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An econometric analysis of the impacts of economic fluctuation to personal income distribution

Research Project

Project/Area Number 24530230
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Economic statistics
Research InstitutionKyushu University

Principal Investigator

SAEKI CHIKAYOSHI  九州大学, 経済学研究院, 名誉教授 (70136589)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) ホセイン モハメド シャリフ  九州大学, 学内共同利用施設等, 准教授 (30588596)
Research Collaborator FUKUI Shougo  鹿児島国際大学, 経済学部, 准教授 (80380690)
Project Period (FY) 2012-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,940,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,140,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥2,340,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥540,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Keywords景気指標 / サ-ベイデ-タ / ロジスティックビジネスサ-ベイインデックス / 所得分布 / 一般化モ-メント法 / ジニ係数 / 可変パラメ-タモデル / 景気実感 / ロジスティックビジネスサーベイインデックス / Dynamic Factor Model / 一般化ベータ分布 / 一般化モーメント法(GMM) / 最尤推定法 / 質的データ / 消費動向調査 / GMM / MaxEnt所得分布関数 / 日銀短観 / ロジステック BSI / 所得分布関数 / 所得分配調査 / 一般化モーメント法 / MaxEnt / 判断項目 / Dynamic Factor
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In this research, we focused on how economic fluctuations since 1990 affect to the personal income distribution. We are interested in business survey data and we tried to develop a new index which is called logistic business survey index and also logistic consumer sentiment index. These indices are easy to calculate, flexible and well draw the business condition.
For the purpose of our analysis, we drive the concentration index like Gini coefficients and Theil measures after estimating Lorenz curves and statistical income distribution function. Changes over time of the concentration index show the upward trend after 2010. Actually the concentration index dropped under the period of economic expansion in 2003 to 2005. But the hypothesis economic expansion will cause the decrease of income inequality may not supported because of the movement after this period. For more detailed analysis, we should consider the impact of the rapid increase of the aged people in Japan

Report

(5 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • 2012 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (7 results)

All 2016 2015 2013 Other

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (4 results)

  • [Journal Article] サーベイデータによる景気,消費者意識指数の分析2016

    • Author(s)
      佐伯親良
    • Journal Title

      経済学研究

      Volume: 1 Pages: 1-18

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] サーベイによる景気指標2013

    • Author(s)
      佐伯親良
    • Journal Title

      経済学研究

      Volume: 80 Pages: 5977-5977

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 最近の所得分布関数の推定2013

    • Author(s)
      佐伯親良
    • Journal Title

      経済学研究

      Volume: 79 Pages: 63-78

    • NAID

      120005227319

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ビジネスサーベイデータによる消費者意識の変動分析2015

    • Author(s)
      佐伯親良
    • Organizer
      九州経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-05
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] サーベイデータによる景気実感

    • Author(s)
      佐伯親良
    • Organizer
      九州経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      大分大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] A Recent Studies of Estimating Income Distribution Function

    • Author(s)
      佐伯親良
    • Organizer
      Nigerian Economic Society
    • Place of Presentation
      Abuja, Nigeria
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 最近の所得分布関数の推定

    • Author(s)
      佐伯親良
    • Organizer
      九州経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      熊本学園大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report

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Published: 2013-05-31   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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