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Development of methodologies of air transport demand forecast for proposing the effective airport management schemes

Research Project

Project/Area Number 24360207
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypePartial Multi-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Civil engineering project/Traffic engineering
Research InstitutionKobe University

Principal Investigator

TAKEBAYASHI Mikio  神戸大学, 海事科学研究科(研究院), 教授 (80236497)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) MURAKAMI Hideki  神戸大学, 経営学研究科, 教授 (90243295)
HANAOKA Shinya  東京工業大学, 理工学研究科, 准教授 (90467027)
ISHIGURO Kazuhiko  神戸大学, 海事科学研究科, 准教授 (60282034)
ISHIKURA Tomoki  首都大学東京, 都市環境科学研究科, 准教授 (30356050)
ONISHI Masamitsu  京都大学, 工学研究科, 助教 (10402968)
Project Period (FY) 2012-04-01 – 2015-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2014)
Budget Amount *help
¥16,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,900,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥7,930,000 (Direct Cost: ¥6,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,830,000)
Keywords航空輸送 / 空港運営 / ネットワーク / 需要分析 / シミュレーション / 国土計画 / 航空政策 / 規制緩和 / 空港経営 / 地域経済 / 国際航空貨客輸送
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This research project develops some methodologies for obtaining directions for strategic airport management. We propose (i) an OD traffic demand forecasting method by the demand structure analysis, (ii) a policy evaluation method considering network competitions, (iii) a methodology for proposing effective airport management schemes, (iv) a method of evaluating an impact of airport developments on a regional economy. In particular, we take an overview of the aviation policies in Asia and propose a theory for providing a rational management scheme of multiple airport system. On the other hand, we forecast the impact of such as the deregulation and the new entrance of LCC dealing with the Asia-based international passengers and the cargo transport markets and estimate the influence of the deregulation on the change within the airport hierarchy and the influence of the airport development on the regional economy.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2014 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2013 Annual Research Report
  • 2012 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (35 results)

All 2015 2014 2013 2012 Other

All Journal Article (17 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 10 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 4 results,  Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (18 results)

  • [Journal Article] Multiple Hub Network and High-Speed Railway: Connectivity, Gateway, and Airport Leakage2015

    • Author(s)
      Mikio Takebayashi
    • Journal Title

      Transportation Research Part A

      Volume: 未定 Pages: 55-64

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.tra.2015.03.024

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] The Future Relations between Air and Rail Transport in the Island Country2014

    • Author(s)
      Mikio Takebayashi
    • Journal Title

      Transportation Research A

      Volume: 62 Pages: 20-29

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.tra.2014.02.005

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report 2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 近年の米国LCCの価格戦略の変化2014

    • Author(s)
      村上英樹
    • Journal Title

      都市問題

      Volume: 105 Pages: 14-19

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 貨物価値と航空化率― 経済学的な視点からの予備的考察 ―(前編)2014

    • Author(s)
      村上英樹, 松瀬由佳里
    • Journal Title

      KANSAI空港レビュー

      Volume: 425 Pages: 20-23

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 貨物価値と航空化率― 経済学的な視点からの予備的考察 ―(後編)2014

    • Author(s)
      村上英樹, 松瀬由佳里
    • Journal Title

      KANSAI空港レビュー

      Volume: 426 Pages: 25-28

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Low-Cost Carriers versus Full Service Carriers in ASEAN: The Impact of Liberalization Policy on Competition2014

    • Author(s)
      Shinya Hanaoka, Mikio Takebayashi, Tomoki Ishikura and Batari Saraswati
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Air Transport Management

      Volume: 40 Pages: 96-105

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jairtraman.2014.06.008

    • NAID

      120006582350

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Airport-airline cooperation under commercial revenue sharing agreements: A network approach2014

    • Author(s)
      Saraswati, B. and Hanaoka, S.
    • Journal Title

      Transportation Research Part E

      Volume: 70 Pages: 17-33

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.tre.2014.06.013

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 国内線格安航空会社参入による需要誘発および航空会社間競合への影響に関する分析2014

    • Author(s)
      石倉智樹, 山本浩平, 小根山裕之
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集D3(特集号)

      Volume: 70

    • NAID

      130005070390

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Network competition and the difference in operating cost: Model analysis2013

    • Author(s)
      Mikio Takebayashi
    • Journal Title

      Transportation Research E

      Volume: 57 Pages: 85-94

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.tre.2013.01.008

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Aviation policy in Indonesia and its relation to ASEAN Single Aviation Market2013

    • Author(s)
      Saraswati, B. and Hanaoka, S
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies

      Volume: 10 Pages: 2161-2176

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Dynamics of product lifecycle and sea/air modal choice: Japan’s evidence of import and export2013

    • Author(s)
      Murakami,H.,Y. Matsuse, K. Mukaigawa, and Y. Tsunoda
    • Journal Title

      Proc. of ICASL2013

      Volume: 6 Pages: 77-94

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Future Relations between Air and Rail Transport in the Island Country2012

    • Author(s)
      Mikio Takebayashi
    • Journal Title

      Proc. Of ATRS 2012

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 港湾・空港都市における空間経済分析のための開放経済型多地域CGEモデル2012

    • Author(s)
      石倉智樹, 坂井啓一
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集

      Volume: D3 Vol.68, No.4, Pages: 305-315

    • NAID

      130004559636

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 米国におけるLCC対FSCの競争形態-クロスセクションデータを用いた推測的変動の計測-2012

    • Author(s)
      村上英樹
    • Journal Title

      運輸政策研究

      Volume: 15巻, 3号 Pages: 21-28

    • NAID

      130007623378

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] LCC参入後の航空市場形態2012

    • Author(s)
      村上英樹
    • Journal Title

      運輸と経済

      Volume: 12月号 Pages: 15-21

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] アジアのLCCの運賃分析2012

    • Author(s)
      花岡伸也
    • Journal Title

      運輸と経済

      Volume: 12月号 Pages: 22-28

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 低費用航空会社(Low Cost Carrier)の国内市場参入による影響と今後2012

    • Author(s)
      竹林幹雄
    • Journal Title

      運輸と経済

      Volume: 12月号 Pages: 59-68

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 複数空港の収益分配スキームと地域投資インセンティブ2014

    • Author(s)
      大西正光,小林潔司,萬谷和歌子
    • Organizer
      応用地域学会
    • Place of Presentation
      沖縄産業支援センター(那覇)
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-28 – 2014-11-29
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The Air Cargo Hub Competition and Network Design2014

    • Author(s)
      Mikio Takebayashi
    • Organizer
      the Fifth International Conference on Transportation and Logistics/TLOG 2014
    • Place of Presentation
      バンコク(タイ)
    • Year and Date
      2014-07-28 – 2014-07-31
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Airport Management and High Speed Railway2014

    • Author(s)
      Mikio Takebayashi
    • Organizer
      ATRS2014
    • Place of Presentation
      ボルドー(フランス)
    • Year and Date
      2014-07-16 – 2014-07-20
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 空港間ヒエラルキーの変化が貨物輸送需要および地域経済にもたらす影響2014

    • Author(s)
      石黒一彦
    • Organizer
      土木計画学
    • Place of Presentation
      東北工業大学(仙台)
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-07 – 2014-06-08
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Twin Hub Network and High-Speed Railway: Connectivity, Gateway, and Airport Leakage2013

    • Author(s)
      Mikio Takebayashi
    • Organizer
      Air Transport Research Society (ATRS 2013)
    • Place of Presentation
      Bergamo(イタリア)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 空港間競争と航空輸送ネットワーク形成に関する一考察2013

    • Author(s)
      竹林幹雄
    • Organizer
      第47回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 航空貨物輸送市場分析に関する一考察2013

    • Author(s)
      竹林幹雄
    • Organizer
      第48回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪市立大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Airline-airport cooperation in commercial revenue sharing: Network approach2013

    • Author(s)
      Saraswati, B. and Hanaoka, S
    • Organizer
      Air Transport Research Society (ATRS 2013)
    • Place of Presentation
      Bergamo(イタリア)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Access mode choice behaviour in multiple airport region: The case in Tokyo metropolitan area2013

    • Author(s)
      Fukuda, T., Fukuda, D. and Hanaoka, S.
    • Organizer
      Air Transport Research Society (ATRS 2013)
    • Place of Presentation
      Bergamo(イタリア)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Ownership structure of multiple airports and economic efficiency2013

    • Author(s)
      Onishi, M. and Hanaoka, S.
    • Organizer
      Air Transport Research Society (ATRS 2013)
    • Place of Presentation
      Bergamo(イタリア)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 国内地域間輸送を考慮した港湾・空港都市の空間経済モデル2013

    • Author(s)
      木村祐太, 石倉智樹, 小根山裕之, 鹿田成則
    • Organizer
      第47回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 国内線格安航空会社参入による航空旅客の誘発需要および転換需要に関する分析2013

    • Author(s)
      山本浩平, 石倉智樹, 小根山裕之, 鹿田成則
    • Organizer
      第47回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Impacts of LCC entry in Japans’ domestic market,2013

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki Ishikura
    • Organizer
      Air Transport Research Society (ATRS 2013)
    • Place of Presentation
      Bergamo(イタリア)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Why Public-Private Partnerships? Revisited2012

    • Author(s)
      Masamitsu Onishi, Xuelian Zhang
    • Organizer
      8th International Conference on Multi-National Joint Venture for Construction
    • Place of Presentation
      韓国
    • Year and Date
      2012-11-12
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高速鉄道と空港の接続性が旅客輸送市場に与える影響に関する一考察2012

    • Author(s)
      竹林幹雄
    • Organizer
      第46回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      埼玉大学
    • Year and Date
      2012-11-03
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Impact of ASEAN Single Aviation Market : Competition between Low-Cost Carriers and Network Carriers2012

    • Author(s)
      Shinya Hanaoka, Mikio Takebayashi, Tomoki Ishikura, Batari Saraswati
    • Organizer
      ATRS
    • Place of Presentation
      台南市(台湾)
    • Year and Date
      2012-06-29
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ネットワーク航空会社とLCC(低費用航空会社)の競合と棲み分けについて2012

    • Author(s)
      村上英樹
    • Organizer
      日本交通学会関西部会
    • Place of Presentation
      中央電機倶楽部(大阪)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 国際航空旅客需要予測におけるMCMC導入に関する一考察

    • Author(s)
      陰山健太郎,竹林幹雄
    • Organizer
      平成25年度土木学会関西支部年次学術講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪市立大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2012-04-24   Modified: 2024-07-24  

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