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Corroborative application of a numerical urban weather forecasting model coupled with a building energy model to prediction of thermal environment and electricity supply-demand in an urban area

Research Project

Project/Area Number 24360218
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypePartial Multi-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Civil and environmental engineering
Research InstitutionMeisei University

Principal Investigator

Kikegawa Yukihiro  明星大学, 理工学部, 教授 (20409519)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) IHARA TOMOHIKO  東京大学, 大学院新領域創成科学研究科, 准教授 (30392591)
OHASHI YUKITAKA  岡山理科大学, 生物地球学部, 准教授 (80388917)
NABESHIMA MINAKO  大阪市立大学, 大学院工学研究科, 准教授 (90315979)
TAKANE YUYA  国立研究開発法人産業技術総合研究所, その他部局等, 研究員 (80711952)
Project Period (FY) 2012-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥10,530,000 (Direct Cost: ¥8,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,430,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥2,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥570,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥7,150,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,650,000)
Keywords都市気象 / 建物エネルギーモデル / 電力需給 / 太陽光発電 / 都市エネルギーマネジメント / 大阪 / 都市熱環境 / 数値モデリング
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The performance of the authors’ numerical simulation system named WRF-CM-BEM was validated from the viewpoint of simultaneous prediction of urban weather and electricity supply-demand including photovoltaic power generation. For the validation, a yearlong field campaign was conducted in Osaka city. In 15 urban districts, the measurements on urban weather and areal electricity demand were obtained. The validation suggested the promising performance of WRF-CM-BEM in terms of reproducibility of the near-surface air temperature and electricity demand but with up to 40% overestimation on the latter especially in the residential districts. The observed solar radiations were well reproduced by WRF-CM-BEM within the errors of 10% under clear sky conditions, but with remarkable overestimations under cloudy sky on the other hand. Through the validation, a strategy was clarified for the improvement of WRF-CM-BEM toward more accurate predictions of solar radiation and urban electricity demand.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Annual Research Report
  • 2013 Annual Research Report
  • 2012 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (31 results)

All 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 Other

All Journal Article (10 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 9 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results) Presentation (21 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results,  Invited: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Impact of seasonal variations in weekday electricity use on urban air temperature observed in Osaka, Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      Y. Ohashi, M. Suido, Y. Kikegawa, T. Ihara, Y. Shigeta, M. Nabeshima
    • Journal Title

      Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

      Volume: Vol.142, Issue 695 Issue: 695 Pages: 971-982

    • DOI

      10.1002/qj.2698

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Numerical simulations of influence of heat island countermeasures on outdoor human heat stress in the 23 wards of Tokyo, Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      Y. Ohashi, T. Ihara, Y. Kikegawa, N. Sugiyama
    • Journal Title

      Energy and Buildings

      Volume: Vol.114 Pages: 104-111

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.enbuild.2015.06.027

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] FUTURE PROJECTION OF ELECTRICITY DEMAND AND THERMAL COMFORT FOR AUGUST IN NAGOYA CITY BY WRF-CM-BEM2015

    • Author(s)
      髙根雄也・青木翔平・亀卦川幸浩・山川洋平・原政之・近藤裕昭・飯塚悟
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Environmental Engineering (Transactions of AIJ)

      Volume: 80 Issue: 716 Pages: 973-983

    • DOI

      10.3130/aije.80.973

    • NAID

      130005109014

    • ISSN
      1348-0685, 1881-817X
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 都市気候・建物エネルギー連成数値モデルの開発と適用2015

    • Author(s)
      亀卦川幸浩
    • Journal Title

      環境科学会誌

      Volume: 28(1) Pages: 37-44

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Observed and simulated sensitivities of summertime urban surface air temperatures to anthropogenic heat in downtown areas of two Japanese major cities Tokyo and Osaka2014

    • Author(s)
      Y. Kikegawa, A. Tanaka, Y. Ohashi, T. Ihara, Y. Shigeta
    • Journal Title

      Theoretical and Applied Climatology

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 1-2 Pages: 175-193

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00704-013-0996-8

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Numerical Simulations of Outdoor Heat Stress Index and Heat Disorder Risk in the 23 Wards of Tokyo2014

    • Author(s)
      Y. Ohashi, Y. Kikegawa, T. Ihara, N. Sugiyama
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology

      Volume: 53(3) Issue: 3 Pages: 583-597

    • DOI

      10.1175/jamc-d-13-0127.1

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Assessment of urban heat island effect for different land use land cover from micrometeorological measurements and remote sensing data for megacity Delhi2013

    • Author(s)
      M. Mohan, Y. Kikegawa, B. R. Gurjar, S. Bhati, N. R. Kolli
    • Journal Title

      Theoretical and Applied Climatology

      Volume: 112 (Issue 3-4) Issue: 3-4 Pages: 647-658

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00704-012-0758-z

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 都市内の大規模緑地がもたらす大気冷却効果 ―大阪城公園の事例―2013

    • Author(s)
      重田祥範, 高岡利行, 大橋唯太, 亀卦川幸浩, 平野勇二郎
    • Journal Title

      日本生気象学会雑誌

      Volume: 50(1) Pages: 23-35

    • NAID

      10031169574

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 屋外生活空間の違いに伴う熱中症指標と温熱感・快適感の変化2013

    • Author(s)
      疋田浩之、 大橋唯太、 亀卦川幸浩、 井原智彦
    • Journal Title

      Naturalistae

      Volume: 17 Pages: 1-8

    • NAID

      40019710500

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Urban Heat Island Assessment for a Tropical Urban Airshed in India2012

    • Author(s)
      M. Mohan, Y. Kikeeawa, B. R. Gurjar, S. Bhati, A. Kandya, K. Ogawa
    • Journal Title

      Atmospheric and Climate Sciences

      Volume: 2 Issue: 02 Pages: 127-138

    • DOI

      10.4236/acs.2012.22014

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 都市気候・建物エネルギー連成数値モデルによる電力需給予測へ向けた取り組み2015

    • Author(s)
      髙根雄也・亀卦川幸浩・井原智彦・大橋唯太・山川洋平・原政之・近藤裕昭・飯塚悟
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2015年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都テルサ, 京都
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-30
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 日射空間偏差と電力需要の再現性に着目した都市気象・建物エネルギー連成数値モデルの検証2015

    • Author(s)
      山川洋平・徳武衿也・亀卦川幸浩・大橋唯太・井原智彦・重田祥範・鍋島美奈子
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2015年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都テルサ, 京都
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-30
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 街区スケールでの気象要素に対する電力感応度モデル ―日射を考慮した新たなモデルの考案―2015

    • Author(s)
      橋本侑樹・井原智彦・大橋唯太・鍋島美奈子・重田祥範・亀卦川幸浩
    • Organizer
      第10回日本ヒートアイランド学会全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      日本工業大学, 埼玉
    • Year and Date
      2015-08-29
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Comprehensive validation of a simulation system for simultaneous prediction of urban climate and building energy demand2015

    • Author(s)
      Y. Kikegawa, Y. Ohashi, T. Ihara, M. Nabeshima, Y. Shigeta
    • Organizer
      9th International Conference on Urban Climate
    • Place of Presentation
      Centre de Congres Pierre Baudis, Toulouse, France
    • Year and Date
      2015-07-24
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Sensitivity of electricity consumption to air temperature, air humidity and solar radiation in city-block scale - Based on 2013 Osaka city observation -2015

    • Author(s)
      Y. Hashimoto, T. Ihara, Y. Ohashi, M. Nabeshima, Y. Shigeta, Y. Kikegawa
    • Organizer
      9th International Conference on Urban Climate
    • Place of Presentation
      Centre de Congres Pierre Baudis, Toulouse, France
    • Year and Date
      2015-07-24
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Cooling effects of large green park on urban atmosphere observed at the Osaka Castle Park in Osaka, Japan2015

    • Author(s)
      Y. Shigeta, Y. Ohashi, Y. Kikegawa, Y. Nakamura, T. Ihara, M. Nabeshima, Y. Hirano
    • Organizer
      9th International Conference on Urban Climate
    • Place of Presentation
      Centre de Congres Pierre Baudis, Toulouse, France
    • Year and Date
      2015-07-23
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Study on measures for adaptation to future climate change in a Japanese major city Nagoya using pseudo global warming downscaling method2015

    • Author(s)
      Y. Yamakawa, Y. Kikegawa, S. Aoki, H. Kondo, Y. Takane, M. Hara, S. Iizuka
    • Organizer
      9th International Conference on Urban Climate
    • Place of Presentation
      Centre de Congres Pierre Baudis, Toulouse, France
    • Year and Date
      2015-07-21
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 平日と休日の人間活動の違いが都市熱環境に及ぼす影響 ―大阪平野における気温の年間測定から―2015

    • Author(s)
      大橋唯太・出納誠・亀卦川幸浩・井原智彦・重田祥範・鍋島美奈子
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2015年度春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      つくば国際会議場, つくば
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-22
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Life cycle impact assessment of countermeasures to urban heat island2014

    • Author(s)
      T. Ihara, Y. Kikegawa, Y. Ohashi, Y. Genchi
    • Organizer
      Third International Conference on Countermeasures to Urban Heat Island
    • Place of Presentation
      San Servolo Conference Center, Venice, Italy
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-15
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Numerical simulations of influence of heat-island countermeasures on outdoor human heat stress in the 23 wards of Tokyo, Japan2014

    • Author(s)
      Y. Ohashi, T. Ihara, Y. Kikegawa, N. Sugiyama
    • Organizer
      Third International Conference on Countermeasures to Urban Heat Island
    • Place of Presentation
      San Servolo Conference Center, Venice, Italy
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-13
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Numerical simulations of outdoor heat stress maps in the 23 wards of Tokyo, Japan2014

    • Author(s)
      Y. Ohashi, T. Ihara, Y. Kikegawa, N. Sugiyama
    • Organizer
      14th EMS Annual Meeting & 10th European Conference on Applied Climatology (ECAC)
    • Place of Presentation
      Clarion Congress Hotel Prague, Prague, Czech Republic
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-10
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Japanese validation project of a numerical model for simultaneous prediction of urban climate and building electricity demand2014

    • Author(s)
      Y. Kikegawa , Y. Ohashi, T. Ihara, M. Nabeshima, Y. Shigeta
    • Organizer
      14th EMS Annual Meeting & 10th European Conference on Applied Climatology (ECAC)
    • Place of Presentation
      Clarion Congress Hotel Prague, Prague, Czech Republic
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-09
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 屋外の温熱環境およびエネルギー需要の観点からみた気候変動適応策の影響評価2014

    • Author(s)
      山川洋平・髙根雄也・亀卦川幸浩・近藤裕昭・青木翔平・原政之・足立幸穂・飯塚悟
    • Organizer
      日本ヒートアイランド学会第9回全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      佐賀大学、佐賀市
    • Year and Date
      2014-07-26
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 街区スケールでの気温・湿度に対する電力感応度の解析と考察 ―2013 年・大阪市内の観測を通して―2014

    • Author(s)
      橋本侑樹・井原智彦・大橋唯太・鍋島美奈子・重田祥範・亀卦川幸浩
    • Organizer
      日本ヒートアイランド学会第9回全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      佐賀大学、佐賀市
    • Year and Date
      2014-07-26
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Structure of air temperature distribution and urban warming alleviation potential over Delhi2012

    • Author(s)
      Y. Kikeeawa, M. Mohan, B. R. Gurjar, K. Hokari
    • Organizer
      8th International Conference on Urban Climate
    • Place of Presentation
      University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland
    • Year and Date
      2012-08-06
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 都市気象・人体熱収支連成モデルを用いた屋外温指標の数値解析2012

    • Author(s)
      青木翔平、 菅沼拓也、 亀卦川幸浩、 疋田浩之、 大橋唯太
    • Organizer
      日本ヒートアイランド学会第7回全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学(京都市)
    • Year and Date
      2012-07-22
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 平日と休日における人間活動の違いが都市熱環境に与える影響 -大阪平野の気温とヒートインデックスの解析-

    • Author(s)
      出納誠・大橋唯太・亀卦川幸浩・引地裕基・重田祥範・井原智彦・鍋島美奈子
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会関西支部2013年度第1回例会
    • Place of Presentation
      岡山大学、岡山市
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 都市街区内における温熱環境の将来予測に向けた都市気象・建物エネルギー連成数値モデルの精度検証

    • Author(s)
      髙根雄也・大橋唯太・亀卦川幸浩・青木翔平・鍋島美奈子・重田祥範・近藤裕昭
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2013年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      仙台国際センター、仙台市
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大阪都市圏での通年・高密度日射観測にもとづく都市気象・太陽光発電量予測システムの検証

    • Author(s)
      引地裕基・加藤晏明・亀卦川幸浩・大橋唯太・重田祥範・井原智彦・鍋島美奈子
    • Organizer
      第41回環境システム研究論文発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      九州大学、福岡
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 都市気候・建物エネルギー連成シミュレーション

    • Author(s)
      亀卦川幸浩・近藤裕昭・大橋唯太・井原智彦
    • Organizer
      第54回大気環境学会年会・都市大気環境モデリング分科会
    • Place of Presentation
      朱鷺メッセ、新潟市
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 数値モデルWRF-CMBEMを用いた東京23区における屋外の熱中症ハザード・リスクの数値シミュレーション

    • Author(s)
      大橋唯太・亀卦川幸浩・井原智彦・杉山奈々美
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2013年度春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      国立オリンピック記念青少年総合センター、東京
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2012-04-24   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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