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Development of optimal management strategies to control mammal populations using spatially explicit models

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25281057
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypePartial Multi-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Environmental and ecological symbiosis
Research InstitutionNational Institute for Environmental Studies

Principal Investigator

Yokomizo Hiroyuki  国立研究開発法人国立環境研究所, 環境リスク研究センター, 主任研究員 (30550074)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) MIYASHITA Tadashi  東京大学, 農学生命科学研究科, 教授 (50182019)
SUZUKI Maki  東京大学, 新領域創成科学研究科, 准教授 (40396817)
Research Collaborator ASADA Masahiko  合同会社AMAC
KURIYAMA Takeo  東邦大学, 生命圏環境科学科, 博士研究員
OSADA Yutaka  総合地球環境学研究所, センター研究推進支援員
Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥17,810,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,110,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥5,590,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,290,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥5,590,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,290,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥6,630,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,530,000)
Keywords哺乳類 / 状態空間モデル / ベイズ推定 / 作物被害 / 最適管理
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Overpopulated mammal populations cause damages to ecosystems and agricultural crops in Japan. We need to develop effective management plans under limited hunting resources. When we determine management plans, we have to deal with various uncertainties such as population size, growth rate, dispersal probability and hunting efficiency due to lack of data. We developed statistical models to estimate population sizes, growth rates, and agricultural damage from spatially-sparse survey data. We also developed a spatially explicit models incorporating anisotropic movement in heterogeneous landscape for the management of deer. We derived optimal allocation of hunting efforts to each management unit under uncertainties to minimize agricultural damage caused by deer, wild boars, and raccoons in Chiba prefecture, Japan.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Annual Research Report
  • 2013 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (15 results)

All 2016 2015 2014 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (1 results) Journal Article (5 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 5 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 2 results) Presentation (9 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] オレゴン州立大学(米国)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Efficient management for the Hokkaido population of sika deer Cervus nippon in Japan: accounting for migration and management cost2015

    • Author(s)
      Ijima, H., A. Fujimaki, U. Ohta, K. Yamamura, H. Yokomizo, H. Uno, H. Matsuda
    • Journal Title

      Population Ecology

      Volume: 57 Issue: 2 Pages: 397-408

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10144-015-0478-1

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 管理区域間の移動は,野生動物管理にどの程度影響を及ぼすか?:行列モデルを用いたエゾシカ(Cervus nippon yezoensis)管理計画の解析2015

    • Author(s)
      井嶋浩貴・藤巻碧海・太田海香・横溝裕行・山村光司・宇野裕之・松田裕之
    • Journal Title

      自然環境復元研究

      Volume: 7

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Making the most of mathematical models for effective environmental management2014

    • Author(s)
      Hiroyuki Yokomizo, Gaku Takimoto
    • Journal Title

      Population Ecology

      Volume: 56 Issue: 1 Pages: 3-5

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10144-013-0420-3

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Meta-models as a straight forward approach to the sensitivity analysis of complex models2014

    • Author(s)
      Coutts, S., H. Yokomizo
    • Journal Title

      Population Ecology

      Volume: 56 Issue: 1 Pages: 7-19

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10144-013-0422-1

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Decision science for effective management of populations subject to stochasticity and imperfect knowledge2014

    • Author(s)
      Yokomizo, H., S.R. Coutts, and H.P. Possingham
    • Journal Title

      Population Ecology

      Volume: 56 Issue: 1 Pages: 41-53

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10144-013-0421-2

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 個体数密度と土地利用から農業被害を予測する:房総半島のニホンジカとイノシシにおけるケーススタディ2016

    • Author(s)
      鈴木牧, 香川幸太郎
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会第63回全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      仙台国際センター(仙台市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-22
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 空間明示モデルによる複数種の哺乳類を統合した管理戦略の構築2016

    • Author(s)
      横溝裕行, 長田穣
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会第63回全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      仙台国際センター(仙台市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-22
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 状態空間モデルによるアライグマの個体数推定と空間明示的な作物被害許容密度の推定2016

    • Author(s)
      栗山武夫
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会第63回全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      仙台国際センター(仙台市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-22
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Foot-and-mouth desease spread in heterogeneous landscape: where to invest monitoring efforts2015

    • Author(s)
      Yutaka Osada, Masaki Ando, Tadashi Miyashita
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島大学(鹿児島市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-19
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] シカの捕獲効率の不確実性を考慮した最適な捕獲努力の空間配分2015

    • Author(s)
      横溝裕行, 長田穣, 栗山武夫, 浅田正彦, 鈴木牧, 松村愛美, 宮下直
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島大学(鹿児島市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-18
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 異質環境下におけるニホンジカの将来分布の予測:セルベースの状態空間モデルによる解析2014

    • Author(s)
      長田穣、浅田正彦、栗山武夫、 横溝裕行、宮下直
    • Organizer
      個体群生態学会
    • Place of Presentation
      筑波大学(つくば市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-11 – 2014-10-12
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 状態空間モデルによるアライグマの個体数推定と空間明示的な作物被害の許容密度の推定2014

    • Author(s)
      栗山武夫、長田穣、浅田正彦、宮下直
    • Organizer
      個体群生態学会
    • Place of Presentation
      筑波大学(つくば市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-11 – 2014-10-12
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Interactive impacts of over-shading and herbivory on aboveground and belowground ecosystems of abandoned woodlands

    • Author(s)
      Maki Suzuki, Eriko Ito
    • Organizer
      XI International Congress of Ecology
    • Place of Presentation
      London, UK
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 状態空間モデルによるアライグマの個体群動態の解明と景観を考慮した農作物被害モデルの構築

    • Author(s)
      栗山武夫,長田穣,浅田正彦,宮下直
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会第61回全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      広島市
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2013-05-21   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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