| Project/Area Number |
25330036
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
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| Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
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| Section | 一般 |
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| Research Field |
Statistical science
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| Research Institution | Tokyo University of Marine Science and Technology |
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Principal Investigator |
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| Project Period (FY) |
2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
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| Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
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| Budget Amount *help |
¥2,340,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥540,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
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| Keywords | 水産資源管理 / 資源管理ストラテジー / 資源動態モデリング / リスク評価 / 海棲哺乳類 / 統計的推定 / リスク / 不確実性 / エコロジカルリスク / 資資源管理ストラテジー |
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| Outline of Final Research Achievements |
The present study aimed at developing methods for evaluation of management strategies and ecological risks for fishery resources. In this study, statistical modelling and inference for population dynamics as well as objective evaluation of management strategies under several types of uncertainty were focused. The methods and frameworks developed were applied to several actual data for wildlife populations. Especially, for marine mammal populations, a harvest strategy was examined to achieve balanced objectives by taking account of depletion risk and fishery damage. Also, a modification of existing common harvest control for marine mammals was proposed, and it was demonstrated that the modification performs well, inter alia, under future ecosystem changes.
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