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Behavioral anatomy of asset price fluctuations based on large textual data.

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25285127
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypePartial Multi-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Management
Research InstitutionKwansei Gakuin University

Principal Investigator

OKADA Katsuhiko  関西学院大学, 経営戦略研究科, 教授 (90411793)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) HAMURO yukinobu  関西学院大学, 経営戦略研究科, 准教授 (90268235)
KATOH naoki  関西学院大学, 理工学部, 教授 (40145826)
Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥17,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥4,160,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥960,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥4,160,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥960,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥9,360,000 (Direct Cost: ¥7,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,160,000)
Keywordsビッグデータ / 人工知能 / テキストマイニング / 投資家心理 / ハーディング / 行動ファイナンス / アノマリー / ニュース / センチメント / マーケット / 並列処理 / センチメント分析 / センチメント指数 / investor attention / inattentional blindness / 株価反応 / 証券価格 / アナリスト情報 / 機械学習
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The purpose of this research is to identify the role of investor psychology in the stock market. For this purpose, we have collected a massive amount of news data as well as the social data. (ex. 5.7 million news paper articles. Five years of data in the stock market messages boards. Past one year data of the number of visitors of company web-site.) These large textual data are then organized in a way that we can identify to what company each news text belongs. Simultaneously, we have created a dictionary in order to determine whether the text is positive or negative. Based on these data base, we have developed a time varying "Sentiment index" for each one of the listed stocks.
We found stock price reactions to a fundamental shock such as earnings announcement surprise / securities analysts' rating revisions are subdued when the sentiment index is in line with the shock, whereas it becomes large when the sentiment is opposite of the surprise.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Annual Research Report
  • 2013 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (49 results)

All 2016 2015 2014 2013 Other

All Journal Article (23 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results,  Peer Reviewed: 19 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 8 results) Presentation (21 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results,  Invited: 8 results) Book (3 results) Remarks (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Characterizing Redundant Rigidity and Redundant Global Rigidity of Body-Hinge Graphs2016

    • Author(s)
      Y. Kobayashi, Y. Higashikawa, N. Katoh, and A. Sljoka
    • Journal Title

      Information Processing Letters

      Volume: 116 Issue: 2 Pages: 175-178

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.ipl.2015.08.011

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] On the edge crossing properties of Euclidean minimum weight Laman graphs2016

    • Author(s)
      Sergey Bereg, Seok-Hee Hong, Naoki Katoh, Sheung-Hung Poon, and Shin-ichi Tanigawa
    • Journal Title

      Computational Geometry: Theory and Applications

      Volume: 51 Pages: 15-24

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.comgeo.2015.10.002

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] グラフ研磨手法を用いた顧客の店舗選択モデルの構築2015

    • Author(s)
      羽室行信、中原孝信、宇野毅明
    • Journal Title

      オペレーションズ・リサーチ

      Volume: 60 Pages: 468-474

    • NAID

      110009909623

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] A Linear-Time Algorithm for Testing Outer-1-Planarity2015

    • Author(s)
      Seok-Hee Hong, Peter Eades, Naoki Katoh, Giuseppe Liotta, Pascal Schweitzer, and Yusuke Suzuki
    • Journal Title

      Algorithmica

      Volume: 72 Issue: 4 Pages: 1033-1054

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00453-014-9890-8

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Optimally Bracing Grid Frameworks with Holes2015

    • Author(s)
      Y. Ito, Y. Kobayashi, Y. Higashikawa, N. Katoh, S. Poon, and M. Saumell
    • Journal Title

      Theoretical Computer Science

      Volume: 607 Pages: 337-350

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.tcs.2015.07.062

    • NAID

      110009977442

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Multiple sink location problems in dynamic path networks2015

    • Author(s)
      Yuya Higashikawa, Mordecai J. Golin, Naoki Katoh
    • Journal Title

      Theoretical Computer Science

      Volume: 607 Pages: 2-15

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] "Attention"と株式評価2015

    • Author(s)
      岡田克彦
    • Journal Title

      経済科学

      Volume: 62-4 Pages: 107-117

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Minimax Regret 1-Sink Location Problems in Dynamic Path Networks2014

    • Author(s)
      Siu-Wing Cheng, Yuya Higashikawa, Naoki Katoh, Guanqun Ni, Bing Su, Yin-Feng Xu
    • Journal Title

      Theoretical Computer Science

      Volume: 無 Pages: 24-36

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.tcs.2014.02.010

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 注意力の限界とPost-Earnings-Announcement-Drift2014

    • Author(s)
      岡田克彦,佐伯政男
    • Journal Title

      証券アナリストジャーナル

      Volume: 52 Pages: 72-82

    • NAID

      40020252893

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 極大クリーク列挙技術のビジネス応用とソフトウェアツール2014

    • Author(s)
      中原孝信,宇野毅明,羽室行信
    • Journal Title

      電子情報通信学会誌

      Volume: 97−12 Pages: 1103-1109

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] e-サイエンスに向けたアルゴリズムの新潮流2014

    • Author(s)
      加藤直樹
    • Journal Title

      電子情報通信学会誌

      Volume: 97-5 Pages: 370-373

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] An Inductive Construction of Minimally Rigid Body-Hinge Simple Graphs2014

    • Author(s)
      Y. Kobayashi, Y. Higashikawa, N. Kamiyama, N. Katoh
    • Journal Title

      Theoretical Computer Science

      Volume: 556 Pages: 2-12

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.tcs.2014.08.007

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Multiple Sink Location Problems in Dynamic Path Networks2014

    • Author(s)
      Y. Higashikawa, M. J. Golin and N. Katoh
    • Journal Title

      Proc. of 10th International Conference on Algorithmic Aspects in Information and Management, Lecture Notes in Computer Science

      Volume: 8546 Pages: 149-161

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-3-319-07956-1_14

    • ISBN
      9783319079554, 9783319079561
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Is No News Good News? : The Streaming News Effect on Investor Behavior surrounding Analyst Revision Announcement2014

    • Author(s)
      Takahiro Azuma, Katsuhiko Okada,Yukinobu Hamuro
    • Journal Title

      International Review of Finance

      Volume: 14 (1) Issue: 1 Pages: 29-51

    • DOI

      10.1111/irfi.12027

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 世界の季節性アノマリーと投資家心理,テキストマイニングが明らかににする心と株価の強い関係2014

    • Author(s)
      岡田克彦
    • Journal Title

      商学論究

      Volume: 61(4) Pages: 119-136

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Online Graph Exploration Algorithms for Cycles and Trees by Multiple Searchers2014

    • Author(s)
      Yuya Higashikawa, Naoki Katoh, Stefan Langerman, Shin-ichi Tanigawa
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Combinatorial Optimization

      Volume: -

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Calendar Structure of the Japanese Stock Market : The "Sell in May Effect2013

    • Author(s)
      Sakakibara, Shigeki, Takashi Yamasaki, and Katsuhiko Okada
    • Journal Title

      International Review of Finance

      Volume: 13(2) Issue: 2 Pages: 161-185

    • DOI

      10.1111/irfi.12003

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 株価変動の季節性と投資家心理,-新聞記事に見る将来見通しとデカンショ節効果-2013

    • Author(s)
      岡田克彦・山崎高広・榊原茂樹・山崎尚志
    • Journal Title

      証券アナリストジャーナル

      Volume: 51(12) Pages: 96-105

    • NAID

      40019892020

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 「言葉」にみる株価収益率の予測可能性についてー探索的アプローチによるモデル構築とout of sampleの実証テストー2013

    • Author(s)
      前川浩基・中原孝信・岡田克彦・羽室行信
    • Journal Title

      ビジネスアンドアカウンティングレビュー

      Volume: 12 Pages: 117-130

    • NAID

      120005368107

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] テレビ番組視聴時におけるTwitter投稿からのトピック検知2013

    • Author(s)
      中原孝信, 前川浩基, 羽室行信
    • Journal Title

      オペレーションズ・リサーチ

      Volume: 58 (5) Pages: 281-288

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] ndependent Arborescences in Directed Graphs2013

    • Author(s)
      Andrew Frank, Satoru Fujishige, Naoyuki Kamiyama, Naoki Katoh
    • Journal Title

      Discrete Mathematics

      Volume: 313 (4) Pages: 453-459

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Rooted-tree Decompositions with Matroid Constraints and the Infinitesimal Rigidity of Frameworks with Boundaries2013

    • Author(s)
      Naoki Katoh, Shin-ichi Tanigawa
    • Journal Title

      SIAM Journal on Discrete Mathematics

      Volume: 27(1) Pages: 155-185

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Online Vertex Exploration Problems in a Simple Polygon2013

    • Author(s)
      Yuya Higashikawa, Naoki Katoh
    • Journal Title

      IEICE Transaction on Fundamentals,The Institute of Electronics, Information and Communication Engineers

      Volume: 96 (D) 3 Pages: 489-497

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] A page-view based investor attention and IPO pricing2016

    • Author(s)
      Katsuhiko Okada
    • Organizer
      Asian Finance Association Conference in Bangkok
    • Place of Presentation
      The Stock Exchange of Thailand, Thailand
    • Year and Date
      2016-07-16
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Inattentional Blindness and Post-Earnings Announcement Drift2015

    • Author(s)
      Katsuhiko Okada
    • Organizer
      World Banking and Finance Conference, Hanoi
    • Place of Presentation
      Vietnam National University, Vietnam
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-16
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Period Mining Model2015

    • Author(s)
      岡田克彦
    • Organizer
      宇野CREST×SOLEIL DATA DOJO第一回シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪グランフロント(大阪府・大阪市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-12
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Period Mining で探る株価の季節性2015

    • Author(s)
      羽室行信
    • Organizer
      行動経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      近畿大学(大阪府・東大阪市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-29
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] グラフ密度による相場大底の検知2015

    • Author(s)
      岡田克彦
    • Organizer
      人工知能学会 金融情報学部会
    • Place of Presentation
      ブルームバーグ東京支店(東京都・千代田区)
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-13
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Signaling the Rock Bottom2015

    • Author(s)
      Katsuhiko Okada
    • Organizer
      International Federation of Technical Analysis
    • Place of Presentation
      Keio Plaza Hotel, (東京都・新宿区)
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-03
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Polynomial-time approximability of the k-Sink Location problem2015

    • Author(s)
      加藤直樹
    • Organizer
      Operations Research
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-02
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Inattentional Blindness and Post-Earnings-Announcement-Drift2015

    • Author(s)
      岡田克彦
    • Organizer
      World Finance Conference in Buenos Aires
    • Place of Presentation
      Hotel Melia Buenos Aires
    • Year and Date
      2015-07-21 – 2015-07-24
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 動的ネットワークにおける総避難時間を基準とした最大後悔最小化施設配置問題2015

    • Author(s)
      加藤直樹
    • Organizer
      日本オペレーションズ・リサーチ学会研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京理科大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-26 – 2015-03-27
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 投資家の注意力とイベント後パフォーマンス2014

    • Author(s)
      岡田克彦,佐伯政男
    • Organizer
      日本ファイナンス学会
    • Place of Presentation
      中央大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-05-31 – 2014-06-01
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] マイクロクラスタリングを用いた概念化とモデルの構築2014

    • Author(s)
      中原孝信,宇野毅明,羽室行信
    • Organizer
      人工知能学会
    • Place of Presentation
      松山ひめぎんホール
    • Year and Date
      2014-05-15 – 2014-05-16
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The Calendar Structure of the Japanese Stock Market2014

    • Author(s)
      岡田克彦
    • Organizer
      「行動経済学・行動ファイナンスの発展」カンファレンス
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪大学中之島センター
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Sentiment News and the Stock Market Return2013

    • Author(s)
      岡田克彦
    • Organizer
      大阪証券取引所 寄付研究部門セミナーシリーズ第41回
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Investor Overconfidence and Stock Market Seasonality2013

    • Author(s)
      岡田克彦
    • Organizer
      行動経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 大規模ニュースデータと株価収益率の予測可能性について2013

    • Author(s)
      前川浩基
    • Organizer
      人工知能学会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The Streaming News Effect on Investor Behavior surrounding Analyst Revision Announcements2013

    • Author(s)
      Katsuhiko Okada
    • Organizer
      International Review of Finance Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Stock Market Seasonality and Investor Sentiment: A Text-mining approach2013

    • Author(s)
      岡田克彦
    • Organizer
      経営財務研究学会
    • Place of Presentation
      兵庫県立大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Can Investors in the Stock Market Profit from the Analysts?2013

    • Author(s)
      Katsuhiko Okada
    • Organizer
      World Finance Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Cyprus
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The Media Sentiment and the Post-Event Performance2013

    • Author(s)
      岡田克彦
    • Organizer
      ファイナンス学会
    • Place of Presentation
      武蔵大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] マイクロクラスタリングを用いた単語分類とトピック検知2013

    • Author(s)
      中原孝信, 宇野毅明, 羽室行信
    • Organizer
      情報処理学会第145回アルゴリズム研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      岩手大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 強化学習を用いた相場のブーム検知と株取引への適用2013

    • Author(s)
      中原孝信, 羽室行信
    • Organizer
      第27回人工知能学会
    • Place of Presentation
      富山国際会議場
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Routledge Handbook of Japanese Business and Management2016

    • Author(s)
      Katsuhiko Okada (Editor: Parrisa Haghirian)
    • Total Pages
      404
    • Publisher
      Routledge
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Behavioral Interactions, Markets and Economic Dynamics2015

    • Author(s)
      Takahiro Azuma, Katsuhiko Okada, Yukinobu Hamuro, Shigeki Sakakibara, Takashi Yamasaki, Nobuyuki Isagawa, Kenya Fujiwara
    • Total Pages
      663
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] ビッグ・データで株価を読む2014

    • Author(s)
      岡田克彦
    • Total Pages
      186
    • Publisher
      中央経済社
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] NYSOL (データマイニングに関する様々なツールの提供と、株価のセンチメント情報を公開)

    • URL

      http://www.nysol.jp/

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 関西学院大学研究者データベース

    • URL

      http://researchers.kwansei.ac.jp/view?l=ja&u=22969

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2013-05-21   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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