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Measurement of Performance in Non-storable Commodity Market and its Application to Economic Policy

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25380323
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Economic policy
Research InstitutionSophia University

Principal Investigator

Ishii Masahiro  上智大学, 経済学部, 教授 (90323881)

Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,810,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,110,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Keywordsリスクへの態度 / 市場支配力 / 貯蔵不可能な財 / Mark-up / 価格変動 / 不確実性 / 市場間関係 / リスクプレミアム / 非協力ゲーム / 市場の集中度
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Both finance and industrial organization are the bases of this research. The main result of this study is to show the relations between risk attitude of participants and the performance in non-storable commodity markets. To be more precise, non-cooperative games, where the players are suppliers of non-storable goods, are developed. Then, this study sheds light on the relations among risk attitude of market participants, Nash equilibrium price, and its expectation and variance with the models. Especially, the mark-up is decomposed into two part : the effect of exercising market power and the effect of risk attitude.
Furthermore, a previous study, which was supported by KAKENHI grant, is applied to calibrate the risk attitude of participants in shipping freight markets. It is found that price fluctuations of some commodities affect Forward Freight Agreement (FFA) price via the risk attitude.

Report

(6 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (24 results)

All 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 Other

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 1 results) Presentation (20 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 8 results) Book (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Evaluation of risk attitude in shipping freight market under uncertainty2018

    • Author(s)
      石坂元一・手塚広一郎・石井昌宏
    • Journal Title

      Maritime Policy and Management

      Volume: Forthcoming Issue: 8 Pages: 1-16

    • DOI

      10.1080/03088839.2018.1463107

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 不確実性下の海運市場の価格形成に関する研究動向とその課題2015

    • Author(s)
      手塚広一郎・石井昌宏
    • Journal Title

      海事交通研究

      Volume: 64 Pages: 43-51

    • NAID

      40020683583

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] An Oligopoly Model for Market Performance Analysis With an Application to Electricity Market2014

    • Author(s)
      Masahiro Ishii and Koichiro Tezuka
    • Journal Title

      中央大学経済研究所ディスカッション・ペーパー

      Volume: 226 Pages: 1-39

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 貯蔵不可能な財市場において供給者のリスクへの態度を考慮した価格評価モデル2017

    • Author(s)
      石井昌宏・手塚広一郎
    • Organizer
      中央大学経済研究所・ネットワークと社会資本研究会・合宿研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      御殿場, 静岡県
    • Year and Date
      2017-03-13
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 不定期船市場における供給者のリスクへの態度を考慮した市場価格モデル2017

    • Author(s)
      石井昌宏・手塚広一郎
    • Organizer
      日本海運経済学会 関東部会
    • Place of Presentation
      日本大学経済学部, 東京都
    • Year and Date
      2017-02-22
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] An Analysis on Attitudes toward Risk in Shipping Freight Markets2017

    • Author(s)
      Masahiro Ishii and Koichiro Tezuka
    • Organizer
      2017 IAME Kyoto
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Regulatory Reform in the Japanese Electric Power Industry: An Event Study Analysis2017

    • Author(s)
      Koichiro Tezuka, Masahiro Ishii and Satoru Hashimoto
    • Organizer
      40th IAEE International Conference
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Effect of Suppliers' Risk Appetite on Market Performance in Electricity Markets2017

    • Author(s)
      Masahiro Ishii and Koichiro Tezuka
    • Organizer
      35th USAEE North American conference
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Economic Linkage Between Shipping Freight Rate and Commodity Markets2016

    • Author(s)
      Ishizaka, .M, Ishii, M. and Tezuka, K.
    • Organizer
      OBOR Conference 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Melbourne, Australia
    • Year and Date
      2016-12-02
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] An Analysis on the Relationship between Risk Attitudes and Ship- ping Freight Markets2016

    • Author(s)
      Tezuka, K and Ishii, M.
    • Organizer
      2016 IAME
    • Place of Presentation
      Hambrug, Germany
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-25
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The relationship between regulatory reform and pipeline investment: The case of the Japanese natural gas industry2016

    • Author(s)
      Hashimoto, S, Tezuka, K and Ishii, M.
    • Organizer
      39th IAEE International Conferernce
    • Place of Presentation
      Bergen, Norway
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-20
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Regulatory Reform and Network Expansion: Case of the Japanese Natural Gas Industry2015

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M., Hashimoto, S. and Tezuka, K.
    • Organizer
      33rd USAEE/IAEE NORTH AMERICAN CONFERENCE
    • Place of Presentation
      Pittsburgh, USA
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-28
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A Study on the Effects of Port Integration and Competition under Uncertainty2015

    • Author(s)
      Tezuka, K. and Ishii, M.
    • Organizer
      2015 SUBA-ALRT(International Conference on Global Integration of Economies and Connectivity Development)
    • Place of Presentation
      Taipei, Taiwan
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-01
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] An Equilibrium Freight Rate with Capacity Constraint under Uncertainty2015

    • Author(s)
      Tezuka, K and Ishii, M
    • Organizer
      2015 IAME
    • Place of Presentation
      Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
    • Year and Date
      2015-08-25
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] An Empirical Study of Market Performance in Wholesale Electricity Markets2014

    • Author(s)
      Koichiro Tezuka, Masahiro Ishii and Motokazu Ishizaka
    • Organizer
      14th IAEE European Energy Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Rome(Italy)
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-30
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] A Study on the Structural Relationship between FFA and Commodity Futures from the Point of Risk Attitude2014

    • Author(s)
      Koichiro Tezuka, Motokazu Ishizaka and Masahiro Ishii
    • Organizer
      IAME Conference 2014
    • Place of Presentation
      Norfolk(USA)
    • Year and Date
      2014-07-17
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Market Power versus Risk Premium: The Cases of PJM and JEPX2014

    • Author(s)
      Masahiro Ishii, Motokazu Ishizaka and Koichiro Tezuka
    • Organizer
      37th IAEE International Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      New York(USA)
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-17
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] An Oligopoly Model for Market Performance Analysis with an Application to Electricity Market2014

    • Author(s)
      石井昌宏, 手塚広一郎
    • Organizer
      ネットワークと社会資本研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      中央大学(東京・八王子市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-05-17
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Analysis of Market Conduct and Performance in Electricity Markets

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M., Ishizaka, M. and Tezuka, K.
    • Organizer
      The 36th Annual IAEE International Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Daegu, Korea
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Relationship between Port Charges and Capacity Investment under Uncertain Demand

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M. and Tezuka, K.
    • Organizer
      13th WCTR(World Conference on Transport Research)
    • Place of Presentation
      Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 電力取引市場における供給力確保を目的とするコールオプションの利用

    • Author(s)
      石井昌宏
    • Organizer
      保険および金融についての研究ワークショップ(第3回)
    • Place of Presentation
      長崎大学 経済学部
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] An Empirical Analysis on Risk Attitudes in a Shipping Freight Market

    • Author(s)
      Ishizaka, M., Ishii, M. and Tezuka, K.
    • Organizer
      6th ICASL(International Conference of Asian Shipping and Logistics)
    • Place of Presentation
      Fukae Campus of Kobe University
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] A Study on the Relationship between Port Charges and Capacity Investment under Uncertain Demand

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M. and Tezuka, K.
    • Organizer
      Third Annual International Workshop on Port Economics and Policy
    • Place of Presentation
      National University of Singapore
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Book] Dynamic Shipping and Port Development in the Globalized Economy, Volume 1: Applying Theory and Practice in Maritime Logistics(Chapter5: Applying Game Theoretic Models to Port Policiesを執筆)2015

    • Author(s)
      Tezuka, K and Ishii, M.(Lee, P. T.W. and Cullinane, K. eds.)
    • Total Pages
      230
    • Publisher
      Palgrave Macmillan
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-07-25   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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