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Development of integrated model of cycles of large earthquakes and tsunami generation along subduction zones

Research Project

Project/Area Number 24340107
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypePartial Multi-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Solid earth and planetary physics
Research InstitutionBuilding Research Institute

Principal Investigator

Shibazaki Bunichiro  国立研究開発法人建築研究所, その他部局等, その他 (20344012)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) FUJII Yushiro  国立研究開発法人建築研究所, 国際地震工学センター, 主任研究員 (60442836)
Project Period (FY) 2012-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥11,960,000 (Direct Cost: ¥9,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,760,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥3,250,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥750,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥6,760,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,560,000)
Keywords地震現象 / 津波 / 海溝型巨大地震 / モデリング / 地震予測 / 2011年東北地方太平洋沖地震 / 1896年明治三陸津波地震 / 津波波形逆解析 / 千島海溝南部超巨大地震 / 地震発生サイクルモデル / Thermal Pressurization
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study developed a model of large earthquakes cycles and estimated a tsunami source model along subduction zones to understand the generation processes of large earthquakes and tsunamis. First, we modeled cycles of mega thrust earthquakes along the Kuril subduction zone considering the effect of thermal pressurization. We also modeled cycles of mega thrust earthquakes along the Tohoku subduction zone by considering the thermal pressurization and friction properties of the shallow fault zone. Subsequently, we estimated slip distributions of the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake and the 1896 Meiji Sanriku Tsunami earthquake by the inversion analysis of tsunami waveforms. The shallow slip distribution obtained by numerical modeling is roughly consistent with that of the Tohoku-oki earthquake obtained by tsunami analysis, indicating that the shallow friction property is important for the generation of tsunamis in this region.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Annual Research Report
  • 2013 Annual Research Report
  • 2012 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (33 results)

All 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012

All Journal Article (8 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 8 results,  Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (23 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Invited: 1 results) Book (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Review: Source models of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake and long-term forecast of large earthquakes2014

    • Author(s)
      Satake, K., and Fujii, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Disaster Research

      Volume: 9 Pages: 272-280

    • NAID

      130007673482

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Tsunami waveform inversion of the 2007 Peru (Mw8.1) earthquake2014

    • Author(s)
      Jimenez, C., Moggiano, N., Mas, E., Adriano, B., Fujii, Y., and Koshimura, S.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Disaster Research

      Volume: 9 Pages: 954-960

    • NAID

      130007673741

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] What caused the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake? : effects of dynamic weakening2014

    • Author(s)
      Shibazaki, B., H. Noda
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Disaster Research

      Volume: 9 Pages: 252-263

    • NAID

      130007673683

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Introduction to the Special Issue on the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake and Tsunami2013

    • Author(s)
      Lay, T., Y. Fujii, E. Geist, K. Koketsu, J. Rubinstein, T. Sagiya, M. Simons
    • Journal Title

      Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America

      Volume: 103 Issue: 2B Pages: 1165-1170

    • DOI

      10.1785/0120130001

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Scaling relations of seismic moment, rupture area, average slip, and asperity size for M~9 subduction-zone earthquakes2013

    • Author(s)
      Murotani, S., K. Satake, and Y. Fujii
    • Journal Title

      Geophys. Res. Lett.

      Volume: 40 Issue: 19 Pages: 5070-5074

    • DOI

      10.1002/grl.50976

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Time and slip distribution of coseismic slip of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake as inferred from tsunami waveform data2013

    • Author(s)
      Satake, K., Y. Fujii, T. Harada, and Y.Namegaya
    • Journal Title

      Bull. Seism. Soc. Am.

      Volume: 103 Issue: 2B Pages: 1473-1492

    • DOI

      10.1785/0120120122

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Seismic Source of 1746 Callao Earthquake from Tsunami Numerical Modeling2013

    • Author(s)
      Cesar Jimenez, Nabilt Moggiano, Erick Mas, Bruno Adriano, Shunichi 。 Koshimura, Yushiro Fujii, and Hideaki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Disaster Research

      Volume: 8 Pages: 266-273

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Tsunami Inundation Mapping in Lima, for Two Tsunami Source Scenarios2013

    • Author(s)
      Bruno Adriano, Erick Mas, Shunichi Koshimura, Yushiro Fujii, Sheila Yauri, Cesar Jimenez, and Hideaki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Disaster Research

      Volume: 8 Pages: 274-284

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Modeling slow slip events and their interaction with large earthquakes along Hikurangi and Mexican subduction zones2016

    • Author(s)
      Shibazaki, B., and T. Matsuzawa
    • Organizer
      AGU Chapman Conference on the Slow Slip Phenomena
    • Place of Presentation
      Ixtapa (Mexico)
    • Year and Date
      2016-02-24
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Modeling long- and short-term slow slip events and their interaction with large earthquakes along the Hikurangi subduction zone2015

    • Author(s)
      Shibazaki, B., and T. Matsuzawa
    • Organizer
      2015 AGU Fall Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Moscone Center, San Francisco (USA)
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-16
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 明治三陸地震の津波波源モデル再考2015

    • Author(s)
      藤井雄士郎、佐竹健治、山木滋
    • Organizer
      日本地震学会2015年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      神戸国際会議場(兵庫)
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-28
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ヒクランギ沈み込み帯における多様なスロースリップイベントのモデル化2015

    • Author(s)
      芝崎文一郎、松澤孝紀
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2015年大会
    • Place of Presentation
      幕張メッセ(千葉)
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-27
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Numerical modeling of slow slip events in the seismic cycles of megathrust earthquakes in southwestern Japan2014

    • Author(s)
      Matsuzawa, T., Shibazaki, B., Obara, K., and Hirose, H.
    • Organizer
      2014 AGU Fall Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      マリオット・マーキスホテル(米国・サンフランシスコ市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-12-19
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 遠方DARTも含む津波波形インバージョンから推定される2010年チリ地震(Mw8.8)の津波波源2014

    • Author(s)
      吉本昌弘、綿田辰吾、藤井雄士郎、佐竹健治
    • Organizer
      日本地震学会2014年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      朱鷺メッセ(新潟県)
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-24
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 1896 年明治三陸地震の検潮記録と津波痕跡高による津波波源推定(2)2014

    • Author(s)
      藤井雄士郎、佐竹健治、山木 滋
    • Organizer
      日本地震学会2014年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      朱鷺メッセ(新潟県)
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-24
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Tsunami simulations of recent earthquakes and predicted tsunami heights from scenario earthquakes2014

    • Author(s)
      Fujii, Y., and Shibazaki, B.
    • Organizer
      The 10th ASC General Assembly (ASC 2014)
    • Place of Presentation
      デュシタルマニラホテル(フィリピン・マカティー市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-20
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Modeling slow slips and mega-thrust seismic slips off Tohoku considering low to high speed friction behavior of the shallow plate boundary2014

    • Author(s)
      Shibazaki, B., Ikari, M., and Noda, H.
    • Organizer
      AOGS 11th Annual Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      ロイトン札幌ホテル(北海道)
    • Year and Date
      2014-07-31
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Tsunami source Model of the 1896 Sanriku Earthquake inferred from tide gauge records and coastal tsunami heights2014

    • Author(s)
      Fujii, Y., Satake, K., and Yamaki, S.
    • Organizer
      AOGS 11th Annual Meeting 2014
    • Place of Presentation
      ロイトン札幌ホテル(北海道)
    • Year and Date
      2014-07-31
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Strain fields of the NE Japan associated with heterogeneous rheological structure during subduction zone earthquake cycles2014

    • Author(s)
      Muto, J., Shibazaki, B., and Ohzono, M.
    • Organizer
      AOGS 11th Annual Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      ロイトン札幌ホテル(北海道)
    • Year and Date
      2014-07-30
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Three-dimensional rheological structure of the northeastern Japan arc and its viscoelastic deformation after the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake2014

    • Author(s)
      Shibazaki, B., Nakai, Y., Muto, J., and Iinuma, T.
    • Organizer
      AOGS 11th Annual Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      ロイトン札幌ホテル(北海道)
    • Year and Date
      2014-07-30
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 2011 年東北沖地震後の東北日本弧の粘弾性変形過程のモデル化2014

    • Author(s)
      芝崎文一郎, 中井仁彦, 武藤潤, 飯沼卓史
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2014年大会
    • Place of Presentation
      パシフィコ横浜(神奈川県)
    • Year and Date
      2014-04-30
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 東北日本島弧-海溝系の不均質粘弾性モデルの構築2014

    • Author(s)
      武藤 潤, 芝崎 文一郎
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2014年大会
    • Place of Presentation
      パシフィコ横浜(神奈川県)
    • Year and Date
      2014-04-30
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 東北沖浅部断層の低~高速摩擦特性を考慮したスロースリップと地震性すべりのモデル化2014

    • Author(s)
      芝崎 文一郎, Ikari Matt, 野田 博之
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2014年大会
    • Place of Presentation
      パシフィコ横浜(神奈川県)
    • Year and Date
      2014-04-29
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 2011年東北地方太平洋沖地震と1896年明治三陸地震の津波波源モデル2013

    • Author(s)
      藤井雄士郎、原田智也、佐竹健治
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2013年大会
    • Place of Presentation
      千葉県千葉市
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高速摩擦を考慮した千島海溝南部で発生する超巨大地震の発生サイクルモデル2013

    • Author(s)
      芝崎文一郎、野田博之
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2013年大会
    • Place of Presentation
      千葉県千葉市
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 1896年明治三陸地震の検潮記録と津波痕跡高による津波波源推定2013

    • Author(s)
      藤井雄士郎、佐竹健治、山木 滋
    • Organizer
      日本地震学会2013年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      神奈川県横浜市
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 沈み込みプレート境界浅部の低摩擦特性を考慮した東北地方太平洋沖地震の準動的発生サイクルモデル2013

    • Author(s)
      芝崎文一郎、野田博之、氏家恒太郎、廣瀬丈洋
    • Organizer
      日本地震学会2013年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      神奈川県横浜市
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 3D modeling of the cycle of a great Tohoku-oki earthquake, considering frictional behavior at low to high sliD velocities2012

    • Author(s)
      Bunichiro Shibazaki
    • Organizer
      APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Simulation (ACES) 8th International Workshop
    • Place of Presentation
      Maui, Hawaii
    • Year and Date
      2012-10-23
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] マルチタイムウィンドウ津波波形インバージョンによる2011年東北地方太平洋沖地震のすべり分布2012

    • Author(s)
      藤井雄士郎, 佐竹健治
    • Organizer
      日本地震学会2012年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      函館市民会館, 函館薦
    • Year and Date
      2012-10-18
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 3D quasi-dynamic modeling of cycles of megathrust earthquakes along the Japan Trench subduct ion zone considering hieh-soeed friction2012

    • Author(s)
      Bunichiro Shibazaki
    • Organizer
      9th U. S. -Japan Natural Resources Panel on Earthquake Research
    • Place of Presentation
      Lakewood, Colorado
    • Year and Date
      2012-10-11
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 2011年東北地方太平洋沖地震のマルチタイムウィンドウ津波波形インバージョン2012

    • Author(s)
      藤井雄士郎, 佐竹健治, 原田智也, 行谷佑一
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2012年大会
    • Place of Presentation
      幕張メッセ国際会議場, 千葉市
    • Year and Date
      2012-05-25
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 東日本大震災合同調査報告 共通編2 津波の特性と被害(第3章 2011年東北地方太平洋沖地震津波の発生機構 2.1節 マルチタイムウィンドウ津波波形インバージョン解析)2014

    • Author(s)
      東日本大震災合同調査報告書編集委員会(藤井雄士郎)
    • Total Pages
      6
    • Publisher
      丸善出版
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 東日本大震災合同調査報告 共通編2 津波の特性と被害(第6章 数値シミュレーションによる津波の再現 1節 津波伝播状況の再現)2014

    • Author(s)
      東日本大震災合同調査報告書編集委員会(藤井雄士郎)
    • Total Pages
      3
    • Publisher
      丸善出版
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2012-04-24   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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