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Development of ecology risk evaluation and Bayesian approach to environmental problems

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25330051
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Statistical science
Research InstitutionThe Institute of Statistical Mathematics

Principal Investigator

Kashiwagi Nobuhisa  統計数理研究所, モデリング研究系, 教授 (50150032)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) SHIMIZU Kunio  慶應義塾大学, 理工学部, 名誉教授 (60110946)
TAKIZAWA Yumi  統計数理研究所, モデリング研究系, 准教授 (90280528)
Research Collaborator ANEZAKI Katsunori  
FUKASAWA Atsushi  
HAYASHI Takehiko  
Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥5,070,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,170,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Keywordsベイズ統計 / 環境統計 / 方向統計 / 生態リスク評価 / 汚染発生源解析 / 土砂災害 / 化学物質に対する細胞応答 / 環境汚染発生源解析 / 方向統計学 / 生態リスク / 期待影響割合 / 種の感受性 / 毒性評価 / 発生源解析 / 環境科学
Outline of Final Research Achievements

We have studied about the statistical methods to settle the mathematical problems of appearing in environmental issues. Themes in detail were ecology risk evaluation, a pollution source analysis, the solar radiation energy, landslide disaster and a cell reply to chemicals. About ecology risk evaluation, we proposed a method to estimate chronic toxicity from acute toxicity. About a pollution source analysis, we estimated PCB sources in Muroran port sediments. About the solar radiation energy, landslide disaster and a cell reply to chemicals, we developed statistical models which can describe the phenomena.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (49 results)

All 2016 2015 2014 2013 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (4 results) Journal Article (14 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 12 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results) Presentation (31 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 9 results,  Invited: 3 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of Canberra(Australia)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Indian Statistical Institute(India)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Southwestern University of Fin. and Eco.(中国)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Universiti Sains Malaysia(Malaysia)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Estimation of Polychlorinated Biphenyl Sources in Industrial Port Sediments Using a Bayesian Semifactor Model Considering Unidentified Sources2016

    • Author(s)
      Katsunori Anezaki, Takeshi Nakano, Nobuhisa Kashiwagi
    • Journal Title

      Environ. Sci. Technol.

      Volume: 50 Issue: 2 Pages: 765-771

    • DOI

      10.1021/acs.est.5b03501

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Influence diagnostics in possibly asymmetric circular-linear multivariate regression models2016

    • Author(s)
      Liu, S., Ma, T., SenGupta, A., Shimizu, K., Wang, M.-Z.
    • Journal Title

      Sankhya B

      Volume: 78 Issue: 1 Pages: 1-18

    • DOI

      10.1007/s13571-016-0116-8

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Excitation of paramecium with membrane potential generation for swimming direction by cilia2015

    • Author(s)
      Takizawa Y., Fukasawa, A. Takeuchi H.-A.
    • Journal Title

      WSEAS Transactions on Biology and Biomedicine

      Volume: 12 Pages: 62-68

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Excitation of a neuron for characteristic potential generation2015

    • Author(s)
      Takizawa Y., Fukasawa A.
    • Journal Title

      WSEAS Transactions on Biology and Biomedicine

      Volume: 12 Pages: 69-78

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A possibly asymmetric multivariate generalization of the Mobiius distribution for directional data2015

    • Author(s)
      Kagumi Uesu, Kunio Shimizu, Ashis SenGupta
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Multivariate Analysis

      Volume: 134 Pages: 146-162

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Modelling of a Neuron and Point Contact Transistor2015

    • Author(s)
      Fukasawa A., Takizawa Y.
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Biology and Biomedical Engineering

      Volume: 9 Pages: 14-21

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Activities of Excitatory Cells of Neuron and Unicellular Organism2015

    • Author(s)
      Fukasawa A., Takizawa Y.
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Biology and Biomedical Engineering

      Volume: 9 Pages: 98-103

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 生態毒性データにおける急性慢性比(ACR)の算出・使用の前提となる仮定は実際に成り立っているのか?:回帰分析による検証2015

    • Author(s)
      林岳彦, 柏木宣久
    • Journal Title

      日本リスク研究学会誌

      Volume: 24 Pages: 213-220

    • NAID

      130005061911

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 東京湾における底層 DO データの解析2014

    • Author(s)
      安藤晴夫, 柏木宣久, 和波一夫, 石井裕一
    • Journal Title

      東京都環境科学研究所年報

      Volume: 2014 Pages: 94-95

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 有機指標成分の測定と CMBK モデルの適用による大阪市の PM2.5 発生源寄与率推定2014

    • Author(s)
      浅川大地, 古市裕子, 柏木宣久, 山本敦史, 橋本俊次, 船坂邦弘
    • Journal Title

      大阪市立環科研報告

      Volume: 76 Pages: 47-52

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 方向統計学の利用による地震緯度・経度・マグニチュードデータの解析2013

    • Author(s)
      王敏真, 清水邦夫, 上江洲香実
    • Journal Title

      応用統計学

      Volume: 42 Pages: 29-44

    • NAID

      10031193052

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Extending circular distributions through transformation of argument2013

    • Author(s)
      Toshihiro Abe, Arthur Pewsey, Kunio Shimizu
    • Journal Title

      Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics

      Volume: 65 Pages: 833-858

    • NAID

      40019817768

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A non-homogeneous hidden Markov model for predicting the distribution of sea surface elevation2013

    • Author(s)
      Tsukasa Hokimoto, Kunio Shimizu
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Applied Statistics

      Volume: 41 Pages: 294-319

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 環境科学における方向統計学の利用2013

    • Author(s)
      清水邦夫, 王敏真
    • Journal Title

      統計数理

      Volume: 61 Pages: 289-305

    • NAID

      120006020798

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 時空間季節変動モデルについて2016

    • Author(s)
      柏木宣久
    • Organizer
      科研費研究集会「東京湾水質データの統計解析」
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Year and Date
      2016-02-17
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Pareto-type distributions on the cylinder2015

    • Author(s)
      Shimizu, K., Imoto, T.
    • Organizer
      9th Conference of the Asian Regional Section of the IASC
    • Place of Presentation
      Singapore
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-17
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 環境中濃度データを読み解くための統計手法について2015

    • Author(s)
      柏木宣久
    • Organizer
      平成27年度漁場環境保全関係研究開発推進会議有害物質部会
    • Place of Presentation
      広島
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-18
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 斜面崩壊予測に対する時系列解析2015

    • Author(s)
      井本智明, 酒井直樹, 清水邦夫, 山下智志, 金藤浩司
    • Organizer
      統計数理研究所共同研究集会「環境・生態データと統計解析」
    • Place of Presentation
      立川
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-06
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Landslide prediction by using logistic regression models2015

    • Author(s)
      Fam, P. S., Lim, Y. Z., Chai, Y. K., Shimizu, K., Imoto , T., Koay, S. P., Lateh, H., Tay, L. T.
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Slopes
    • Place of Presentation
      Malaysia
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-15
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A case study of rain induced landslides prediction in Malaysia2015

    • Author(s)
      Koay, S. P., Tay, L.T., Fam, P. S., Imoto, T., Shimizu, K., Jamaludin, S., Koyama, T., Murakami, S., Fukuoka, H., Sakai, N., Lateh, H.
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Slopes
    • Place of Presentation
      Malaysia
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-15
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] An application of statistical time series analysis to prediction of slope failure2015

    • Author(s)
      Sakai, N., Shimizu, K., Kanefuji, K., Yamashita, S.
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Slopes
    • Place of Presentation
      Malaysia
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-15
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Activity of bipolar potential generation in paramecium2015

    • Author(s)
      Takizawa Y., Fukasawa A., Takeuchi H.-A.
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Cellular and Molecular Biology, Biophysics and Bioengineering
    • Place of Presentation
      Korea
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-06
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Activity of a neuron for characteristic potential waveforms of pulse and plateau with positive and negative polarities2015

    • Author(s)
      Takizawa Y., Fukasawa A., Natori K.
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Cellular and Molecular Biology, Biophysics and Bioengineering
    • Place of Presentation
      Korea
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-06
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Estimation of polychlorinated biphenyl sources in sediment using Bayesian semi-factor model in consideration of an unidentified source2015

    • Author(s)
      Anezaki, K., Nakano, T., Kashiwagi, N.
    • Organizer
      35th International Symposium on Halogenated Persistent Organic Pollutants
    • Place of Presentation
      Brazil
    • Year and Date
      2015-08-25
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Positive and negative action potentials in paramecium relating to neurons2015

    • Author(s)
      Takizawa Y., Fukasawa A., Takeuchi H.-A.
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Health Science and Biomedical Systems
    • Place of Presentation
      Malta
    • Year and Date
      2015-08-18
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Activity of a neuron for generation of pulse and plateau with positive and negative potentials2015

    • Author(s)
      Fukasawa, A., Takizawa, Y.
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Cellular and Molecular Biology, Biophysics and Bioengineering
    • Place of Presentation
      Malta
    • Year and Date
      2015-08-18
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] ベイズ型組成半因子モデルを用いた環境中の PCBs 汚染由来の推定2015

    • Author(s)
      姉崎克典,柏木宣久
    • Organizer
      環境化学討論会
    • Place of Presentation
      札幌
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-15
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A method for generating circular distributions2015

    • Author(s)
      Kunio Shimizu
    • Organizer
      Recent Developments in Statistical Distribution Theory
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-27
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ベイズ型クリギングによる東京湾水質予測2015

    • Author(s)
      柏木宣久
    • Organizer
      科研費研究集会「東京湾とその流域における水質の長期変動に関する研究」
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Year and Date
      2015-01-27
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 環境データの統計解析2015

    • Author(s)
      柏木宣久
    • Organizer
      科研費研究集会「東京湾とその流域における水質の長期変動に関する研究」
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Year and Date
      2015-01-27
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] A modified von Mises distribution2014

    • Author(s)
      Kunio Shimizu
    • Organizer
      IASSL-International Conference 2014
    • Place of Presentation
      Colombo, Sri Lanka
    • Year and Date
      2014-12-28
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] マレーシアにおける地すべりのリスク評価手法開発プロジェクト2014

    • Author(s)
      清水邦夫, 井本智明, 山下智志, 金藤浩司
    • Organizer
      統計数理研究所共同研究集会「環境・生態データと統計解析 」
    • Place of Presentation
      立川
    • Year and Date
      2014-12-05
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Use of Mobius transformation in directional statistics2014

    • Author(s)
      Kunio Shimizu
    • Organizer
      The 22nd National Symposium On Mathematical Sciences
    • Place of Presentation
      Shah Alam, Malaysia
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-25
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] A discrete cardioid distribution with application to wind direction data2014

    • Author(s)
      Kunio Shimizu
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Mathematics, Statistics, and Financial Mathematics 2014
    • Place of Presentation
      Petaling Jaya, Malaysia
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-19
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 都市部のPM2.5に対するバイオマス燃焼寄与率のCMBKモデルによる推定2014

    • Author(s)
      浅川大地, 船坂邦弘, 柏木宣久, 橋本俊次
    • Organizer
      大気環境学会
    • Place of Presentation
      松山
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-18
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] CMBモデルとCMBKモデルによるPM2.5の発生源解析2014

    • Author(s)
      浅川大地, 船坂邦弘, 柏木宣久, 橋本俊次
    • Organizer
      エアロゾル科学・技術研究討論会
    • Place of Presentation
      つくば
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-08
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] CMBのソフトウェアについて

    • Author(s)
      柏木宣久
    • Organizer
      統計数理研究所共同研究集会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 東京湾における水質の長期変動傾向について; 2012年度まで解析結果

    • Author(s)
      安藤晴夫, 柏木宣久, 和波一夫, 石井裕一
    • Organizer
      科学研究費研究集会
    • Place of Presentation
      川崎
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 種の期待影響割合による生態リスク評価

    • Author(s)
      柏木宣久
    • Organizer
      科学研究費研究集会
    • Place of Presentation
      川崎
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 環境測定分析における要因効果のベイズ推定

    • Author(s)
      柏木宣久
    • Organizer
      科学研究費研究集会
    • Place of Presentation
      川崎
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 東京湾における底層DOの長期変動傾向について

    • Author(s)
      安藤晴夫, 柏木宣久, 和波一夫, 石井裕一
    • Organizer
      日本水環境学会年会
    • Place of Presentation
      仙台
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Transforming the von Mises-Fisher distribution via generalized Mobius transformation

    • Author(s)
      Kunio Shimizu
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Statistical Distributions and Applications
    • Place of Presentation
      Michigan, USA
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] シリンダー上のピアソンVII型分布

    • Author(s)
      菅澤翔之助, 清水邦夫
    • Organizer
      統計数理研究所共同研究集会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Transforming the von Mises-Fisher distribution via a conformal transformation

    • Author(s)
      Kunio Shimizu
    • Organizer
      統計数理研究所共同研究集会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] A new probability model for cylindrical data

    • Author(s)
      Kunio Shimizu
    • Organizer
      ISM Symposium on Environmental Statistics 2014
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-07-25   Modified: 2022-02-07  

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