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Catching Bid Rigging: New Detectors of Bid Rigging, with Application to Bidding Data before and after Corrupted Governors' Arrest

Research Project

Project/Area Number 24653035
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Exploratory Research

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Politics
Research InstitutionGakushuin University

Principal Investigator

FUKUMOTO Kentaro  学習院大学, 法学部, 教授 (50272414)

Project Period (FY) 2012-04-01 – 2015-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2014)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Keywords談合 / 入札 / 統計分析 / 知事 / 汚職
Outline of Final Research Achievements

I make electronic dataset files of individual bidding in Wakayama and Fukushima Prefectures, using paper materials. I cleanse electronic dataset files of Fukushima and Miyazaki Prefectures and Chiba City and register them into a database with format unified. For each prefecture and city in each year, I calculate average values of (1) the ratios of the maximum bids to the upper limit, (2) my effective number of different digits, and (3) my Benford index. As expected, (1) decreases and (2) increases after 2006 or 2009 when the governors or the mayor was arrested. However, there is no pattern of (3).

Report

(4 results)
  • 2014 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • 2012 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (13 results)

All 2013 2012

All Journal Article (2 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 1 results) Presentation (9 results) Book (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] 得票の継承に対する世襲の効果:政党投票・候補者投票との比較2013

    • Author(s)
      福元健太郎・中川馨
    • Journal Title

      選挙研究

      Volume: 29巻2号 Pages: 118-128

    • NAID

      130006246937

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 「ゲームで学ぶ政治学8(最終回) 政治家不信、官僚不信」2012

    • Author(s)
      福元 健太郎
    • Journal Title

      『UP』

      Volume: 41(6) Pages: 38-43

    • NAID

      40019350020

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Political Ticket-Fixing2013

    • Author(s)
      福元健太郎
    • Organizer
      公共選択学会
    • Place of Presentation
      駒沢大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Political Ticket-Fixing2013

    • Author(s)
      福元健太郎
    • Organizer
      行動計量学会
    • Place of Presentation
      東邦大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Political Ticket-Fixing2013

    • Author(s)
      福元健太郎
    • Organizer
      日本選挙学会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Political Ticket-Fixing2013

    • Author(s)
      福元健太郎
    • Organizer
      Midwest Political Science Association
    • Place of Presentation
      Chicago, Palmer House Hilton
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Event Count Time-Series Models: A Bayesian State-Space2013

    • Author(s)
      Andreas Beger、Kentaro Fukumoto, and Will H. Moore
    • Organizer
      Midwest Political Science Association
    • Place of Presentation
      Chicago, Palmer House Hilton
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Boundary that Matters: Causal Inference of the School Quality Effect on Land Prices2013

    • Author(s)
      福元健太郎・吉田あつし
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      富山大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Boundary that Matters: Causal Inference of the School Quality Effect on Land Prices2013

    • Author(s)
      福元健太郎・吉田あつし
    • Organizer
      Society for Political Methodology
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Virginia
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] "Detecting Unnatural Patterns in Radioactivity Monitoring Statistics in Japan through Natural Experiments"2013

    • Author(s)
      福元 健太郎
    • Organizer
      人工知能学会・人工知能基本問題研究会 第88回第88回FPAI研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      石垣市民会館
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 「不自然に低い空間放射線量率測定値:自然実験的アプローチ」2012

    • Author(s)
      福元 健太郎
    • Organizer
      第16回実験社会科学カンファレンス
    • Place of Presentation
      青山学院大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 応用数理ハンドブック2013

    • Author(s)
      福元健太郎
    • Total Pages
      685
    • Publisher
      朝倉書店
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 現代の日本政治 カラオケ民主主義から歌舞伎民主主義へ2013

    • Author(s)
      福元健太郎
    • Total Pages
      295
    • Publisher
      原書房
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2013-05-31   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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