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Expectations Heterogeneity and Economic Policy

Research Project

Project/Area Number 24730253
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Economic policy
Research InstitutionHosei University

Principal Investigator

HIRATA Hideaki  法政大学, 経営学部, 教授 (60409349)

Project Period (FY) 2012-04-01 – 2015-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2014)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,990,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥690,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Keywords期待 / 株価 / 生産 / 連動性 / 経済政策 / ボラティリティ / 国際連動性 / アメリカ合衆国
Outline of Final Research Achievements

I conduct research on asset prices from different angles, given the fact that expectations are heterogeneous. First, Japanese stock market professionals use either fundamental or trend-following strategies and they switch between them over time. This strategy switching can be key in understanding the persistent deviation of the stock prices from the fundamentals. Second, I examine the properties of house price fluctuations across eighteen advanced economies. House price synchronization is mainly determined by global interest rate shocks and uncertainty shocks. Third, I investigate the effects of cross-border capital flows in financial markets on pairwise excess stock return comovements in Emerging Asia. Increased comovements are explained not by bilateral capital flows between Asian countries but by capital flows from the G7 countries.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2014 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • 2012 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (20 results)

All 2015 2014 2013 2012 Other

All Journal Article (9 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 7 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 2 results) Presentation (7 results) (of which Invited: 1 results) Book (3 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] アジア地域における景気波及経路の拡大の影響2015

    • Author(s)
      平田英明
    • Journal Title

      経営志林

      Volume: 51 Pages: 51-64

    • NAID

      120006471486

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] “Preference Shocks, International Frictions, and International Business Cycles.”2014

    • Author(s)
      Hirata, Hideaki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Asian Economics

      Volume: 34 Pages: 92-104

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.asieco.2014.07.002

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Small Business Credit Scoring and its pitfalls: Evidence from Japan.2013

    • Author(s)
      Hasumi, Ryo & Hirata, Hideaki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Small Business Management

      Volume: 52-2 Issue: 3 Pages: 1-14

    • DOI

      10.1111/jsbm.12049

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report 2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Strategy switching in the Japanese stock market.2013

    • Author(s)
      Yamamoto, Ryuichi & Hirata, Hideaki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control

      Volume: 37-10 Issue: 10 Pages: 2010-2022

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jedc.2013.05.006

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Closer to Home2013

    • Author(s)
      Hirata, Hideaki, Kose, Ayhan & Otrok, Chris
    • Journal Title

      Finance & Development

      Volume: 50-3 Pages: 40-43

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Global House Price Fluctuations: Synchronization and Determinants2013

    • Author(s)
      Hideaki Hirata, M. Ayhan Kose, Christopher Otrok, Marco E. Terrones
    • Journal Title

      IMF Working Paper

      Volume: WP/13/38 Pages: 1-47

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Regionalization vs. Globalization2013

    • Author(s)
      Hideaki Hirata, M. Ayhan Kose and Christopher Otrok
    • Journal Title

      IMF Working Paper

      Volume: WP/13/19 Pages: 1-65

    • DOI

      10.2139/ssrn.2197892

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Belief changes and expectation heterogeneity in buy- and sell-side professionals in the Japanese stock market2012

    • Author(s)
      Yamamoto, Ryuichi and Hirata, Hideaki
    • Journal Title

      Pacific Basin Finance Journal

      Volume: 20-5 Issue: 5 Pages: 723-744

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.pacfin.2012.03.001

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Global House Price Fluctuations: Synchronization and Determinants2012

    • Author(s)
      Hideaki Hirata, M. Ayhan Kose, Christopher Otrok, Marco E. Terrones
    • Journal Title

      NBER Working Paper

      Volume: 18362 Pages: 1-44

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] “The Effects of Economic Globalization and Regionalization on Business Cycles and Stock Markets.”2015

    • Author(s)
      Hideaki Hirata
    • Organizer
      Harvard University Asia Center Modern Asia Seminar Series
    • Place of Presentation
      Harvard University (米国)
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-13
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] “Emerging Stock Markets Comovements and the Third-country Effects.”2015

    • Author(s)
      Hideaki Hirata
    • Organizer
      Eastern Economic Association Annual Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      New York (米国)
    • Year and Date
      2015-02-27
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] “The Effects of Economic Globalization and Regionalization on Business Cycles and Stock Markets.”2014

    • Author(s)
      Hideaki Hirata
    • Organizer
      Brandeis University International Business School Seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Brandeis University (米国)
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-17
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] “Tohoku Small Businesses, Three Years after the 2011 Disasters.”2014

    • Author(s)
      Hideaki Hirata
    • Organizer
      rogram on U.S.-Japan Relations of Weatherhead Center, Prospects for Japan's Economic Growth
    • Place of Presentation
      Harvard University (米国)
    • Year and Date
      2014-05-13
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Global House Price Fluctuations: Synchronization and Determinants2012

    • Author(s)
      平田英明
    • Organizer
      第14回マクロコンファレンス
    • Place of Presentation
      ホテル阪急エキスポパーク(吹田市)
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Differentiated Use of Small Business Credit Scoring by Relationship Lenders and Transactional Lenders2012

    • Author(s)
      小野有人・平田英明
    • Organizer
      CEPR-ECB-Indiana University-Review of Finance Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      欧州中央銀行(独フランクフルト)
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Regionalization vs. Globalization2012

    • Author(s)
      平田英明
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道大学(札幌市)
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 東日本大震災復興研究IV2015

    • Author(s)
      植杉威一郎・石瀬寛和・中島賢太郎・平田英明・細野薫・宮川大介
    • Total Pages
      315
    • Publisher
      南北社
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] "Global House Price Fluctuations: Synchronization and Determinants." in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics2013

    • Author(s)
      Hirata, Hideaki, Kose, Ayhan, Otrok, Chris, & Terrones Marco pp. 119-166
    • Total Pages
      48
    • Publisher
      University of Chicago Press
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Book] “Globalization vs. Regionalization.” Global Interdependence, in Decoupling and Recoupling,2013

    • Author(s)
      Hirata, Hideaki, Ayhan Kose, & Chris Otrok
    • Total Pages
      44
    • Publisher
      MIT Press
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] Synchronization of Housing Markets: How? What?

    • URL

      http://www.vox.lacea.org/?q=global_housing_markets

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2013-05-31   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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