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Feasibility Study of Land-use Regulation in Flood Hazard Area using VaR with Flood Risk Curve

Research Project

Project/Area Number 24560645
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Civil engineering project/Traffic engineering
Research InstitutionKumamoto University

Principal Investigator

KAKIMOTO RYUJI  熊本大学, 自然科学研究科, 教授 (00253716)

Project Period (FY) 2012-04-01 – 2015-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2014)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,940,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,140,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Keywords水害リスクカーブ / 流域管理的治水 / 土地利用規制 / 予防的避難 / 氾濫シミュレーション / 災害危険区域 / 防護動機理論 / 洪水ハザードマップ / 災害時の避難 / 経済的被害
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Since 1950s, the large number of flood control facilities such as dam, levee, and flood storage basin has been constructed in Japan. These infrastructures reduced the frequency of flood, and it made population and property accumulate in the flood area. Since such area is still vulnerable for flood, the potential of economic loss may increase. Then, it is assumed that socioeconomic risk structure changes to low-frequency and catastrophe type. This is a paradox of flood control. In this paper, spatial land use patterns are observed before/after construction of flood control facilities, and the dynamic changes of flood risk curves are empirically analyzed to confirm this paradox. Then, the need for integrated flood risk management is proposed and the effectiveness of land use regulation for flood area is tested.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2014 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • 2012 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (52 results)

All 2015 2014 2013 2012

All Journal Article (35 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 17 results) Presentation (17 results)

  • [Journal Article] 水害対策の実施主体の空白化指標の提案2015

    • Author(s)
      吉田護
    • Journal Title

      自然災害科学

      Volume: 33(4) Pages: 347-358

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 予防的避難の阻害要因と促進要因に関する分析2014

    • Author(s)
      柿本竜治
    • Journal Title

      都市計画学会学術研究論文集

      Volume: Vol.49, No.3 Pages: 321-326

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 災害マネジメントフェーズを考慮した住民の自助・共助・公助と減災行動2014

    • Author(s)
      吉田護
    • Journal Title

      都市計画学会学術研究論文集

      Volume: Vol.49, No.3 Pages: 297-302

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Local Hazard Mitigation Plan is Properly Working?2014

    • Author(s)
      Hwayoung Kim
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Korea Society of Hazard Mitigation

      Volume: Vol. 14, No. 5 Pages: 1-10

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 減災型地域社会リーダーのコンピテンシーの提案と自主防災組織メンバーの認識2014

    • Author(s)
      吉田護
    • Journal Title

      自然災害科学

      Volume: Vol.33(特集号) Pages: 115-125

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Factors in Stimulating Evacuation Behavior during Floods2014

    • Author(s)
      Ryuji Kakimoto
    • Journal Title

      The10th Annual International Conference of the International Institute for Infrastructure Renewal and Reconstruction the Disaster Management

      Volume: - Pages: 752-81

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Resilient Cities: Plan Evaluation for Floods2014

    • Author(s)
      Hwayoung Kim
    • Journal Title

      The10th Annual International Conference of the International Institute for Infrastructure Renewal and Reconstruction the Disaster Management

      Volume: - Pages: 62-74

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 自主防災組織の活性化のための構造化分析2014

    • Author(s)
      上野靖晃
    • Journal Title

      第33回日本自然災害学会 学術講演会 講演概要集

      Volume: - Pages: 71-72

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 熊本県における「予防的避難」の取組みついて2014

    • Author(s)
      星出和裕
    • Journal Title

      第33回日本自然災害学会 学術講演会 講演概要集

      Volume: - Pages: 177-178

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 予防的避難実施の課題と展望2014

    • Author(s)
      星出和裕
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究・講演集

      Volume: Vol.49

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] PT調査データを用いたインフルエンザの時空間伝染モデルの構築2014

    • Author(s)
      吉田護
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究・講演集

      Volume: Vol.50

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 活動責任者の明示化による自主防災組織活動の活性化2014

    • Author(s)
      上野靖晃
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究・講演集

      Volume: Vol.50

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] ハフモデルによる消費者行動分析2014

    • Author(s)
      村社来夢
    • Journal Title

      平成27年度土木学会西部支部研究発表会

      Volume: - Pages: 525-526

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 災害リスク認知と減災行動のギャップ2014

    • Author(s)
      上野靖晃
    • Journal Title

      平成27年度土木学会西部支部研究発表会

      Volume: - Pages: 577-578

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 防護動機理論に基づく予防的避難の住民意識分析2014

    • Author(s)
      那須弘明
    • Journal Title

      平成27年度土木学会西部支部研究発表会

      Volume: - Pages: 583-584

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] GISを用いた阿蘇地域における地すべり危険度評価2014

    • Author(s)
      北里紘基
    • Journal Title

      平成27年度土木学会西部支部研究発表会

      Volume: - Pages: 591-592

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 水害リスクカーブ用いた土地利用規制の実行可能性の検証2014

    • Author(s)
      松下朋弘
    • Journal Title

      平成27年度土木学会西部支部研究発表会

      Volume: - Pages: 593-594

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 土地利用や社会基盤施設利用の効率性に基づくコンパクト性評価指標の提案2014

    • Author(s)
      熊澤大地
    • Journal Title

      平成27年度土木学会西部支部研究発表会

      Volume: - Pages: 595-596

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 自主避難要因分析2014

    • Author(s)
      天本昌吾
    • Journal Title

      平成25年度 土木学会西部支部研究発表会講演概要集

      Volume: CD-ROM

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 避難情報の発令基準及びタイミング分析2014

    • Author(s)
      高塚祐貴
    • Journal Title

      平成25年度 土木学会西部支部研究発表会講演概要集

      Volume: CD-ROM

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 地域コミュニティと水害時の避難促進要因2013

    • Author(s)
      柿本竜治
    • Journal Title

      都市計画学会学術研究論文集

      Volume: Vol.48, No.3 Pages: 945-950

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Expression of Flood Risk Information and Recognition of Flood Risk2013

    • Author(s)
      Ryuji Kakimoto
    • Journal Title

      Proc. of The 9th Annual International Conference of the International Institute for Infrastructure Renewal and Reconstruction the Disaster Management

      Volume: USB

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Perceived Ambiguity of Earthquake and House Destruction Risks2013

    • Author(s)
      Toshio Fujimi
    • Journal Title

      Proc. of The 9th Annual International Conference of the International Institute for Infrastructure Renewal and Reconstruction the Disaster Management

      Volume: USB

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Making a resilient community for flooding2013

    • Author(s)
      Hwayoung Kim
    • Journal Title

      Proc. of The 9th Annual International Conference of the International Institute for Infrastructure Renewal and Reconstruction the Disaster Management

      Volume: USB

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 九州北部豪雨時の洪水避難行動分析2013

    • Author(s)
      柿本竜治
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究・講演集

      Volume: Vol.47

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 水害対策の実施主体の認識のずれ指標の提案2013

    • Author(s)
      吉田護
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究・講演集

      Volume: Vol.48

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 住民・自主防災組織リーダー・行政間での減災意識のズレの構造分析2013

    • Author(s)
      井崎 丈
    • Journal Title

      平成24年度 土木学会西部支部研究発表会講演概要集

      Volume: CD-ROM

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 社会や地域コミュニティの状況を考慮した避難行動分析2013

    • Author(s)
      二宮佳大
    • Journal Title

      平成24年度 土木学会西部支部研究発表会講演概要集

      Volume: CD-ROM

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 水害危険地域への土地利用規制導入効果検証への水害リスクカーブの適用2012

    • Author(s)
      柿本竜治
    • Journal Title

      都市計画学会学術研究論文集

      Volume: Vol.47, No.3 Pages: 901-906

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 水害リスク情報の表現方法が水害リスク認知の促進に及ぼす影響について2012

    • Author(s)
      柿本竜治
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集D3

      Volume: Vol.68, No.5 Pages: 175-183

    • NAID

      130004559688

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Dynamic Change of Flood Risk Curve by Flood Control and Land-use2012

    • Author(s)
      Kakimoto, R.
    • Journal Title

      Proc. of the Disaster Management 2012

      Volume: CD-ROM

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Constructing a Sustainable Community: Developing Plan Context Indicators in Japan2012

    • Author(s)
      Kim, H.
    • Journal Title

      Proc. of the Disaster Management 2012

      Volume: CD-ROM

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Investigation on Factors to Bias Perceived Risk of House Destruction2012

    • Author(s)
      Fjimi, T.
    • Journal Title

      Proc. of the Disaster Management 2012

      Volume: CD-ROM

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Flood Risk Curve Generation System with the Uncleaness of Estimating a Spatial Distribution of Land Use2012

    • Author(s)
      Tashiro, T.
    • Journal Title

      Proc. of the Disaster Management 2012

      Volume: CD-ROM

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 遊水池と土地利用規制効果の評価2012

    • Author(s)
      柿本竜治
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究・講演集

      Volume: Vol.45

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 自主避難要因分析2014

    • Author(s)
      天本昌吾
    • Organizer
      平成25年度 土木学会西部支部研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      福岡市・福岡大学七隈キャンパス
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 避難情報の発令基準及びタイミング分析2014

    • Author(s)
      高塚祐貴
    • Organizer
      平成25年度 土木学会西部支部研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      福岡市・福岡大学七隈キャンパス
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (LHMP) is Properly Working?: Evaluation for the LHMP of Kumamoto City2014

    • Author(s)
      Hwayoung Kim
    • Organizer
      韓国防災学会
    • Place of Presentation
      韓国・ソウル・仁荷大学校
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 地域コミュニティと水害時の避難促進要因2013

    • Author(s)
      柿本竜治
    • Organizer
      2013年度日本都市計画学会学術研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京都新宿区・法政大学市ヶ谷田町校舎
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Expression of Flood Risk Information and Recognition of Flood Risk2013

    • Author(s)
      Ryuji Kakimoto
    • Organizer
      The 9th Annual International Conference of the International Institute for Infrastructure Renewal and Reconstruction the Disaster Management
    • Place of Presentation
      オーストラリア・ブリスベン・クイーンズランド工科大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Perceived Ambiguity of Earthquake and House Destruction Risks2013

    • Author(s)
      Toshio Fujimi
    • Organizer
      The 9th Annual International Conference of the International Institute for Infrastructure Renewal and Reconstruction the Disaster Management
    • Place of Presentation
      オーストラリア・ブリスベン・クイーンズランド工科大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Making a resilient community for flooding2013

    • Author(s)
      Hwayoung Kim
    • Organizer
      The 9th Annual International Conference of the International Institute for Infrastructure Renewal and Reconstruction the Disaster Management
    • Place of Presentation
      オーストラリア・ブリスベン・クイーンズランド工科大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 九州北部豪雨時の洪水避難行動分析2013

    • Author(s)
      柿本竜治
    • Organizer
      第47回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      五日市・広島工業大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 水害対策の実施主体の認識のずれ指標の提案2013

    • Author(s)
      吉田護
    • Organizer
      第48回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪市・大阪市立大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 住民・自主防災組織リーダー・行政間での減災意識のズレの構造分析2013

    • Author(s)
      井崎 丈
    • Organizer
      平成24年度 土木学会西部支部研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      熊本市・熊本大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 社会や地域コミュニティの状況を考慮した避難行動分析2013

    • Author(s)
      二宮佳大
    • Organizer
      平成24年度 土木学会西部支部研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      熊本市・熊本大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 水害危険地域への土地利用規制導入効果検証への水害リスクカーブの適用2012

    • Author(s)
      柿本竜治
    • Organizer
      2012年度日本都市計画学会学術研究論文発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      弘前市・弘前大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 遊水池と土地利用規制効果の評価2012

    • Author(s)
      柿本竜治
    • Organizer
      第45回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都市・京都大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Dynamic Change of Flood Risk Curve by Flood Control and Land-use2012

    • Author(s)
      Kakimoto, R.
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Disaster Management 2012
    • Place of Presentation
      熊本市・熊本交通センターホテル
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Constructing a Sustainable Community: Developing Plan Context Indicators in Japan2012

    • Author(s)
      Kim, H.
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Disaster Management 2012
    • Place of Presentation
      熊本市・熊本交通センターホテル
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Investigation on Factors to Bias Perceived Risk of House Destruction2012

    • Author(s)
      Fjimi, T.
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Disaster Management 2012
    • Place of Presentation
      熊本市・熊本交通センターホテル
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Flood Risk Curve Generation System with the Uncleaness of Estimating a Spatial Distribution of Land Use2012

    • Author(s)
      Tashiro, T.
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Disaster Management 2012
    • Place of Presentation
      熊本市・熊本交通センターホテル
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report

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Published: 2013-05-31   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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