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Evaluation of informative hypothesis for psychological data

Research Project

Project/Area Number 24730544
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Educational psychology
Research InstitutionSenshu University

Principal Investigator

Okada Kensuke  専修大学, 人間科学部, 准教授 (20583793)

Project Period (FY) 2012-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Keywords仮説検定 / 情報仮説 / 効果量 / ベイズ統計学 / 統計改革 / 心理統計学 / ベイズ推定 / 縦断データ / 階層データ / 潜在変数
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Psychological science has been relying heavily on the framework of statistical hypothesis testing. However, recently, the adverse effect of this has been pointed out by many researchers. Thus, this study aims at developing new methods based on the frameworks of informative hypothesis and effect size to address this problem. The proposed methods are numerically evaluated and then applied to real data to demonstrate their effectiveness.

Report

(6 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • 2012 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (42 results)

All 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (2 results) Journal Article (11 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 8 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 8 results,  Open Access: 4 results) Presentation (27 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Invited: 6 results) Remarks (2 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of California, Irvine(米国)

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of California, Irvine(米国)

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Negative estimate of variance-accounted-for effect size: How often it is obtained, and what happens if it is treated as zero2017

    • Author(s)
      Okada, K.
    • Journal Title

      Behavior Research Methods

      Volume: 49 Issue: 3 Pages: 979-987

    • DOI

      10.3758/s13428-016-0760-y

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Researchers’ choice of the number and range of levels in experiments affects the resultant variance-accounted-for effect size2017

    • Author(s)
      Okada, K. & Hoshino, T.
    • Journal Title

      Psychological Bulletin & Review

      Volume: 24 Issue: 2 Pages: 607-616

    • DOI

      10.3758/s13423-016-1128-0

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] A Bayesian approach to modeling group and individual differences in multidimensional scaling2016

    • Author(s)
      Okada, K. & Lee, M.D.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Mathematical Psychology

      Volume: 70 Pages: 35-44

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jmp.2015.12.005

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] ベイズ推定による情報仮説の評価:その理論と各種モデルへの応用について2016

    • Author(s)
      岡田謙介
    • Journal Title

      専修人間科学論集 心理学篇

      Volume: 6 Pages: 9-17

    • NAID

      120006793208

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] ベイズ推定による情報仮説の評価:その理論と各種モデルへの応用について2016

    • Author(s)
      岡田謙介
    • Journal Title

      専修人間科学論集心理学篇

      Volume: 6

    • NAID

      120006793208

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Bayesian meta-analysis of Cronbach's coefficient alpha to evaluate informative hypotheses2015

    • Author(s)
      Okada, K.
    • Journal Title

      Research Synthesis Methods

      Volume: 6 Issue: 4 Pages: 333-346

    • DOI

      10.1002/jrsm.1155

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 教育心理学研究におけるp値と効果量による解釈の違い2015

    • Author(s)
      波田野結花・吉田弘道・岡田謙介
    • Journal Title

      教育心理学研究

      Volume: 63

    • NAID

      130005094113

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 心理学と心理測定における信頼性について:Cronbachのα係数とは何なのか,何でないのか2015

    • Author(s)
      岡田謙介
    • Journal Title

      教育心理学年報

      Volume: 54

    • NAID

      130005095105

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] ベイズ統計による情報仮説の評価は分散分析にとって代わるのか?2014

    • Author(s)
      岡田謙介
    • Journal Title

      基礎心理学研究

      Volume: 32 Pages: 223-231

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report 2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Is omega squared less biased? A comparison of three major effect size indices in one-way ANOVA2013

    • Author(s)
      Okada, K.
    • Journal Title

      Behaviormetrika

      Volume: 40 Pages: 1-19

    • NAID

      130004687628

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] MULTISCALEによる最尤多次元尺度構成法2013

    • Author(s)
      岡田謙介
    • Journal Title

      専修人間科学論集心理学篇

      Volume: 3 Pages: 61-70

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 調査データのベイジアン・モデリング2017

    • Author(s)
      岡田謙介
    • Organizer
      日本社会心理学会第4回春の方法論セミナー
    • Place of Presentation
      上智大学
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 実験条件を増やすと効果量は小さくなる― 「効果量ハッキング」の危険性とその対処法について―2016

    • Author(s)
      岡田謙介・星野崇宏
    • Organizer
      日本教育心理学会第58回総会
    • Place of Presentation
      サンポートホール高松・かがわ国際会議場
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-08
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 心理学・行動科学におけるベイジアンモデリング2016

    • Author(s)
      岡田謙介
    • Organizer
      日本行動計量学会第44回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      札幌学院大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-30
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Modeling Number of Answered Items in Large-Scale Online Surveys2016

    • Author(s)
      Okada, K., Lee, M., Vandekerckhove, J.
    • Organizer
      49th Meeting of the Society of Mathematical Psychology
    • Place of Presentation
      Rutgers University, USA
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-04
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Post-processing of MCMC output in Bayesian multidimensional scaling2015

    • Author(s)
      Okada, K. & Mayekawa, S.
    • Organizer
      Joint Statistical Meetings 2015
    • Place of Presentation
      Washington State Convention Center (USA)
    • Year and Date
      2015-08-08
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Bayesian K-INDSCAL for modeling both group characteristics and individual differences in similarity data2015

    • Author(s)
      Okada, K. & Lee, M. D.
    • Organizer
      MathPsych 2015
    • Place of Presentation
      Newport Beach, California, USA
    • Year and Date
      2015-07-18 – 2015-07-20
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Bayesian estimation in hybrid multidimensional item response model2015

    • Author(s)
      Okada, K. & Mayekawa, S.
    • Organizer
      International Meeting of the Psychometric Society
    • Place of Presentation
      北京師範大学(中国)
    • Year and Date
      2015-07-12
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 心理学における効果量をめぐる最近の話題.2015

    • Author(s)
      岡田謙介
    • Organizer
      日本発達心理学会第26回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-20 – 2015-03-22
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 行動計量学のためのベイズ推定におけるモデル選択・評価2015

    • Author(s)
      岡田謙介
    • Organizer
      日本行動計量学会第17回春の合宿セミナー
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-07 – 2015-03-08
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Bayesian evaluation of informative hypotheses in meta analysis2014

    • Author(s)
      Okada, K.
    • Organizer
      International Symposium on Big Data in Psychological Science and Related Disciplines
    • Place of Presentation
      専修大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-06
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 補償型・非補償型を包含する多次元項目反応理論モデル2014

    • Author(s)
      岡田謙介・前川眞一
    • Organizer
      日本テスト学会第12回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      帝京大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-30 – 2014-08-31
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Noncompensatory multiple logistic regression model and its application2014

    • Author(s)
      Okada, K. & Mayekawa, S.
    • Organizer
      The 21th International Conference on Computational Statistics
    • Place of Presentation
      Geneva, Switzerland
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-19 – 2014-08-22
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] The hybrid item response model2014

    • Author(s)
      Okada, K. & Mayekawa, S.
    • Organizer
      The 79th Annual Meeting of the Psychometric Society
    • Place of Presentation
      Madison, Wisconsin, USA
    • Year and Date
      2014-07-21 – 2014-07-25
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Stanによる新しいマルコフ連鎖モンテカルロ法2014

    • Author(s)
      岡田謙介
    • Organizer
      日本行動計量学会春の合宿セミナー
    • Place of Presentation
      帝京大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Bayesian Evaluation of Compensation in Multidimensional Item Response Models2013

    • Author(s)
      Okada, K.
    • Organizer
      Ishigaki International Conference on Modern Statistics Theories, Practices, and Education in the 21st Century
    • Place of Presentation
      Ishigaki, Japan
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 心理学の研究における効果量とp値の乖離2013

    • Author(s)
      波田野結花・岡田謙介
    • Organizer
      日本心理学会第77回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      札幌コンベンションセンター
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Bayesian evaluation of informative hypotheses in multidimensional scaling2013

    • Author(s)
      Okada, K.
    • Organizer
      2013 Joint Statistical Meetings
    • Place of Presentation
      Montreal, Canada
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Objective and conventional priors in Bayesian evaluation of informative hypotheses2013

    • Author(s)
      Okada, K.
    • Organizer
      O-Bayes 2013
    • Place of Presentation
      Duke University, USA
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 仮説検定における再現性の問題と新たな方法論

    • Author(s)
      岡田謙介
    • Organizer
      日本社会心理学会春の方法論セミナー
    • Place of Presentation
      上智大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 直積空間法によるベイズファクターを用いた多次元尺度モデルの選択

    • Author(s)
      岡田謙介
    • Organizer
      日本計算機統計学会第26回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      香川県社会福祉総合センター
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Bayesian model averaging in factor analysis to estimate factor reliability

    • Author(s)
      Okada, K.
    • Organizer
      International Society for Bayesian Analysis 2012 World Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Kyoto Terrsa
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Dealing with Rotational lndetsrminacy in Multivariate Bayesian Models

    • Author(s)
      Okada, K.
    • Organizer
      2nd Institute of Mathematical Statistics Asia Pacific Rim Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Tsukuba International Congress Center
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] A Bayesian Asymmetric MDS for the Radius-Distance Model.

    • Author(s)
      Okada, K.
    • Organizer
      Joint meeting of Japanese and Italian Classification Societies 2012
    • Place of Presentation
      Villa Orlandi, Anacapri, Italy
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 非対称半径距離モデルのベイズ推定とモデル選択

    • Author(s)
      岡田謙介
    • Organizer
      日本計算機統計学会第26回シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 心理学研究における効果量の活用と報告―APAの指針をふまえて―

    • Author(s)
      岡田謙介
    • Organizer
      日本教育心理学会第54回総会
    • Place of Presentation
      琉球大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Bayesian evaluation of asymmetry in multidimensional scaling

    • Author(s)
      Okada, K.
    • Organizer
      5th International Conference of the ERCIM Working Group on Computing & Statistics
    • Place of Presentation
      Conference Centre, Oviedo, Spain
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 仮説検定の限界を乗り越えるためのベイズ統計学

    • Author(s)
      岡田謙介
    • Organizer
      日本行動計量学会第15回春の合宿セミナー
    • Place of Presentation
      東海大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] Negative estimate ofeffect size

    • URL

      https://osf.io/js42k/

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] Choice of levels affects the effect size

    • URL

      https://osf.io/k84a2/

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2013-05-31   Modified: 2022-02-16  

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