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Impact assessment of natural variability of climate system on coastal disaster risk

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25289153
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypePartial Multi-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Hydraulic engineering
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

Mori Nobuhito  京都大学, 防災研究所, 准教授 (90371476)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) MASE Hajime  京都大学, 防災研究所, 教授 (30127138)
KITANO Toshikazu  名古屋工業大学, 工学研究科, 准教授 (00284307)
NAKAJO Sota  熊本大学, 自然科学研究科, 助教 (20590871)
KURIYAMA Yoshiaki  独立行政法人 港湾空港技術研究所, 特別研究官 (60344313)
HIRAYAMA Katsuya  独立行政法人・港湾空港技術研究所, 海洋研究領域・波浪研究グループ, グループ長 (60371754)
KAWAGUCHI Koji  独立行政法人・港湾空港技術研究所, 海洋情報・津波研究領域・海象情報研究グループ, グループ長 (50371753)
Co-Investigator(Renkei-kenkyūsha) MUKOUGAWA Hitoshi  京都大学, 防災研究所, 教授 (20261349)
TAKEMI Tetsuya  京都大学, 防災研究所, 准教授 (10314361)
YASUDA Tomohiro  京都大学, 防災研究所, 助教 (60378916)
KASHIMA Hiroaki  独立行政法人 港湾空港技術研究所, 海洋研究領域・波浪研究グループ, 主任研究官 (60463098)
Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥17,940,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,140,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥8,840,000 (Direct Cost: ¥6,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,040,000)
Keywords防災 / 海洋科学 / 自然現象観測・予測 / 沿岸災害 / 気候変動 / 海浜変形 / 長期変化 / 波浪
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study analyzed seasonal to multi-decadal variation of long-term wave climate based on JRA-55 reanalysis and future wave climate projections. The 3rd mode of monthly mean wave height shows 5 to 10 year period variations based on principal component analysis. The monthly mean wave height in winter season shows clear correlation between Western Pacific (WP) index. The response of monthly mean wave height in winter season around Japan to WP index is opposite in comparison between the eastern and western Pacific coast of Japan. Furthermore, future changes of monthly mean wave height in winter season around 30 degree in the latitude will be decreased based on multi-model ensemble of future wave climate projection.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Annual Research Report
  • 2013 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (30 results)

All 2015 2014 2013 Other

All Journal Article (25 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 25 results,  Open Access: 2 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 8 results) Presentation (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results) Remarks (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] The role of sea surface drag in a coupled surge and wave model for Typhoon Haiyan 20132015

    • Author(s)
      Kim, S.Y., N. Mori, H. Mase and T. Yasuda
    • Journal Title

      Ocean Modelling

      Volume: 96 Pages: 65-84

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.ocemod.2015.06.004

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] RA-55にもとづく長期波浪推算と波候特性の解析2015

    • Author(s)
      森 信人・志村智也・釜堀弘隆・Arun Chawla・安田誠宏・間瀬 肇
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B2(海岸工学)

      Volume: 72

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 東京湾における高潮災害ポテンシャルの評価に関する検討2015

    • Author(s)
      中條壮大・藤木秀幸・金洙列・森信人・澁谷容子・安田誠宏
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B2(海岸工学)

      Volume: 72

    • NAID

      130005109320

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 極端な気象擾乱における高波の非線形特性について2015

    • Author(s)
      森 信人・高木友典・間瀬 肇・安田誠宏・島田広昭
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B2(海岸工学)

      Volume: 72

    • NAID

      130005109235

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 北太平洋における冬季の波候と大規模循環場の将来変化予測2015

    • Author(s)
      志村智也・森 信人・Mark A. Hemer・安田誠宏・間瀬 肇
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B2(海岸工学)

      Volume: 72

    • NAID

      130005109385

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Future Projection of Ocean Wave Climate: Analysis of SST Impacts on Wave Climate Changes in the Western North Pacific2015

    • Author(s)
      Shimura T., N. Mori and H. Mase
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 28 Pages: 3171-3190

    • NAID

      120005712913

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Assessment of heavy rainfall-induced disaster potential based on an ensemble simulation of Typhoon Talas (2011) with controlled track and intensity2014

    • Author(s)
      Oku, Y., J. Yoshino, T. Takemi, and H. Ishikawa
    • Journal Title

      Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences

      Volume: 14 Issue: 14 Pages: 2699-2709

    • DOI

      10.1002/2014gl060689

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Global stochastic tropical cyclone model based on principal component analysis with cluster analysis2014

    • Author(s)
      Nakajo, S., N. Mori, T. Yasuda and H. Mase
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology

      Volume: 53 Issue: 6 Pages: 1547-1577

    • DOI

      10.1175/jamc-d-13-08.1

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 降水量の極値特性の気候変動に伴う差異の検出〜変化の現れ方の想定により生じる問題2014

    • Author(s)
      北野利一・高橋倫也・田中茂信
    • Journal Title

      水工学論文集

      Volume: 59

    • NAID

      130005123576

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 最高波高の出現頻度を考慮した防波堤の波圧特性2014

    • Author(s)
      加島寛章・平山克也・森信人
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B3(海洋開発)

      Volume: 70

    • NAID

      130004706747

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 日本沿岸海域の風況・波浪マッピング2014

    • Author(s)
      間瀬 肇・Tracey H. Tom・池本 藍・志村智也・安田誠宏・森 信人
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B3(海洋開発)

      Volume: 70

    • NAID

      130004697249

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 2012年台風16号Sanbaによる暴波浪の最大波高の特性2014

    • Author(s)
      森 信人・高木友典・二宮順一・安田誠宏 ・間瀬 肇・島田広昭
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B2(海岸工学)

      Volume: 70

    • NAID

      130004706788

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 2013年台風30号Haiyanによる高潮の予測可能性と再解析精度2014

    • Author(s)
      森 信人・澁谷容子・竹見哲也・金 洙列・安田誠宏・丹羽竜也・辻尾大樹 ・間瀬 肇
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B2(海岸工学)

      Volume: 70

    • NAID

      130004706868

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 極値統計解析による降水量の上限の推定可能性2014

    • Author(s)
      北野利一・高橋倫也・田中茂信
    • Journal Title

      水工学論文集

      Volume: 第58巻 Pages: 451-456

    • NAID

      130005070296

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Ocean waves and teleconnection patterns in the Northern Hemisphere2013

    • Author(s)
      Shimura T., N. Mori and H. Mase
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 26 Issue: 21 Pages: 8654-8670

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-12-00397.1

    • NAID

      120005526684

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 2012年4月3~4日に日本海で急発達した低気圧による暴波浪特性2013

    • Author(s)
      森 信人, 高木友典, 川口浩二, 加島寛章, 間瀬 肇, 安田誠宏, 島田広昭
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B2(海岸工学)

      Volume: 69/2

    • NAID

      130004551001

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 確率台風モデルと観測台風資料を組み合わせた高潮イベントアトリビューション2013

    • Author(s)
      中條壮大,金洙列,森信人,安田誠宏,間瀬肇,山田文彦
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B2(海岸工学)

      Volume: 69/2

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 時系列相関型の全球確率台風モデルの開発2013

    • Author(s)
      中條壮大,森信人,安田誠宏,間瀬肇
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B2(海岸工学)

      Volume: 69/1 Pages: 64-76

    • NAID

      130004550941

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Projection of future wave climate change and application to coastal structure design2013

    • Author(s)
      Mori, N., T. Shimura, S. Nakajo, D. Tsujio, T. Yasuda, H. Mase and K.D. Suh
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of Breakwater Conference

      Volume: 1

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Numerical study of aftereffects of osshore generated freak waves shoaring to coast2013

    • Author(s)
      Kashima, H., K. Hirayama and N. Mori
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of Coastal Dynamics 2013

      Volume: 1

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Hindcast of extreme swell and damage analysis of composite breakwater with wave-dissipating blocks2013

    • Author(s)
      Yasuda, T., D. Tsujio, N. Mori and H. Mase
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of Coastal Dynamics 2013

      Volume: 1

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Consideration of applicability of stochastic tropical cyclone model for probability assessment of storm surge2013

    • Author(s)
      Nakajo, S., N. Mori, S. Kim and T. Yasuda
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of 7th International Conference on Asian Pacific Coasts

      Volume: 1

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Role of atmospheric waves in the formation and maintenance of the Northern Annular Mode.2013

    • Author(s)
      Yuhji Kuroda and Hitoshi Mukougawa
    • Journal Title

      J. Geophys. Res. Atmos.

      Volume: 118 Issue: 16 Pages: 9048-9063

    • DOI

      10.1002/jgrd.50709

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 降水量の極値の予測区間 ~ 確率降水量の信頼区間を誤解していませんか?2013

    • Author(s)
      北野利一・高橋倫也・田中茂信
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B1(水工学)

      Volume: Vol.69, No.4

    • NAID

      130004558265

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Morphological change of nourished beach behind submerged breakwater of the Niigata coast2013

    • Author(s)
      Kuriyama, Y., Banno, M., Kishi, H., Satoh T. and Mizuuchi, K.
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of Coastal Dynamics 2013

      Volume: 1 Pages: 1015-1024

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Analysis of the interannual variability of tropical cyclones striking the California coast based on statistical downscaling2015

    • Author(s)
      Fernando J. Mendez, Ana Rueda, Patrick Barnard, Nobuhito Mori, Sota Nakajo and Antonio Espejo
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      San Francisco, USA
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-14
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Balancing Two Types Errors in Detecting the Difference between the Occurrence Rates of Extremes due to the Climate Change2015

    • Author(s)
      Kitano, T.
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Advances in Extreme Value Analysis and Application to Natural Hazards
    • Place of Presentation
      Santander, Spain
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-16
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A Simple but Enhanced Test for Detecting the Occurrence Difference in Past and Future Climate2015

    • Author(s)
      Kitano, T.
    • Organizer
      Extreme Value Analysis
    • Place of Presentation
      Ann Arbor, USA
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-15
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Remarks] 京都大学防災研究所沿岸災害研究分野

    • URL

      http://www.coast.dpri.kyoto-u.ac.jp/japanese/

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 京都大学 防災研究所 沿岸災害研究分野

    • URL

      http://www.coast.dpri.kyoto-u.ac.jp/japanese/

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2013-05-21   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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