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Analysis of Structural Changes in Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy and Asset Allocation

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25285097
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypePartial Multi-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Money/ Finance
Research InstitutionNational Graduate Institute for Policy Studies (2015)
Hitotsubashi University

Principal Investigator

Hayashi Fumio  政策研究大学院大学, 政策研究科, 教授 (80159095)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) OHASHI Kazuhiko  一橋大学, 国際企業戦略研究科, 教授 (50261780)
HONDA Toshiki  一橋大学, 国際企業戦略研究科, 教授 (70303063)
沖本 竜義  一橋大学, 大学院国際企業戦略研究科, 准教授 (70420304)
Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥17,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥5,460,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,260,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥5,460,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,260,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥6,500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,500,000)
Keywords資産市場の連関 / 商品先物 / 資産選択理論 / 量的緩和 / REIT / ボラティリティー / 金融政策
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Before and after the Lehman crisis, there have been notable developments in financial markets. Among them are the introduction of commodity futures indexes and the arrival of the zero-interest rate monetary policy. We empirically analyzed the connection between those developments and the structure of returns for major asset markets and the behavior of macro variables. We do so by utilizing time-series techniques that allow for structural changes in the short and long runs and also a portfolio-choice theory with uncertain parameters. The returns we analyzed are for commodity futures, government bonds, Japanese stocks and stock mutual funds.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Annual Research Report
  • 2013 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (12 results)

All 2016 2015 2014 2013

All Journal Article (1 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 1 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results) Presentation (11 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Invited: 4 results)

  • [Journal Article] Commodity Spread Option with Cointegration2016

    • Author(s)
      Katsushi Nakajima and Kazuhiko Ohashi
    • Journal Title

      Asia-Pacific Financial Markets

      Volume: 23 Issue: 1 Pages: 1-44

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10690-015-9207-1

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] Exiting from QE2016

    • Author(s)
      Fumio Hayashi
    • Organizer
      Japan Economic Seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Columbia University, New York, U.S.
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-04
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Exiting from QE2015

    • Author(s)
      Fumio Hayashi
    • Organizer
      9th International Workshop on the Methods in International Finance Network
    • Place of Presentation
      Osaka Umeda Campus, Kwansei Gakuin University
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-30
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Asset Demand and Ambiguity Aversion2015

    • Author(s)
      Toshiki Honda
    • Organizer
      Asian Finance Association 2015 Annual Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Changsha, Hunan Province, China
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-30
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Exiting from QE2015

    • Author(s)
      林文夫
    • Organizer
      American Economic Association 2015 Annual Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      米国ボストン(Sheraton Boston)
    • Year and Date
      2015-01-03
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Increasing Trends in the Excess Comovements of Commodity Prices2014

    • Author(s)
      大橋和彦
    • Organizer
      Asian Finance Association 2014 Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      インドネシア バリ( Bali Nusa Dua Convention Center)
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-25
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Increasing Trends in the Excess Comovements of Commodity Prices2014

    • Author(s)
      大橋和彦
    • Organizer
      Financial Management Association 2014 Asian Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学千代田キャンパス
    • Year and Date
      2014-05-10
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Exiting from QE2014

    • Author(s)
      林文夫
    • Organizer
      Monetary Policy and Financial Markets
    • Place of Presentation
      米国サンフランシスコ連邦準備銀行
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Asset Demand and Ambiguity Aversion2014

    • Author(s)
      本多俊毅
    • Organizer
      「京都大学経済研究所 共同利用・共同研究拠点支援事業 ポート フォリオ選択と資産価格に関する国際コンファレンス」
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学(京都府左京区)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Decreasing trends in stock-bond correlations2014

    • Author(s)
      沖本竜義
    • Organizer
      International Conference on “Econometrics for Macroeconomics
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学(東京都国立市)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] A Regime-Switching SVAR Analysis of the Zero-Interest Rate Policy2013

    • Author(s)
      林文夫
    • Organizer
      Taiwan Econometric Society
    • Place of Presentation
      台湾国立大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Asset Demand and Ambiguity Aversion2013

    • Author(s)
      本多俊毅
    • Organizer
      「経済の数理解析」数理経済学会 研究集会
    • Place of Presentation
      慶応義塾大学三田キャンパス(東京都港区)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2013-05-21   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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