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A theoretical study on the financial instability hypothesis

Research Project

Project/Area Number 24730267
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Public finance/Monetary economics
Research InstitutionNagoya University

Principal Investigator

FUJITA Shinya  名古屋大学, 経済学研究科(研究院), 准教授 (80452184)

Project Period (FY) 2012-04-01 – 2014-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2013)
Budget Amount *help
¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥390,000 (Direct Cost: ¥300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥90,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Keywords金融不安定性 / 景気循環 / 金融化 / 労働供給制約
Research Abstract

This study investigates the mechanism of the financial instability process a la H. P. Minsky by using Keynesian dynamic macro-models. Our results are summarized as follows. First, if investment responds strongly to retained profits, a decrease in the retention ratio reduces the long-run rate of capital accumulation and raises the debt-capital ratio. Second, if a negative shock makes the debt-capital ratio sufficiently high, then the economy becomes unstable and the financial structure of firms moves from sound position called the Speculative finance to the more risky position called Ponzi finance. Third, if we consider the long-run case where labor supply constraints influence economic growth, then the financial position circulates between the Speculative finance and Ponzi finance regimes.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2013 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2012 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (8 results)

All 2014 2012

All Journal Article (4 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 2 results) Presentation (4 results)

  • [Journal Article] Pro-shareholder income distribution, debt accumulation, and cyclical fluctuations in a post-Keynesian model with labor supply constraints2014

    • Author(s)
      Sasaki, H. and S. Fujita
    • Journal Title

      European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies : Intervention

      Volume: Vol. 11, No. 1 Pages: 10-30

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Increased shareholder power and its long-run macroeconomic effects in a Kaleckian model with debt accumulation2014

    • Author(s)
      Sasaki, H. and S. Fujita
    • Journal Title

      The Kyoto Economic Review

      Volume: (forthcoming)

    • NAID

      120005611433

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Pro-shareholder income distribution, debt accumulation, and cyclical fluctuations in a post-Keynesian model with labor supply constraints2014

    • Author(s)
      Hiroaki Sasaki, Shinya Fujita
    • Journal Title

      European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention

      Volume: 11 Pages: 1-21

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Increased shareholder power and its long-run macroeconomic effects in a Kaleckian model with debt accumulation2014

    • Author(s)
      Hiroaki Sasaki, Shinya Fujita
    • Journal Title

      Kyoto Economic Review

      Volume: 81

    • NAID

      120005611433

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Income distribution, debt accumulation, and financial fragility in a Kaleckian model with labor supply constraints2012

    • Author(s)
      藤田真哉
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Analytical Political Economy in Japan
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学
    • Year and Date
      2012-11-24
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Financial fragility in a Kaleckian model with labor supply constraints2012

    • Author(s)
      Sasaki, H. and S. Fujita
    • Organizer
      16th Conference of the Research Network Macroeconomics and Macroeconomic Policies (FMM)"The Sate of Economics after the Crisis"
    • Place of Presentation
      BEST WESTERN PREMIER Hotel Steglitz International, Berlin
    • Year and Date
      2012-10-27
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Financial Fragility in a Kaleckian Model with Labor Supply Constraints2012

    • Author(s)
      Hiroaki Sasaki, Shinya Fujita
    • Organizer
      16th Conference of the Research Network Macroeconomics and Macroeconomic Policies
    • Place of Presentation
      BEST WESTERN PREMIER Hotel Steglitz International, Berlin
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Income Distribution, Debt Accumulation, and Financial Fragility in a Kaleckian Model with Labor Supply Constraints2012

    • Author(s)
      Shinya Fujita
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Analytical Political Economy in Japan
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report

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Published: 2013-05-31   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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