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Microstructure and efficiency in the foreign exchange market: examination using high-frequency data

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25245044
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Money/ Finance
Research InstitutionNational Graduate Institute for Policy Studies (2014-2016)
The University of Tokyo (2013)

Principal Investigator

Ito Takatoshi  政策研究大学院大学, 政策研究科, 特別教授 (30203144)

Project Period (FY) 2013-10-21 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥28,340,000 (Direct Cost: ¥21,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥6,540,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥8,580,000 (Direct Cost: ¥6,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,980,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥6,500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,500,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥6,370,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,470,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥6,890,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,590,000)
Keywords為替レート / 効率性 / 高頻度データ / EBS取引システム / アルゴリズム取引 / 三角裁定 / 為替介入 / 外貨準備 / 仲値 / 介入 / マイクロストラクチャー / アルゴリズム・トレーディング / 裁定
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The EBS trading platform has allowed the bank computers with algorithm being directly connected to the EBS computer mid-2000s. Using the 1-second-slice high-frequency data, it was shown that occurrence of arbitrage violation has become much less frequent, and less persistent once happened, since mid-2000s. High-frequency trading contributed to market efficiency.
The Japanese monetary authority has intervened, selling the yen, buying the dollar more often than otherwise. The foreign reserves balance has continuously risen. The profit and loss of holding foreign reserves can be divided into interest income based on the US-Japan interest rate differential, realized gains and unrealized gains. A rigorous examination of data since 1973 shows the total profit has stayed in positive for most of the period.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Annual Research Report
  • 2014 Annual Research Report
  • 2013 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (18 results)

All 2017 2016 2015 2014 Other

All Journal Article (4 results) (of which Acknowledgement Compliant: 2 results,  Open Access: 3 results) Presentation (5 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Invited: 2 results) Book (1 results) Remarks (6 results) Funded Workshop (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] A New Financial Order in Asia: Will a RMB bloc emerge?2016

    • Author(s)
      Ito, Takatoshi
    • Journal Title

      NBER Working Paper Series

      Volume: No. 22755 Pages: 1-65

    • DOI

      10.3386/w22755

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Choice of Invoice Currency in Japanese Trade: Industry and commodity level analysis2016

    • Author(s)
      T. ITO, S. KOIBUCHI, K. SATO, and J. SHIMIZU
    • Journal Title

      RIETI Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: 16-E-031 Pages: 1-41

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] High-frequency, Algorithmic Spillovers Between NASDAQ and Forex2015

    • Author(s)
      Takatoshi ITO, Masahiro YAMADA
    • Journal Title

      NBER Working Paper

      Volume: No. 21122 Pages: 1-50

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Choice of Invoice Currency in Global Production and Sales Networks: The case of Japanese overseas subsidiaries2015

    • Author(s)
      T. ITO, S. KOIBUCHI, K. SATO, and J. SHIMIZU
    • Journal Title

      RIETI Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: 15-E-080 Pages: 1-21

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Presentation] Will Human Forex Dealers become Extinct?2016

    • Author(s)
      Takatoshi Ito
    • Organizer
      Asia-Pacific Econophysics conference 2016 ~ Big Data Analysis and Modeling toward Super Smart Society ~
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学小柴ホール(東京都文京区)
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-24
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 経常収支、為替レートとバラッササミュエルソン効果2015

    • Author(s)
      伊藤隆敏
    • Organizer
      日本金融学会2015年度春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京経済大学(東京都国分寺市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-17
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Exit from QE Among Advanced Countries: How Should a Small Open Economy be Prepared for That?2014

    • Author(s)
      Takatoshi Ito
    • Organizer
      14th International Convention of the East Asian Economic Association
    • Place of Presentation
      Bangkok, Thailand
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-01
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] FREE LUNCH: ARBITRAGE OPPORTUNITIES IN THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKETS2014

    • Author(s)
      Takatoshi Ito
    • Organizer
      International Economic Association 17th World Congress
    • Place of Presentation
      Dead Sea, Jordan
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-06
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 為替市場における裁定機会の解析

    • Author(s)
      山田健太, 伊藤隆敏,高安秀樹,高安美佐子
    • Organizer
      第12回金融情報学研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      トムソ ン・ロイター・マーケッツ株式会社(赤坂)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 日本財政「最後の選択」2015

    • Author(s)
      伊藤隆敏
    • Total Pages
      272
    • Publisher
      日本経済新聞出版社
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 伊藤隆敏研究室 研究トピック

    • URL

      http://www3.grips.ac.jp/~t-ito/j_topics.htm#topic_01

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 伊藤隆敏研究室 研究トピック

    • URL

      http://www3.grips.ac.jp/~t-ito/j_topics.htm

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report 2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] Takatoshi Ito -- My Research

    • URL

      http://www3.grips.ac.jp/~t-ito/my_research.htm

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] Takatoshi Ito - My Research

    • URL

      http://www.grips.ac.jp/my_research.htm

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 伊藤隆敏研究室 研究トピック

    • URL

      http://www3.grips.ac.jp/~t-ito/j_topics.htm

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] Prof. Takatoshi ITO / My Resarch

    • URL

      http://www3.grips.ac.jp/~t-ito/my_research.htm

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Funded Workshop] International Conference on High Frequency Exchange Rate Dynamics: Econophysics and Econometric Analysis Based on the EBS data sets2017

    • Place of Presentation
      政策研究大学院大学(東京都港区)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Funded Workshop] EBS研究会2016

    • Place of Presentation
      政策研究大学院大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-17
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2013-10-24   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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