20
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Note on Endogenous Trade Policymaking2015

    • Author(s)
      Ayako Kai
    • Organizer
      International Workshop on “Multi-Agent Simulation (MAS) and Global Issues: From Complexity to Policy Implications
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学(駒場キャンパス)
    • Year and Date
      2015-02-20
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The Making of Modern Japan as a Collective Behavior of Self-Propelled Particles: Historical Research with Multi-Agent Methodology2015

    • Author(s)
      Katsuma Mitsutsuji and Susumu Yamakage
    • Organizer
      International Workshop on “Multi-Agent Simulation (MAS) and Global Issues: From Complexity to Policy Implications
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学(駒場キャンパス)
    • Year and Date
      2015-02-20
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 内戦における暴力行使とその論理2014

    • Author(s)
      伊藤岳
    • Organizer
      日本国際政治学会 2014 年度研究大会
    • Place of Presentation
      福岡国際会議場
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-14 – 2014-11-16
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 内戦における暴力行使の帰結:空間計量経済/統計モデルによるアプローチ2014

    • Author(s)
      伊藤岳
    • Organizer
      駒場国際政治ワークショップ
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学(駒場キャンパス)
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-06
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] From KISS- to TASS-Modeling: A Preliminary Analysis of the Segregation Model Incorporated with GIS Data on Chicago2014

    • Author(s)
      Gaku Ito and Susumu Yamakage
    • Organizer
      実証政治学の最先端学術会議(新潟県立大学実証政治学研究センター主催)
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学(本郷キャンパス)
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-10
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 内戦における暴力行使の帰結:空間計量経済モデルによるアプローチ2014

    • Author(s)
      伊藤岳
    • Organizer
      神戸大学国際政治経済ワークショップ
    • Place of Presentation
      神戸大学(六甲台第 1 キャンパス)
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-26
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 東アフリカ牧畜民社会の広域的研究:Landsat アーカイブと牧畜民研究2014

    • Author(s)
      阪本拓人
    • Organizer
      日本アフリカ学会第 51 回学術大会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-05-24 – 2014-05-25
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 北部ソマリアにおける競合する国家形成と和解機能の変容2014

    • Author(s)
      遠藤貢
    • Organizer
      日本アフリカ学会第 51 回学術大会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-05-24 – 2014-05-25
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] コンピュータのなかで考えるアフリカ

    • Author(s)
      阪本拓人
    • Organizer
      日本アフリカ学会第50回学術大会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学駒場キャンパス(東京都目黒区)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 貿易政策をめぐる近年の研究動向

    • Author(s)
      鈴木一敏
    • Organizer
      『環太平洋経済協力をめぐる日・米・中の役割』第2回研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      アジア太平洋研究所(大阪市)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 相対利得の妥当範囲の検証について

    • Author(s)
      鈴木一敏
    • Organizer
      国際政治経済分析研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学(京都市)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 遊動生活の持続可能性:アフリカ牧畜民、複雑系、人間の安全保障

    • Author(s)
      阪本拓人
    • Organizer
      国際関係論研究会第190回定例会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学駒場キャンパス(東京都目黒区)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 紛争と平和のシミュレーション分析:アフリカの角を事例に

    • Author(s)
      阪本拓人
    • Organizer
      アジア経済研究所・東京大学大学院総合文化研究科「人間の安全保障」プログラム・東京大学グローバル地域研究機構アフリカ地域研究センター主催「TICAD Vのためのアフリカ開発講座」
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学駒場キャンパス(東京都目黒区)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] アナーキーな社会の混沌と秩序:マルチエージェント国際関係論のフロンティア2014

    • Author(s)
      山影進(編著)
    • Total Pages
      250
    • Publisher
      書籍工房早山
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 日米構造協議の政治過程:相互依存下の通商交渉と国内対立の構図2013

    • Author(s)
      鈴木一敏
    • Total Pages
      261
    • Publisher
      ミネルヴァ書房
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] Virtual Lab Yamakage

    • URL

      http://yamakage-ken.com

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report 2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] Virtual Lab Yamakage

    • URL

      http://yamakage-ken.com

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] Virtual Lab Yamakage

    • URL

      http://yamakage-ken.com

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2012-11-27   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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