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How has the speculation influenced international commodity market movements and resourch-rich countries?

Research Project

Project/Area Number 24530367
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Public finance/Monetary economics
Research InstitutionMusashi University

Principal Investigator

OHNO Sanae  武蔵大学, 経済学部, 教授 (40307145)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) CHANO Tsutomu  武蔵大学, 経済学部, 教授 (10532195)
KAGRAOKA Yusho  武蔵大学, 経済学部, 教授 (40328927)
HAYASHI Yasushi  立正大学, 経済学部, 教授 (30409560)
TOGO Ken  武蔵大学, 経済学部, 教授 (30308019)
Project Period (FY) 2012-04-01 – 2015-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2014)
Budget Amount *help
¥5,070,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,170,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥2,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥570,000)
Keywordsコモディティ / 流動性 / 共通ファクター / 金融危機 / 金融市場化 / 資源の呪い / オルタナティブ投資 / オルタナティ投資
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The purposes of our research project are two folds. The first purpose is to consider the financialization of commodity markets. Particularly, we attempted to clarify which determinants have become more influential for international commodity prices. The drastically expantional monetary policy implemented by major countries, coupled with the development of commodity investment instruments, has been highly likely to amplify the commodity transactions, leading to the fluctuations of the international commodity prices. This research project focuses on the impact of liquidity on commodity prices as well as correlation between prices of commodities and authodox securities. Furthermore, we showed the overview of the international commodity exchanges and suggested the link between the financialization and the establishment of the comprehensive exchange.
Secondly, we examined the foreign capital inflow of commodity exporting countries and explored the relationship with its determinants.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2014 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • 2012 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (33 results)

All 2015 2014 2013 2012

All Journal Article (11 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 2 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results) Presentation (12 results) Book (10 results)

  • [Journal Article] Do exchange rate arrangements and capital controls influence international capital flows and houging prices in Asia?2015

    • Author(s)
      Sanae Ohno, Junko Shimizu
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Asian Economics

      Volume: forthcoming Pages: 1-36

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Excess liquidity and commodity boom2014

    • Author(s)
      Sanae Ohno
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Economics, Business and Management

      Volume: 2 Pages: 99-104

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 破綻距離(DD)を用いた1990年代生保破綻の分析2014

    • Author(s)
      大塚忠義・茶野努
    • Journal Title

      経済学研究(九州大学)

      Volume: 80 Pages: 197-209

    • NAID

      120005446582

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 消費者金融会社の信用リスク―CDS プレミアムと社債スプレッドの比較―2013

    • Author(s)
      神楽岡優昌
    • Journal Title

      パーソナルファイナンス学会年報

      Volume: 13 Pages: 35-47

    • NAID

      110009674724

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Quantitative Easing, Credibility and the Time-Varying Dynamics of the Term Structure of Interest rate in Japan2013

    • Author(s)
      Zakaria Moussa, Yusho Kagraoka
    • Journal Title

      Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money

      Volume: 25 Pages: 181-201

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Excess liquidity and commodity boom2013

    • Author(s)
      大野早苗
    • Journal Title

      一般財団法人ゆうちょ財団『貯蓄・金融・経済 研究論文集』

      Volume: 平成24年度 Pages: 47-68

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] European sovereign risk: The knock-on effects of default risk across the public and financial sectors2013

    • Author(s)
      Sanae Ohno
    • Journal Title

      Public Policy Review

      Volume: Vol.9, No.1 Pages: 139-170

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Do the exchange rate arrangement and capital control influence international capital flow and housing price in Asia2013

    • Author(s)
      Sanae Ohno
    • Journal Title

      Musashi University, Faculty of Economics, Discussion Paper

      Volume: No.67 Pages: 1-39

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Foreign capital inflows of resource-rich countries: Roles of governance infrastructure and exchange rate regime2013

    • Author(s)
      Sanae Ohno
    • Journal Title

      China and the World Economy

      Volume: forthcoming Pages: 1-37

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Common dynamic factors driving metal and energy prices2012

    • Author(s)
      神楽岡優昌
    • Journal Title

      『武蔵大学論集』

      Volume: 第60巻第2号 Pages: 1-43

    • NAID

      40019580401

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] CDS、債券価格、株価の関係:消費者金融会社におけるケーススタディー2012

    • Author(s)
      茶野努
    • Journal Title

      『武蔵大学論集』

      Volume: 第60巻第1号 Pages: 1-49

    • NAID

      40019396896

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Excess liquidity and commodity boom2015

    • Author(s)
      Sanae Ohno
    • Organizer
      Singapore Economic Review Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Singapore
    • Year and Date
      2015-08-05 – 2015-08-07
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Excess liquidity and commodity boom2014

    • Author(s)
      Sanae Ohno
    • Organizer
      World Finance and Banking Symposium
    • Place of Presentation
      Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
    • Year and Date
      2014-12-12 – 2014-12-13
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Hot money, money supply, credit and residential property2013

    • Author(s)
      大野早苗・胥鵬
    • Organizer
      日本ファイナンス学会
    • Place of Presentation
      武蔵大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Hot money, money supply, credit and residential property2013

    • Author(s)
      Sanae Ohno, Peng Xu
    • Organizer
      Asia-Pacific Economic Association Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Osaka
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Do the exchange rate arrangement and capital control influence international capital flow and housing price in Asia?2013

    • Author(s)
      Sanae Ohno, Junko Shimizu
    • Organizer
      Singapore Economic Review Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Singapore
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Hot money, money supply, credit and residential property2013

    • Author(s)
      Sanae Ohno, Peng Xu
    • Organizer
      Singapore Economic Review Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Singapore
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Excess liquidity and commodity boom2013

    • Author(s)
      Sanae Ohno
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Financial Management and Economics
    • Place of Presentation
      Barcelona, Spain
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Determinants of CDS premium and bond yield spread2013

    • Author(s)
      Yusho Kagraoka
    • Organizer
      16th Conference of the Swiss Society for Financial Market Research
    • Place of Presentation
      Zurich, Swiss
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Excess liquidity and commodity boom2013

    • Author(s)
      Sanae Ohno
    • Organizer
      International Conference of Financial Management and Economics
    • Place of Presentation
      Barcelona, Spain
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Hot money flow, money supply, mortgage credit and residential property prices in China2013

    • Author(s)
      Sanae Ohno, Xu Peng
    • Organizer
      Asian Finance Association
    • Place of Presentation
      Nanchang, China
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] コモディティ市場は金融市場化したのか? 構造VARに基づく検証2012

    • Author(s)
      大野早苗 茶野努
    • Organizer
      日本金融学会春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      立正大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Do the exchange rate arrangement and capital control influence international capital frow and housing price in Asia?2012

    • Author(s)
      Sanae Ohno, Junko Shimizu
    • Organizer
      Asia-Pacific Economic Association
    • Place of Presentation
      Singapore
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 「金融危機時における金融機関のCDS: 流動性逼迫の影響とシステミック・リスク」茶野努編『経済価値ベースのERM』2015

    • Author(s)
      大野早苗
    • Publisher
      中央経済社
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 「コモディティ価格の決定要因:実需要因と流動性要因」池尾和人・大野早苗編『コモディティ市場と投資戦略』(第3章所収)2014

    • Author(s)
      大野早苗
    • Total Pages
      328
    • Publisher
      勁草書房
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 「結語」 池尾和人・大野早苗編『コモディティ市場と投資戦略』2014

    • Author(s)
      大野早苗
    • Total Pages
      328
    • Publisher
      勁草書房
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 「コモディティ価格の決定要因:実需要因と流動性要因」、池尾和人・大野早苗編『コモディティ市場と投資戦略』(第3章所収)2014

    • Author(s)
      大野早苗
    • Publisher
      勁草書房
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 「コモディティは金融市場化したのか?」、池尾和人・大野早苗編『コモディティ市場と投資戦略』(第6章所収)2014

    • Author(s)
      茶野努
    • Publisher
      勁草書房
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 「わが国の規制動向と総合取引所構想」、池尾和人・大野早苗編『コモディティ市場と投資戦略』(第11章所収)2014

    • Author(s)
      車田直昭・林康史
    • Publisher
      勁草書房
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 「結語」、池尾和人・大野早苗編『コモディティ市場と投資戦略』2014

    • Author(s)
      大野早苗
    • Publisher
      勁草書房
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 「CDSによるリスク管理とプライシングの謎」、大村敬一・高野真編『金融ビジネスの病態と素因』第11章所収2013

    • Author(s)
      茶野努
    • Publisher
      きんざい
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 「アジアの住宅価格に関する検証:国際金融のトリレンマの観点から」 大野早苗・黒坂佳央編『過剰流動性とアジア経済』第4章所収2013

    • Author(s)
      大野早苗 清水順子
    • Publisher
      日本評論社
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 「国際的流動性の中国住宅価格高騰への影響:金融政策、住宅融資、海外資本流入の検証」 大野早苗・黒坂佳央編『過剰流動性とアジア経済』第5章所収2013

    • Author(s)
      大野早苗 胥鵬
    • Publisher
      日本評論社
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report

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Published: 2013-05-31   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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