Prediction of maximum possible storm surges and damages induced by global warming in Tokyo, Ise and Osaka bays of Japan
| Project/Area Number |
24360199
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
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| Allocation Type | Partial Multi-year Fund |
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| Section | 一般 |
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| Research Field |
Hydraulic engineering
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| Research Institution | Aichi University of Technology |
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Principal Investigator |
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| Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) |
YOSHINO Jun 岐阜大学, 工学研究科, 准教授 (70377688)
MURAKAMI Tomokazu 独立行政法人防災科学技術研究所, 水・土砂防災研究ユニット, 主任研究員 (80420371)
SHIMOKAWA Shinya 独立行政法人防災科学技術研究所, 水・土砂防災研究ユニット, 主任研究員 (40360367)
IIZUKA Satoshi 独立行政法人防災科学技術研究所, 水・土砂防災研究ユニット, 主任研究員 (40414403)
KAWASAKI Koji 名城大学, 自然災害リスク軽減研究センター, 特任教授 (20304024)
OGASAWARA Toshinori 岩手大学, 工学部, 准教授 (60374865)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2012-04-01 – 2015-03-31
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| Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 2014)
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| Budget Amount *help |
¥17,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,050,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥2,210,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥510,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥4,940,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,140,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥10,400,000 (Direct Cost: ¥8,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,400,000)
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| Keywords | 高潮災害 / 台風災害 / 地球温暖化 / 高潮氾濫 / 被災限界 |
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| Outline of Final Research Achievements |
A dynamic modeling system incorporating an atmosphere-ocean-wave-land coupled model and a typhoon potential bogus scheme have been developed to calculate potential maximum storm surges in three largest bays of Japan under the present and future climates. This system clarifies the potential maximum storm surge heights in these bays, as 3.3m in Tokyo bay under the present climate and 4.1m under the future climate. Further, a numerical simulation system for storm surge disasters has been developed by coupling storm surge currents in sea and flood currents on land, based on the hydraulic experiments. This system shows that flood damages are caused by potential maximum storm surges in the Koto delta located at interior of Tokyo bay. Damages of buildings caused by tsunami attacking Tohoku region in 2011 are found to be classified into 5 types of disaster. These study results suggest that the damages due to storm surge flood could be predicted.
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Report
(4 results)
Research Products
(90 results)
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[Journal Article] Oceanic influence on mesoscale structure of the Baiu rainband in the East China Sea2014
Author(s)
Kunoki, S., A. Manda, Y.-M. Kodama, S. Iizuka, K. Sato, I. Fathrio, T. Mitsui, H. Seko, Q. Moteki, S. Minobe and Y. Tachibana
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Journal Title
Journal of Geophysical Research
Volume: 120
Pages: 449-463
Related Report
Peer Reviewed
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[Journal Article] Prediction of Typhoon Storm Surge Flood in Tokyo Bay Using Unstructured Model ADCIRC under Global Warming Scenario2014
Author(s)
Hirano, K., Bunya S., Murakami, T., Iizuka, S., Nakatani, T., Shimokawa, S. and Kawasaki, K.
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Journal Title
Proceedings of the 4th Joint US-European Fluids Engineering Summer Meeting, ASME
Volume: FEDSM2014-21682
Pages: 1-10
DOI
Related Report
Peer Reviewed / Open Access
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[Journal Article] Improved Performance of Simulated Japanese Climate with a Multi-Model Ensemble2012
Author(s)
Ishizaki, N.N., I. Takayabu, M.Ooizumi, H. Sasaki, K. Dairaku, S. Iizuka, F. Kimura, H. Kusaka, S. A. Adachi, K. Kurihara, M. Murazaki, and K. Tanaka
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Journal Title
Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II
Volume: 90
Issue: 2
Pages: 235-254
DOI
NAID
ISSN
0026-1165, 2186-9057
Related Report
Peer Reviewed
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[Presentation] Impacts of a Warming Marginal Sea on Torrential Rainfall Organized Under the Asian Summer Monsoon2014
Author(s)
Manda, A., H. Nakamura, N. Asano, S. Iizuka, T. Miyama, Q. Moteki, M. Yoshioka, K. Nishii, and T. Miyasaka
Organizer
AOGS 2014
Place of Presentation
Sapporo、Japan,
Year and Date
2014-07-28 – 2014-08-01
Related Report
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[Presentation] Potential Impacts of Future Warming of the East China Sea on the Occurrence of Heavy Rainfall Events Over Western Japan in the Baiu/Meiyu Season2014
Author(s)
Nakamura, H., A. Manda, N. Asano, S. Iizuka, T. Miyama, Q. Moteki, M. Yoshioka, K. Nishii, and T. Miyasaka
Organizer
AOGS 2014
Place of Presentation
Sapporo, Japan
Year and Date
2014-07-28 – 2014-08-01
Related Report
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