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NOWCASTING OF GROSS REGIONAL PRODUCT OF JAPAN

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25380318
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Economic policy
Research InstitutionAtomi University

Principal Investigator

Yamasawa Nariyasu  跡見学園女子大学, マネジメント学部, 教授 (50348166)

Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,730,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥630,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Keywords県民経済計算 / 災害の経済学 / 景気循環論 / 国民経済計算 / 東日本大震災 / 地域経済学 / 経済政策 / ナウキャスティング / 地方経済 / 空間経済学 / 地域経済
Outline of Final Research Achievements

We developed the real monthly GDP by 47 prefectures to capture the each prefectures economic condition. We estimated the GDP using both official estimates and original estimates. Since 2012, the Japanese Cabinet Office has been releasing data on most of the GDP components in the form of a monthly index called the Regional Domestic Expenditure Index (RDEI). We estimated the other components, namely, government consumption and net export and added these to the expenditure component to arrive at the monthly GDP.
By the monthly GDP,we estimated the economic impact of the Great East Japan Earthquake estimating indirect loss or gain. And we tried to capture business condition for 47 prefectures. We estimated business conditions by band pass filter and markov switching model.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (27 results)

All 2016 2015 2014 2013 Other

All Journal Article (10 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 2 results,  Open Access: 2 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 4 results) Presentation (14 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results) Remarks (3 results)

  • [Journal Article] The Impact of the Great East Japan Earthquale on Japan's Economic Growth2015

    • Author(s)
      Nariyasu Yamasawa
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Economics and Finance

      Volume: Vol.7 No.8 Issue: 8 Pages: 20-30

    • DOI

      10.5539/ijef.v7n8p20

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 都道府県別月次移出入の推計2015

    • Author(s)
      山澤成康
    • Journal Title

      跡見学園女子大学マネジメント学部紀要

      Volume: 20 Pages: 57-69

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 時評:地方から景気の先を読む2015

    • Author(s)
      山澤成康
    • Journal Title

      第一生命経済研究所「経済研レポート」

      Volume: 2015年8月号 Pages: 1-1

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 地域経済指標からみた東北復興2015

    • Author(s)
      山澤成康
    • Journal Title

      公益法人協会「公益・一般法人」

      Volume: 2015年4月 Pages: 73-73

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 都道府県別月次政府最終消費の推計2015

    • Author(s)
      山澤成康
    • Journal Title

      跡見学園女子大学マネジメント学部紀要

      Volume: 19号 Pages: 118-133

    • NAID

      110010055420

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 経済データの足の遅さをどう克服するか-統計の速報化と予測の短期化2014

    • Author(s)
      山澤成康
    • Journal Title

      統計

      Volume: 4月 Pages: 34-39

    • NAID

      40020036602

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 埼玉県月次GDPの推計2014

    • Author(s)
      山澤成康
    • Journal Title

      跡見学園女子大学マネジメント学部紀要

      Volume: 18号 Pages: 61-75

    • NAID

      110010054141

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 時評:「今」を予測する重要性2014

    • Author(s)
      山澤成康
    • Journal Title

      第一生命経済研レポート

      Volume: 2014年2月号 Pages: 1-1

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 震災復興の進捗状況と政府最終消費支出の推計2013

    • Author(s)
      山澤成康
    • Journal Title

      跡見学園女子大学マネジメント学部紀要

      Volume: 14 Pages: 84-89

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 景気短評:公共投資依存から観光立国へ2013

    • Author(s)
      山澤成康
    • Journal Title

      公益・一般法人

      Volume: 2013年12月号 Pages: 63-63

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 地域景気の跛行性ー都道府県別CIと月次GDPによる比較2016

    • Author(s)
      小野寺敬・山澤成康
    • Organizer
      日本大学経済科学研究所研究プロジェクト第2回研究集会
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島市城山ホテル
    • Year and Date
      2016-02-02
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地域景気指標について2015

    • Author(s)
      山澤成康
    • Organizer
      日本大学経済科学研究所研究プロジェクト第1回研究集会
    • Place of Presentation
      金沢市文化ホール
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-01
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] レジームスイッチングモデルを使った都道府県別景気動向の把握2015

    • Author(s)
      山澤成康
    • Organizer
      第9回マクロモデル会議
    • Place of Presentation
      日本経済研究センター
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-01
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Nowcasting of gross regional product an analyzing regional business cycles2015

    • Author(s)
      Nariyasu Yamasawa
    • Organizer
      EURO2015 27th European Conference on Operational Research
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Stracthclyde Grasgow
    • Year and Date
      2015-07-12
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Nowcasting of Gross Regional Product and Analyzing Regional Business Cycle2015

    • Author(s)
      Nariyasu Yamasawa
    • Organizer
      ISF2015 35th International Sympsium on Forecasting
    • Place of Presentation
      Riverside,USA
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-21
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 都道府県別月次政府最終消費の推計2014

    • Author(s)
      山澤成康
    • Organizer
      内閣府「地域別支出総合指標(RDEI)の作成・検証.分析委員会」
    • Place of Presentation
      内閣府(中央合同調査8号館14階)
    • Year and Date
      2014-12-16
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 埼玉県月次GRPの動向2014

    • Author(s)
      山澤成康
    • Organizer
      埼玉県景気動向指数懇話会
    • Place of Presentation
      埼玉県庁(埼玉会館)
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-20
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Measuring the indirect losses from natural disasters: the case of the GreatEast Japan Earthquake2014

    • Author(s)
      山澤成康
    • Organizer
      61st Annual North American Meetings of the Regional Science Association International
    • Place of Presentation
      米国、ワシントン
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-17
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] RDEIを改良した都道府県別月次GDPの推計2014

    • Author(s)
      山澤成康
    • Organizer
      マクロモデル研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      グランフロント大阪南館21階
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-12
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] NOWCASTING OF GROSS REGIONAL PRODUCT OF JAPAN2014

    • Author(s)
      山澤成康
    • Organizer
      The 34th International Symposium on Forecasting
    • Place of Presentation
      オランダ、ロッテルダム
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-30
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 被災3県の月次GDPの作成-間接被害の大きさを測る2014

    • Author(s)
      山澤成康
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      同志社大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-15
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Global Economic Forecast to 2050

    • Author(s)
      Nariyasu Yamasawa
    • Organizer
      The 33rd International Symposium on Forecasting
    • Place of Presentation
      KAIST,College of Business,Korea
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 埼玉県月次GDPの作成

    • Author(s)
      山澤成康
    • Organizer
      埼玉県景気動向指数懇話会
    • Place of Presentation
      埼玉県県民健康センター
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 被災3県の月次GDPの作成

    • Author(s)
      山澤成康
    • Organizer
      応用地域学会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 都道府県別月次GDPデータ

    • URL

      http://www2.mmc.atomi.ac.jp/web13/todouhukenbetu.html

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 山澤研究室

    • URL

      http://www2.mmc.atomi.ac.jp/web13/index.shtml

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 山澤成康

    • URL

      http://www2.mmc.atomi.ac.jp/web13/index.shtml

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2014-07-25   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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