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Dynamic Spatial Economic Simulation of Natural Disasters and Environmental Risks

Research Project

Project/Area Number 24330088
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypePartial Multi-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Economic policy
Research InstitutionToyohashi University of Technology

Principal Investigator

Shibusawa Hiroyuki  豊橋技術科学大学, 工学(系)研究科(研究院), 准教授 (70291416)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) MIYATA Yuzuru  豊橋技術科学大学, 大学院工学研究科, 教授 (20190796)
HIGANO Yoshiro  筑波大学, 生命環境科学研究科, 教授 (90189762)
Project Period (FY) 2012-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥16,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,900,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥2,990,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥690,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥3,510,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥810,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥6,110,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,410,000)
Keywords自然災害 / 環境政策 / 経済政策 / シミュレーション工学 / 防災
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In this study, we develop dynamic spatial economic models for evaluating natural disasters and environmental risks. We propose simulation analysis methods by incorporating the input-output model, the spatial general equilibrium model, the urban economic model, and the optimization model with the spatial information. We show the regional economic impacts of natural disasters such as huge earthquakes, tsunamis, floods, eruptions, and environmental risks. The useful methods for evaluating the impacts of future natural disasters are proposed.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Annual Research Report
  • 2013 Annual Research Report
  • 2012 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (53 results)

All 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 Other

All Journal Article (14 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 13 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results,  Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (36 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results) Book (3 results)

  • [Journal Article] 技術的伝播拡散の外部性を伴う空間応用一般均衡モデルに関する研究2016

    • Author(s)
      渋澤博幸,宮田譲,山口誠
    • Journal Title

      雲雀野

      Volume: 38 Pages: 29-40

    • NAID

      120005744961

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Evaluating Economic Effects of Production Activities in Zones Surrounding the Nuclear Power Station in Shizuoka Prefecture2015

    • Author(s)
      渋澤博幸,宮田譲
    • Journal Title

      Studies in Regional Science

      Volume: 45 Issue: 2 Pages: 165-179

    • DOI

      10.2457/srs.45.165

    • NAID

      130005127628

    • ISSN
      0287-6256, 1880-6465
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Comprehensive Evaluation of the Regional Environmental and Economic Impacts of Adopting Advanced Technologies for the Treatment of Sewage Sludge in Beijing, (Accepted: 2013.10.29, Publish: 2015.6.30)2015

    • Author(s)
      Guofeng Zhang, Feng Xu, Tunyen Wang, Takeshi Mizunoya, Helmut Yabar, Jinghua Sha, Yoshiro Higano
    • Journal Title

      Spatial Analysis and Location Modeling in Urban and Regional Systems in Advances in Spatial Science

      Volume: 未定

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Conservation Agriculture Practices in Salt-Affected, Irrigated Areas of Central Asia: Crop Price and Input Cost Variability Effect on Revenue Risks2015

    • Author(s)
      Boboev Hasan , Yoshiro Higano, Helmut Yabar, Mina Devkota & John P. A. Lamers
    • Journal Title

      Sustainable Agriculture Research 2015

      Volume: 2(4) Pages: 1-20

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] An Integrated Simulation Model for Dynamically Exploring the Optimal Solution to Mitigating Water Scarcity and Pollution2015

    • Author(s)
      Wei Yang, Junnian Song, Yoshiro Higano, and Jie Tang
    • Journal Title

      Sustainability 2015

      Volume: 7(2) Pages: 1774-1797

    • NAID

      120007130396

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 巨大地震の経済的被害の計測―動学空間応用一般均衡モデルによる分析―2014

    • Author(s)
      渋澤博幸,宮田譲
    • Journal Title

      地域学研究

      Volume: 44 Pages: 261-275

    • NAID

      130005074441

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Economic Analysis of the Impact of Carbon Tax on the Economy of Makassar City, Indonesia2013

    • Author(s)
      Yuzuru Miyata, Any Wahyuni and Hiroyuki Shibusawa
    • Journal Title

      Regional Science Inquiry Journal

      Volume: 5(2) Pages: 15-35

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Study of Shanghai’s Development Strategy to 20202013

    • Author(s)
      Wang, Y., Shibusawa, H., Lemarn, E., Higano, Y. and Mao, G.
    • Journal Title

      Regional Science Policy & Practice

      Volume: 5(2) Issue: 2 Pages: 183-200

    • DOI

      10.1111/rsp3.12003

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Economic Impacts of Hybrid and Electric Vehicles in Japan and China: National and Multi-Regional Input-Output Applications2013

    • Author(s)
      Shibusawa, H. and Xu, Z.
    • Journal Title

      Studies in Regional Science

      Volume: 43(2) Pages: 15-32

    • NAID

      130004845027

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Comprehensive Analysis of the Environmental Benefits of Introducing Technology Innovation in the Energy Sector: Case Study in Chongqing City,China2013

    • Author(s)
      Qian Zhou, Takeshi Mizunoya, Helmut Yabar, Yoshiro Higano,Wei Yang
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Sustainable Development

      Volume: 6(8) Issue: 8 Pages: 71-83

    • DOI

      10.5539/jsd.v6n8p71

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Dynamic Simulation of China’s Carbon Intensity and energy Intensity Evaluation Focusing on Industry and Energy Structure Adjustments by 20202013

    • Author(s)
      Feng Xu, Nan Xiang, Peter Nijkamp, Yoshiro Higano
    • Journal Title

      Environmental engineering and Management Journal

      Volume: 12(10) Pages: 1897-1901

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Public Participation in Selection of the Road Construction by Analytic Hierarchy Process for Supporting of CO2 Emissions Reduction: A Case Study of Maros-Watampone Road2013

    • Author(s)
      Any Wahyuni, Yuzuru Miyata
    • Journal Title

      IOSR Journal of Humanities and Social Science

      Volume: 9(1) Pages: 61-70

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Simulation Analysis of the Introduction of an Environmental Tax to Develop Biomass Power Technology in China2013

    • Author(s)
      Shanshan WANG, Feng Xu, Nan Xiang, Takeshi Mizunoya, Helmut Yabar, Yoshiro Higano and R uiqin Zhan
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Sustainable Development

      Volume: Vol.6, No.l Pages: 19-31

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] An Urban Economic Model over a Continuous Plane with Spatial Chara cteristic Vector Field : Asymmetric Land Use Pattern and Internalizing Transportation Networks2012

    • Author(s)
      Yuzuru MIYATA
    • Journal Title

      Regional Science Inquiry

      Volume: Vol.4,No,2 Pages: 13-28

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Evaluating Economic Effects of Production Activities in Zones surrounding the Nuclear Power Station in Shizuoka Prefecture2015

    • Author(s)
      Shibusawa, H. and Miyata, Y.
    • Organizer
      The 62nd Annual North American Meetings of the RSAI
    • Place of Presentation
      Portland, USA
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-11
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Urban Economic Analysis of Land Use Change by Information Provision for Nankai Trough Huge Earthquake in Japan2015

    • Author(s)
      Miyata, Y., Shibusawa, H., and Mizuno, K.
    • Organizer
      The 62nd Annual North American Meetings of the RSAI,
    • Place of Presentation
      Portland, USA
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-11
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 原子力発電施設の空間経済効果の評価:石川県のケース2015

    • Author(s)
      中山望,渋澤博幸,宮田譲
    • Organizer
      日本地域学会第52回(2015年)年次大会
    • Place of Presentation
      岡山大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-12
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 豊川流域圏の環境経済分析に関する基礎的研究2015

    • Author(s)
      落合里咲,渋澤博幸,宮田譲,櫻井一宏
    • Organizer
      日本地域学会第52回(2015年)年次大会
    • Place of Presentation
      岡山大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-12
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 南海トラフ巨大地震における地震情報に対する主観的信頼度変化による都市土地利用変化2015

    • Author(s)
      水野健太郎,宮田譲,渋澤博幸
    • Organizer
      日本地域学会第52回(2015年)年次大会
    • Place of Presentation
      岡山大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-12
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Measuring the Economic Effects of Japan’s Mikawa Port: Pre- and Post- Disaster Assessments2015

    • Author(s)
      Shibusawa, H. and Miyata, Y.
    • Organizer
      The 55th ERSA Congress
    • Place of Presentation
      Lisbon, Portugal
    • Year and Date
      2015-08-25
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Urban Lan Use Change by Information Provision for Nankai Trough Huge Earthquake in Japan – an Analytic Urban Economics Approach -2015

    • Author(s)
      Miyata, Y., Shibusawa, H., and Mizuno, K.
    • Organizer
      The 24th Pacific Conference of the RSAI
    • Place of Presentation
      Vina del Mar, Chile
    • Year and Date
      2015-08-08
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 植物工場導入のための流域政策評価モデル2015

    • Author(s)
      櫻井一宏,渋澤博幸
    • Organizer
      2015年度日本応用経済学会春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      九州産業大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-14
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Dynamic Impacts of Large-Salce Earthquakes in Japan and China: A CGE Application2015

    • Author(s)
      Shibusawa, H., Miyata, Y., Sakurai, K.
    • Organizer
      The 54th Annual Meeting of the SRSA
    • Place of Presentation
      Mobile, USA
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-26 – 2015-03-28
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 三河湾における南海トラフ地震の経済効果の計測2014

    • Author(s)
      上井啓太,渋澤博幸,宮田譲
    • Organizer
      日本応用経済学会2014年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      中央大学,東京
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-15
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 三河湾における南海トラフ地震の経済波及効果の計測2014

    • Author(s)
      上井啓太,渋澤博幸,宮田譲
    • Organizer
      日本地域学会第51回(2014年)年次大会
    • Place of Presentation
      麗澤大学,千葉
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-05
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 南海トラフ巨大地震による都市の土地利用変化の理論的考察:地震情報提供による影響分析2014

    • Author(s)
      水野健太郎,宮田譲,渋澤博幸
    • Organizer
      日本地域学会第51回(2014年)年次大会
    • Place of Presentation
      麗澤大学,千葉
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-05
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 三河港における南海トラフ地震の経済波及効果に関する研究2014

    • Author(s)
      上井啓太,渋澤博幸,宮田譲
    • Organizer
      日本環境共生学会第17回(2014年度)学術大会
    • Place of Presentation
      徳島大学,徳島
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-28
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 町丁大字従業者数を用いた静岡県産業連関モデルと経済波及効果計測に関する研究2014

    • Author(s)
      不破瑞紀,上井啓太,渋澤博幸,宮田譲
    • Organizer
      日本環境共生学会第17回(2014年度)学術大会
    • Place of Presentation
      徳島大学,徳島
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-28
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地域間交通リンクの経済効果計測に関する研究2014

    • Author(s)
      木花有沙,中澤光一郎,渋澤博幸,宮田譲
    • Organizer
      日本環境共生学会第17回(2014年度)学術大会
    • Place of Presentation
      徳島大学,徳島
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-28
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Economic Analysis of Illegal Settlements in Flood Prone Areas in Palangkaraya City in Indonesia ; A General Equilibrium Approach2014

    • Author(s)
      Miyata, Y., Shibusawa, H., Permana, I.
    • Organizer
      54th ERSA Congress
    • Place of Presentation
      Saint Petersburg, Russia
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-27
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Economic Assessment of Large-Scale Earthquakes in Asia: A Spatial-CGE Application2014

    • Author(s)
      Shibusawa, H., Miyata Y.
    • Organizer
      54th ERSA Congress
    • Place of Presentation
      Saint Petersburg, Russia
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-27
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Economic Assesment of a Large-Scale Earthquake in China: A Dynamic Spatial CGE Approach2014

    • Author(s)
      Shibusawa, H.. and Miyata, Y.
    • Organizer
      13th Summer Institute of the PRSCO
    • Place of Presentation
      Loja, Ecuador
    • Year and Date
      2014-07-14
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 巨大地震の地域経済効果の分析 : 空間CGEアプローチ2013

    • Author(s)
      渋澤博幸, 李念
    • Organizer
      日本計画行政学会関東支部・日本社会情報学会第7回若手研究交流会
    • Place of Presentation
      名星大学, 日野市
    • Year and Date
      2013-03-02
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Comparative Analysis of the Economic Impacts of Earthquakes : Spatial CGE Application to Japan2012

    • Author(s)
      Shibusawa, H. and Li, N.
    • Organizer
      59th North American Meetings of the Regional Science Association International
    • Place of Presentation
      Ottawa, Canada
    • Year and Date
      2012-11-10
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 巨大地震の防災復興投資の地域経済効果に関する研究2012

    • Author(s)
      渋澤博幸,李念,中津光一郎
    • Organizer
      日本環境共生学会第15回学術大会
    • Place of Presentation
      北九州市立大学, 北九州市
    • Year and Date
      2012-09-02
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Preliminary Analysis of the Regional Economic Structure in China: Regional Input-Output Approach2012

    • Author(s)
      Li, N. and Shibusawa, H.
    • Organizer
      The 12th Pacific Regional Science Conference Organization (PRSCO) Summer Institute
    • Place of Presentation
      Beijing, China
    • Year and Date
      2012-07-06
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Simulation Modelling of a System of Cities in Physical Space and Cybe rspace2012

    • Author(s)
      Shibusawa, H. Li, N. and Higano, Y.
    • Organizer
      9th World Congress of the Regional Science Assoc iation International
    • Place of Presentation
      Timisoara, Romania
    • Year and Date
      2012-05-12
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Framework of Dynamic Spatial CGE Model with Transportation Networks : Equilibrium and Optimality2012

    • Author(s)
      Shibusawa, H., Miyata, Y. and Higano, Y.
    • Organizer
      9th World Congress of the Regional Science Association International
    • Place of Presentation
      Timisoara, Romania
    • Year and Date
      2012-05-11
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Evaluating Economic Impacts of Disaster Prevention Investments: Dynamic Spatial CGE Approach

    • Author(s)
      Shibusawa, H., Li, N., Nakazawa, K. and Miyata. Y.
    • Organizer
      23rd Pacific Conference of the RSAI (PRSCO)
    • Place of Presentation
      Bandung, Indonesia
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Model Analysis of the Interaction between the Regional Economy and Water Environment in Toyogawa Basin

    • Author(s)
      Sakurai, K., Shibusawa, H., and Kobayashi, S.
    • Organizer
      23rd Pacific Conference of the RSAI (PRSCO)
    • Place of Presentation
      Bandung, Indonesia
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Economic Assessment of Natural Disaster in China: A Spatial CGE Approach

    • Author(s)
      Shibusawa, H., Li, N. and Nakazawa, K.
    • Organizer
      21st International Input-Output Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Kitakyushu, Japan
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Economic Assessment of a Large‐scale Earthquake in Bohai Economic Rim,China

    • Author(s)
      Li, N., Shibusawa, H., Miyata, Y.
    • Organizer
      60th North American Meetings of the Regional Science Association International
    • Place of Presentation
      Atlanta, USA
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Economic Evaluation of the Demand-driven Services for Irrigation Facilities of Rice Cropping: A Case Study of Aichi irrigation Project

    • Author(s)
      Sakurai, K., Nakamura, A., Shibusawa, H., Taji, H.
    • Organizer
      53rd Annual Meeting of the Western Regional Science Association
    • Place of Presentation
      San Diego, USA
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 動学空間応用一般均衡モデルを用いた 南海トラフと首都直下型地震の経済的影響評価

    • Author(s)
      中澤光一郎 菅原喬史 宮田譲 渋澤 博幸
    • Organizer
      日本地域学会第50回(2013年)年次大会
    • Place of Presentation
      徳島大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The Best Construction of the Regional Road to Support CO2 Emissions Reduction in Critical Area: A Case Study of Moros-Watampone Road

    • Author(s)
      Any WAHYUNI, Yuzuru MIYATA, Hiroyuki SHIBUSAWA
    • Organizer
      日本地域学会第50回(2013年)年次大会
    • Place of Presentation
      徳島大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 南海トラフ地震と首都直下型地震を対象にした経済分析

    • Author(s)
      中澤光一郎,渋澤博幸,宮田譲
    • Organizer
      日本計画行政学会関東支部・日本社会情報学会共催第8回若手研究交流会
    • Place of Presentation
      学習院大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 三河湾を対象とした南海トラフ地震被害の経済波及効果に関する研究

    • Author(s)
      上井啓太,渋澤博幸,宮田譲
    • Organizer
      日本計画行政学会関東支部・日本社会情報学会共催第8回若手研究交流会
    • Place of Presentation
      学習院大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 南海トラフ巨大地震による情報通信・運輸産業の生産停止に伴う経済的影響に関する研究

    • Author(s)
      水野健太郎,宮田譲,渋澤博幸
    • Organizer
      土木学会中部支部研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      岐阜大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 巨大地震と地域経済再生のシミュレーション分析

    • Author(s)
      渋澤博幸,中澤光一郎,宮田譲
    • Organizer
      土木学会中部支部研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      岐阜大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Integrated Evaluatnion of Regional Environmental Tax-Subsidy Policy by Extended Input-Output Model Analysis

    • Author(s)
      Takeshii Mizunoya, Keyu Lu, Feng Xu, Helmut Yabar, Yoshiro Higano
    • Organizer
      23rd Pacific conference of the Regional Science Association International
    • Place of Presentation
      岐阜大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Socioeconomic Environmental Policies and Evaluations in Regional Science: Essays in Honor of Prof. Yoshiro Higano2016

    • Author(s)
      Shibusawa, H., Sakurai, K., Mizunoya, T., Uchida, S (eds.)
    • Total Pages
      700
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 都市・地域・環境概論―持続可能な社会の創造に向けて―2013

    • Author(s)
      大貝彰,宮田譲,青木伸一編著
    • Total Pages
      214
    • Publisher
      朝倉書店
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 計量経済, 「地域科学50年の歩みと展望亅2012

    • Author(s)
      徳永澄憲, 宮城俊彦, 渋澤博幸
    • Publisher
      笹氣出版印刷株式会社
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2012-04-24   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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