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Development of an Alternative Route Estimation Model of International Container Transport after Large-scale Disasters

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25289165
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypePartial Multi-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Civil engineering project/Traffic engineering
Research InstitutionNational Institute for Land and Infrastructure Management (2015)
Kyoto University

Principal Investigator

Akakura Yasuhiro  国土技術政策総合研究所, 港湾研究部, 部付 (70462629)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) ONO Kenji  京都大学, 防災研究所, 教授 (10641235)
WATANABE Tomihiro  国土技術政策総合研究所, 港湾研究部, 室長 (10356040)
ABE Motohisa  国土技術政策総合研究所, 港湾研究部, 室長 (30370795)
Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥6,500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,500,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥2,080,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥480,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥2,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥570,000)
Keywords巨大災害 / コンテナ貨物 / 代替港湾 / 時間価値 / BCP / 代替港
Outline of Final Research Achievements

After large-scale disasters, the damaged ports, that are essential infrastructure for restoration of local and national economy, are expected to function to meet the cargo demand. From this viewpoint, the estimation of post-disaster cargo demand and alternative ports are needed in advance in port-BCP.
Against this background, the purpose of this study are (1) to quantify the demands for container transport after large-scale earthquakes and tsunamis, (2) to develop the port choice model used to identify alternative ports. The achievement of this study has been published by the papers of international and domestic societies and also by a book. In addition, the developed model was applied to the Tohoku regional port-BCP.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (22 results)

All 2015 2014 Other

All Journal Article (6 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 3 results,  Open Access: 4 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 6 results) Presentation (15 results) (of which Invited: 1 results) Book (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] ESTIMATION OF ALTERNATIVE PORTS AFTER LARGE-SCALE EARTHQUAKES/TSUNAMIS FOR REGIONAL PORT-BCP2015

    • Author(s)
      赤倉康寛,小野憲司,渡部富博,川村浩
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B3 (Ocean Engineering)

      Volume: 71 Issue: 2 Pages: I_689-I_694

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejoe.71.I_689

    • NAID

      130005097581

    • ISSN
      2185-4688
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 大規模地震・津波後の国際海上コンテナ貨物の代替港湾の推計と港湾BCPへの適用2015

    • Author(s)
      赤倉康寛,小野憲司,渡部富博,川村浩
    • Journal Title

      京都大学防災研究所年報

      Volume: 58B Pages: 26-34

    • NAID

      120005741176

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Estimation of Alternative Ports for Container Transport after Large-scale Disasters -Estimation Method and Application to Port-BCPs-2015

    • Author(s)
      Yasuhiro AKAKURA, Kenji ONO, Tomihiro WATANABE and Hiroshi KAWAMURA
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Integrated Disaster Risk Management

      Volume: 5 (2) Issue: 2 Pages: 135-152

    • DOI

      10.5595/idrim.2015.0103

    • NAID

      120005997905

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 大規模災害後の外貿コンテナ貨物の代替港湾の取扱能力と輸送経路の推計2014

    • Author(s)
      赤倉康寛,小野憲司
    • Journal Title

      京都大学防災研究所年報

      Volume: 57 Pages: 46-54

    • NAID

      120005567962

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Earthquake and tunami damage estimation for port-BCP2014

    • Author(s)
      Yasuhiro AKAKURA, Kenji ONO and Koji Ichii
    • Journal Title

      Geotechnics for Catastrophic Flooding Events

      Volume: 1 Pages: 233-238

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 海運依存産業における大規模地震・津波後のコンテナ貨物需要の復旧曲線2014

    • Author(s)
      赤倉康寛,邊見充,小野憲司,石原正豊,福元正武
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集D3(土木計画)

      Volume: 70

    • NAID

      130005070398

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] 広域港湾BCPのための大規模地震・津波後の代替港湾の推計2015

    • Author(s)
      赤倉康寛,小野憲司,渡部富博,川村浩
    • Organizer
      土木学会海洋開発シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      神戸国際会議場
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-23
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大規模災害後の外貿コンテナ貨物の代替港湾の推計と港湾BCPへの適用2015

    • Author(s)
      赤倉康寛,小野憲司,渡部富博,川村浩
    • Organizer
      京都大学防災研究所研究発表講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学(宇治)
    • Year and Date
      2015-02-22
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Estimation of the Alternative Port for Prevention of Container Transport Disruption after LSD2014

    • Author(s)
      Yasuhiro AKAKURA, Kenji ONO and Tomihiro WATANABE
    • Organizer
      5th Conference of the International Society for Integrated Disaster Risk Management
    • Place of Presentation
      Western University (London)
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-30
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Progress of Port-BCP in Japan2014

    • Author(s)
      Yasuhiro AKAKURA
    • Organizer
      Seminario Internacional de Ingenieria y Operacion Portuaria 2014
    • Place of Presentation
      Convenciones ZOFRI (Iquique)
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-17
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Earthquake and Tunami Damage Estimation for Port-BCP2014

    • Author(s)
      Yasuhiro AKAKURA, Kenji ONO and Koji Ichii
    • Organizer
      4th International Conference on Geotechnical Engineering for Disaster Mitigation and Rehabilitation
    • Place of Presentation
      Kyoto University (Uji)
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-18
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 代替港湾の取扱能力を踏まえた大規模災害後の港湾・経路選択モデルの開発2014

    • Author(s)
      赤倉康寛,慈道充,丁子信,川村浩,渡部富博
    • Organizer
      土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      東北工業大学(仙台)
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-08
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 東北における港湾BCP策定の実践2014

    • Author(s)
      川村浩,赤倉康寛,山岡潮,西川泰樹,小野憲司
    • Organizer
      土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      東北工業大学(仙台)
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-08
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ビジネス・インパクト分析を用いた港湾物流機能継続計画策定手法の開発2014

    • Author(s)
      小野憲司,滝野義和,赤倉康寛
    • Organizer
      土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      東北工業大学(仙台)
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-08
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 東日本大震災における外貿コンテナ貨物の代替港湾・輸送経路試算

    • Author(s)
      赤倉康寛,小野憲司,渡部富博,福元正武,邊見充
    • Organizer
      第47回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      広島工業大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 東日本大震災における海運・港湾部門のレジリエンスに関する研究

    • Author(s)
      邊見充,赤倉康寛,小野憲司,石原正豊,福元正武
    • Organizer
      第47回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      広島工業大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Study on the Quatification of International Containerized Cargo Demand and the Estimation of Alternative Port/Route after LSD

    • Author(s)
      Y. Akakura, K. Ono and T. Watanabe
    • Organizer
      DwD with the 4th Conference of IDRiM
    • Place of Presentation
      Northumbria University, UK
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 津波災害による事業所操業度の低下を示す機能的フラジリティ曲線推計の試み

    • Author(s)
      赤倉康寛,小野憲司
    • Organizer
      第8回防災計画研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 荷主企業の追跡による対米国輸出の東日本大震災後の需要・代替港湾の把握

    • Author(s)
      赤倉康寛,小野憲司
    • Organizer
      第48回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪市立大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 東日本大震災における外貿コンテナ貨物の代替港湾の利用状況に関する分析

    • Author(s)
      赤倉康寛,小野憲司
    • Organizer
      平成25年度京都大学防災研究所研究発表講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Estimation Method of Port Container Demand and Alternatibe Route after Large-Scale Disaster for Making Port-BCP

    • Author(s)
      Y. Akakura
    • Organizer
      The 3rd Japan-Chile Symposium on Tsunami Disaster Mitigation
    • Place of Presentation
      建築会館ホール
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 大規模災害時の港湾機能継続マネジメント BCP作成の理論と実践2015

    • Author(s)
      小野憲司,赤倉康寛,角浩美
    • Total Pages
      271
    • Publisher
      (公社)日本港湾協会
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2013-05-21   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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