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Impacts of Japan's demographic change on urban reilway and required policy

Research Project

Project/Area Number 24360206
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypePartial Multi-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Civil engineering project/Traffic engineering
Research InstitutionNational Graduate Institute for Policy Studies

Principal Investigator

MORICHI Shigeru  政策研究大学院大学, 政策研究科, アカデミックフェロー (40016473)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) HIBINO Naohiko  政策研究大学院大学, 政策研究科, 准教授 (10318206)
Project Period (FY) 2012-04-01 – 2015-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2014)
Budget Amount *help
¥16,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥12,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,870,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥5,070,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,170,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥6,630,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,530,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥5,070,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,170,000)
Keywords都市鉄道 / 東京圏 / 年齢別人口 / 転入・転出人口 / 少子高齢化 / 少子高齢化社会 / 東京一極集中 / 人口構造 / 都市鉄道経営戦略 / 人口減少 / 年齢階層別人口 / コンパクトシティ / 政策評価
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The serious congestion, frequent delay and other problems of the urban railway in Tokyo have still continued, however the necessity of the improvement is disregarded because of the declined population in the future. The repeated under-estimate of the population in Tokyo Metropolitan Area by the government and the impacts of declined population on urban railway in other cities are shown in this research. Another example of our new findings is that the demographic change and the problem in the area along the each railway line in Tokyo MA is different each other. We proposed that the railway companies have to collaborate with the local governments to make generation mixed land-use and other required policies.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2014 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2013 Annual Research Report
  • 2012 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (13 results)

All 2014 2013 2012 Other

All Journal Article (8 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 2 results) Presentation (5 results)

  • [Journal Article] Impact of Japan’s Declining Birth Rate and Aging Society on Railways2014

    • Author(s)
      Morichi, S
    • Journal Title

      Japan Railways & Transport Review

      Volume: No.64 Pages: 48-57

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 人口減少下で衰退しない国土2014

    • Author(s)
      森地茂
    • Journal Title

      人と国土21

      Volume: 第39巻 Pages: 28-32

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Time Series Analysis of Age Structure for Aged Society in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area2013

    • Author(s)
      Morichi, S., Hibino, N., Makimura, Y. and Oda, T.
    • Journal Title

      Selected Proceedings of the 13th World Conference on Transportation Research

      Volume: -

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 東京都心部および近郊部における年齢構造の時系列分析2013

    • Author(s)
      牧村雄, 日比野直彦, 森地茂
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集D3(土木計画学)

      Volume: 69

    • NAID

      130004707525

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 東京都心部における年齢構造の時系列分析2012

    • Author(s)
      牧村雄, 日比野直彦, 森地茂
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究・講演集

      Volume: 45(CD-ROM)

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 多世代ミックス居住型沿線まちづくりに関する研究~東京圏を対象として~2012

    • Author(s)
      梶谷俊夫, 伊東誠, 森地茂, 小田崇徳
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究・講演集

      Volume: 46(CD-ROM)

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 東京都心部および近郊部における年齢構造の時系列分析2012

    • Author(s)
      牧村雄, 日比谷直彦, 森地茂
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究・講演集

      Volume: 46(CD-ROM)

    • NAID

      130004707525

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 東京都市圏における鉄道駅周辺に着目した人口動態の時系列分析2012

    • Author(s)
      土屋貴佳, 日比野直彦, 森地茂
    • Journal Title

      鉄道技術連合シンポジウム講演論文集

      Volume: 19 Pages: 437-440

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 少子高齢化に着目した鉄道沿線人口と輸送人員の時系列分析2014

    • Author(s)
      土屋貴佳, 日比野直彦, 森地茂
    • Organizer
      第49回土木計画学・研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      東北工業大学(宮城県仙台市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-08
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 東京都市圏における鉄道沿線の人口移動に関する研究

    • Author(s)
      土屋貴佳,日比野直彦,森地茂
    • Organizer
      土木学会 第47回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      広島工業大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 少子高齢化に着目した鉄道沿線の地域別人口の時系列分析:京阪神・東京都市圏の比較

    • Author(s)
      土屋貴佳,日比野直彦,森地茂
    • Organizer
      土木学会 第48回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪市立大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Time Series Analysis of Domestic Migration of Population along Railway Lines in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area under the Decreasing

    • Author(s)
      Tsuchiya, T., Hibino, N. and Morichi, S.
    • Organizer
      The 10th International Conference of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies
    • Place of Presentation
      Chang Yung-fa Foundation building, Taipei, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 少子高齢化に着目した鉄道沿線人口と輸送人員の時系列分析

    • Author(s)
      土屋貴佳,日比野直彦,森地茂
    • Organizer
      第20回 鉄道技術連合シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      国立オリンピック記念青少年総合センター
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2012-04-24   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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