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Derivation of customer lifetime value and building decision support model for a company

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25380562
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Commerce
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

ABE Makoto  東京大学, 大学院経済学研究科(経済学部), 教授 (70302677)

Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥600,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
KeywordsRFM分析 / 顧客生涯価値(CLV) / 顧客関係管理(CRM) / 既存顧客維持介入 / 新規顧客獲得 / 1to1マーケティング / 顧客関係管理 / ベイズ統計 / 生涯価値 / 既存顧客維持 / CRM / 顧客生涯価値 / ソーシャルネットワーク / スキャンパネルデータ
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The wide use of RFM analysis in CRM suggests that these measures contain rather rich information about customer purchase behavior. This research, using the RFM measures of a customer, develops an individual-level CLV model that identifies the underlying behavior traits of purchase rate, lifetime and spending, which are then linked to CLV. In the application to two datasets, frequent shoppers program data from a department store and a CD chain, the model produces customer-specific metrics that are useful for identifying preferred customers and taking marketing actions targeted at the individual level in CRM. The research then presents a retention program for existing customers that is most effective in terms of Marketing ROI, such as what action needs to be taken to which customers at which timing. For prospective customers without RFM measures, by relating the demographic characteristics to behavioral traits, insight into acquisition strategy is obtained.

Report

(6 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (31 results)

All 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 Other

All Journal Article (8 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Open Access: 3 results,  Peer Reviewed: 4 results) Presentation (19 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results,  Invited: 3 results) Book (3 results) Funded Workshop (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] マーケティングと人工知能(AI)2017

    • Author(s)
      阿部誠
    • Journal Title

      JIMSマーケティング・サイエンス

      Volume: Vol. 25 Pages: 7-14

    • NAID

      130006712623

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Analyzing Antecedent Factors of Cognitive Dissonance using E-Commerce Data2016

    • Author(s)
      Keiko Yamaguchi, Makoto Abe
    • Journal Title

      Advances in Consumer Research

      Volume: 44 Pages: 369-374

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 統計的因果推論の新しいトレンド ─ 検定力分析とベイズ推論 ─2016

    • Author(s)
      阿部 誠
    • Journal Title

      マーケティング・サイエンス

      Volume: 24 Pages: 1-5

    • NAID

      130005437605

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 解釈レベル理論とマーケティング─ 解釈レベル理論のモデル化 ─2015

    • Author(s)
      阿部 誠
    • Journal Title

      JIMSマーケティング・サイエンス

      Volume: 23 Pages: 1-9

    • NAID

      130005093508

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 選好の逆転:解釈レベル理論に割引の概念を組み込んだモデルによる分析2015

    • Author(s)
      阿部 誠・守口 剛・八島 明朗
    • Journal Title

      行動経済学

      Volume: 8 Pages: 1-12

    • NAID

      130005088463

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] RFM データを用いた顧客生涯価値の算出 ─ 既存顧客の維持介入と新規顧客の獲得 ─2014

    • Author(s)
      阿部誠
    • Journal Title

      マーケティングジャーナル

      Volume: 133 Pages: 57-74

    • NAID

      130007855401

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 近年のマーケティング・サイエンスのトレンド-構造モデリング-2014

    • Author(s)
      阿部 誠
    • Journal Title

      マーケティング・サイエンス

      Volume: Vol. 22, No. 1 Pages: 1-4

    • NAID

      130005001764

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Nonparametric Hierarchal Bayesian Modeling in Non-contractual Heterogeneous Survival Data2013

    • Author(s)
      S. Nagano, Y. Ichikawa, N. Takaya, T. Uchiyama, M. Abe
    • Journal Title

      The 19th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining Proceedings

      Volume: Vol. 1 Pages: 1-1

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] インフルエンサーマーケティングの収益性分析2017

    • Author(s)
      水野誠、阿部誠、新保直樹
    • Organizer
      ネットワーク生態学シンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 解釈レベル理論と割引の関係2017

    • Author(s)
      阿部誠
    • Organizer
      日本マーケティング・サイエンス学会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Analyzing Antecedent Factors of Cognitive Dissonance using E-Commerce Data2016

    • Author(s)
      Keiko Yamaguchi, Makoto Abe
    • Organizer
      International Workshop on Marketing Science and Service Research
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学(東京都文京区)
    • Year and Date
      2016-12-21
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] リスク選好に影響を与える要因に関する予備的調査2016

    • Author(s)
      金子充、阿部誠、三富悠紀
    • Organizer
      日本マーケティング・サイエンス学会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪大学(大阪府大阪市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-11-26
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Analyzing Antecedent Factors of Cognitive Dissonance using E-Commerce Data2016

    • Author(s)
      Keiko Yamaguchi, Makoto Abe
    • Organizer
      2016 Association for Consumer Research
    • Place of Presentation
      ベルリン (ドイツ)
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-26
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] When Seeding Works in Social Media Marketing: A Hybrid Approach of Empirical Analyses and Simulation2015

    • Author(s)
      M. Mizuno, M. Abe, and N. Shinbo
    • Organizer
      7th Annual Complexity in Business Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      ワシントンDC(アメリカ)
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-13
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Quantifying the Impact of WOM Contagion over the Twitter: Is the Influencer-Seeding Strategy Effective?2015

    • Author(s)
      M. Mizuno, M. Abe, and N. Shinbo
    • Organizer
      INFORMS Marketing Science Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      バルティモア(アメリカ)
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-18
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Preference Reversal: Analysis by Construal Level Theory that Incorporates Discounting2014

    • Author(s)
      Makoto Abe
    • Organizer
      School of Marketing Seminar、University of New South Wales
    • Place of Presentation
      シドニー(オーストラリア)
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-20
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Preference Reversal: Perspective with Generalized Construal Level Theory2014

    • Author(s)
      Makoto Abe
    • Organizer
      Symposium on 『Construal Level theory,Perspectives from Psychology,Economics, and Marketing』
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学(東京都、新宿区)
    • Year and Date
      2014-07-12
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] ブランドに対する心理的距離〜解釈レベル理論を用いた検討〜2014

    • Author(s)
      守口 剛、八島明朗、金子充、阿部誠
    • Organizer
      日本マーケティング・サイエンス学会
    • Place of Presentation
      関西学院大学(兵庫県、西宮市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-22
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Twitterネットワーク上の影響伝播 Part II :誰がインフルエンサーか?2014

    • Author(s)
      水野誠、阿部誠、新保直樹
    • Organizer
      日本マーケティング・サイエンス学会
    • Place of Presentation
      関西学院大学(兵庫県、西宮市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-22
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Analyzing Influence Contagion among Twitter Users: Do a Few Influencers Really Exist?2014

    • Author(s)
      M. Mizuno, M. Abe, and N. Shinbo
    • Organizer
      2014 INFORMS Marketing Science Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      アトランタ(アメリカ)
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-12
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Nonparametric Hierarchal Bayesian Modeling in Non-contractual Heterogeneous Survival Data

    • Author(s)
      S. Nagano, Y. Ichikawa, N. Takaya, T. Uchiyama, M. Abe
    • Organizer
      The 19th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (KDD13)
    • Place of Presentation
      アメリカ、シカゴ
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] The Experiential Set Choice Model Based on a Heterogeneous Knowledge Structure of Consumers

    • Author(s)
      S. Katsumata, A. Nishimoto, and M. Abe
    • Organizer
      2014 INFORMS Marketing Science Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      トルコ、イスタンブール
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Detecting Influential Consumers in the Twitter Network: A Case of WOM on iPhone

    • Author(s)
      M. Mizuno, M. Abe, and N. Shinbo
    • Organizer
      2014 INFORMS Marketing Science Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      トルコ、イスタンブール
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Not Enough Data? : A Paradox of a Large Customer Database

    • Author(s)
      Makoto Abe
    • Organizer
      2013 International Symposium on Forecasting
    • Place of Presentation
      韓国、ソウル
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] RFMデータを用いた顧客生涯価値の算出:既存顧客の維持介入と新規顧客の獲得

    • Author(s)
      阿部誠
    • Organizer
      日本マーケティング・サイエンス学会
    • Place of Presentation
      長崎県、長崎大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Twitterネットワーク上の影響伝播: インフルエンサーは存在するのか?

    • Author(s)
      水野誠、阿部誠、新保直樹
    • Organizer
      日本マーケティング・サイエンス学会
    • Place of Presentation
      長崎県、長崎大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 解釈レベル理論を用いた顧客満足規定要因に関する研究

    • Author(s)
      守口 剛、八島明朗、阿部 誠
    • Organizer
      日本マーケティング・サイエンス学会
    • Place of Presentation
      長崎県、長崎大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Book] [図解]大学4年間のマーケティングが10時間でざっと学べる2018

    • Author(s)
      阿部 誠
    • Total Pages
      96
    • Publisher
      KADOKAWA
    • ISBN
      9784046023308
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 大学4年間のマーケティングが10時間でざっと学べる2017

    • Author(s)
      阿部 誠
    • Total Pages
      224
    • Publisher
      KADOKAWA
    • ISBN
      9784046020154
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] From Little’s Law to Marketing Science: Essays in Honor of John D. C. Little2016

    • Author(s)
      John R. Hauser & Glen L. Urban (ed.)
    • Publisher
      MIT Press
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Funded Workshop] International Workshop on Marketing Science and Service Science2016

    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学(東京都文京区)
    • Year and Date
      2016-12-21
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-07-25   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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