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Development of a numerical model for utility demand prediction considering stochastic nature of occupants behavior and scenario analysis

Research Project

Project/Area Number 24560716
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Architectural environment/equipment
Research InstitutionKyushu University

Principal Investigator

HAGISHIMA Aya  九州大学, 総合理工学研究科(研究院), 准教授 (60294980)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) TANIMOTO Jun  九州大学, 総合理工学研究科(研究院), 教授 (60227238)
IKEGAYA Naoki  九州大学, 総合理工学研究科(研究院), 助教 (70628213)
Project Period (FY) 2012-04-01 – 2015-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2014)
Budget Amount *help
¥5,460,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,260,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥2,860,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥660,000)
Keywords空調負荷 / エネルギー需要予測 / 省エネルギー / 居住者行動
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Accurate demand prediction of electricity, space cooling/heating and hot water is critical for dissimilating high-performance cogeneration systems in the housing sector. This research aims to contribute to this social requirement by improving a numerical modelling scheme, TUD-PS (Total Utility Demand Prediction System). Through this research projects, we have revised TUD-PS to improve its accuracy and versatility. The main activity can be summarized as follows. 1) Improvement of the state transition probability functions for occupants’ behavior of A/C operation and window-open/close, 2) dynamic modelling of COP of A/C, 3) structuring main source code. Furthermore, we conducted a systematic numerical experiment by using the revised TUD-PS to quantify the effects of various factors of both eco-friendly behaviors and building specifications on thermal load.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2014 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • 2012 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (7 results)

All 2015 2014 2013 2012

All Journal Article (4 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 4 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results) Presentation (3 results) (of which Invited: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] 居住者の生活スケジュールの多様性を考慮した負荷計算に基づく省エネ行動の評価2014

    • Author(s)
      萩島 理, 谷本 潤, 池谷 直樹, 藤原優也
    • Journal Title

      空気調和衛生後学会論文集

      Volume: 205 Pages: 17-24

    • NAID

      110009975432

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 居住者の生活スケジュールの多様性を考慮した 負荷計算に基づく省エネ行動の評価2014

    • Author(s)
      萩島理,谷本潤,池谷直樹,藤原優也
    • Journal Title

      空気調和衛生後学会論文集

      Volume: 203 Pages: 17-24

    • NAID

      110009975432

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Total utility demand prediction for multi-dwelling sites by a bottom-up approach considering variations of inhabitants' behaviour schedules2013

    • Author(s)
      Jun TANIMOTO, Aya HAGISHIMA, Takeshi IWAI, Naoki IKEGAYA
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Building Performance Simulation

      Volume: 6(1) Pages: 53-64

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 生活スケジュールの多様性を考慮した負荷計算に基づく集合住宅の熱負荷の確率密度関数2012

    • Author(s)
      萩島理,谷本潤,池谷直樹,光安清次郎
    • Journal Title

      空気調和・衛生工学会論文集

      Volume: No.184 Pages: 11-17

    • NAID

      110009495679

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 住宅における冷房使用行動の確率性状に関する考察2015

    • Author(s)
      深見亮介, 萩島 理, 谷本 潤, 池谷直樹
    • Organizer
      2015年日本建築学会大会 学術講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      東海大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-04 – 2015-09-06
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Occupant Behavior Related to Space Cooling in a High Rise Residential Building Located in a Tropical Region2014

    • Author(s)
      N.F. Mat Hanip, S.A Zaki, Aya Hagishima, Jun Tanimoto, M.S.M Ali
    • Organizer
      the 2nd Asia Conference of International Building Performance Simulation Association
    • Place of Presentation
      Nagoya, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-28
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Stochastic characteristics of thermal load in a single dwelling in a residential building based on building energy simulation coupled with a sub-model for considering variation on behavior schedules of residents2013

    • Author(s)
      Aya HAGISHIMA, Jun TANIMOTO
    • Organizer
      13th Int. IBPSA Conf. Building Simulation 2013, Chambery, France (1446-1450頁)"
    • Place of Presentation
      Chamberry, France
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Invited

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Published: 2013-05-31   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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