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Prediction and evaluation of return-home difficulty on the basis of several events of downpour disaster in Nagoya metropolitan area

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25420540
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Civil engineering project/Traffic engineering
Research InstitutionNagoya Institute of Technology

Principal Investigator

Fujita Motohiro  名古屋工業大学, 工学(系)研究科(研究院), 教授 (90229013)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) Wisetjindawat Wisinee  名古屋工業大学, 大学院工学研究科, 助教 (40534376)
SAKAMOTO Jun  岐阜工業高等専門学校, その他部局等, 講師 (90548299)
Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥5,070,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,170,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥2,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥570,000)
Keywords帰宅困難 / 東海地域 / 集中豪雨 / シミュレーション / 情報提供 / 豪雨災害 / 道路交通 / 公共交通 / 交通情報 / 交通対策 / 災害時帰宅困難 / 帰宅出発モデル / 災害時帰宅所要時間 / 正確性
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study focused on several downpour disasters occurred in the Nagoya metropolitan area in central Japan which had seriously damaged the public and road transportation network in this area. This study firstly investigated the effect of the downpour disaster on public transport and the return-home behavior model and the travel time were developed. The result showed that commuters who didn’t get the information tend to return home and had more degree of difficulty to return home.
This study also developed a micro traffic simulation for this network. From several analysis, it was found that the travel time of returning home could be reduced if all drivers had known proper traffic restriction information before departure although only half the drivers had known the correct information under the disaster. This study also have analyzed a logistics transport simulation model to distribute relief goods under a disaster and analyzed the reliability of required time in several conditions.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (16 results)

All 2016 2015 2014 2013

All Journal Article (7 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 6 results,  Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (9 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Invited: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] 豪雨災害時の道路交通状況を再現した交通シミュレーションと対策施行2016

    • Author(s)
      熊崎遼,藤田素弘Wisetjindawat W
    • Journal Title

      土木学会中部支部研究発表会講演集

      Volume: 1

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Empirical Analysis on the Impact of Rain Intensity on Commuters' Departure Decision on Torrential Rain Day, Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies2015

    • Author(s)
      SAKAMOTO Jun , FUJITA Motohiro
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies

      Volume: 11 Pages: 311-325

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Analysis of return-home behaviors and suitable information for public transport users during downpour disasters, Sustainable development2015

    • Author(s)
      Motohiro Fujita
    • Journal Title

      Sustainable development

      Volume: 2 Pages: 925-934

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Integrating a Stochastic Failure of the Road Network and a Road Recovery Strategy into the Planning of Goods Distribution in the Aftermath of a Large-Scale Earthquake2015

    • Author(s)
      Wisetjindawat W., Ito H., Fujita M
    • Journal Title

      Transportation Research Record

      Volume: 2532 Pages: 56-63

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report 2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 東海地域台風豪雨時における公共交通の帰宅困難状況と情報入手・正確性との関係分析2014

    • Author(s)
      藤田素弘,大橋雅也,坂本淳
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集D3・特集号

      Volume: Vol.70,No.5

    • NAID

      130005070412

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Modeling Disaster Response Operations including Road Network Vulnerability2013

    • Author(s)
      Wisinee WISETJINDAWAT, Hideyuki ITO, Motohiro FUJITA, Eizo HIDESHIMA
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies

      Volume: Vol.10 Pages: 196-214

    • NAID

      130003384791

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] An Analysis of Probe Data on Traffic Congestion During the Typhoon Using GIS Application2013

    • Author(s)
      Mohammad Hannan Mahmud KHAN, Wisinee WISETJINDAWAT, Motohiro FUJITA, Koji SUZUKI
    • Journal Title

      Proceeding of the Eastern Asia Society of Transportation Studies

      Volume: Vol. 9

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 豪雨災害時の道路交通状況を再現した交通シミュレーションと対策施行2016

    • Author(s)
      熊崎遼,藤田素弘Wisetjindawat W
    • Organizer
      土木学会中部支部研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      豊田高専
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-04
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 豪雨災害時の自動車帰宅行動分析と交通シミュレーション2015

    • Author(s)
      熊崎遼,藤田素弘
    • Organizer
      土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      秋田大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-21
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 台風豪雨時における公共交通の帰宅行動選択と交通状況分析2015

    • Author(s)
      小松浩樹,藤田素弘
    • Organizer
      土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      秋田大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-21
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The impact of information on commuters’ departure decision on torrential rain day2015

    • Author(s)
      Jun SAKAMOTO
    • Organizer
      ITS World Congress
    • Place of Presentation
      ボルドー、フランス
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-05
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Analysis of return-home behaviors and suitable information for public transport users during downpour disasters, Sustainable development2015

    • Author(s)
      Motohiro Fujita
    • Organizer
      Urban Transport 2015
    • Place of Presentation
      Valencia, Spain
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-02
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Analysis on Trafic Animated Simulation During Downpour Disaster Using Questionnaire and Probe Car Data on GIS Aplication2014

    • Author(s)
      Motohiro Fujita
    • Organizer
      都市交通・防災計画に関するワークショップ
    • Place of Presentation
      New York
    • Year and Date
      2014-12-04
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Research on user behavior of homebound public transport during downpour for transport safety in the disaster2014

    • Author(s)
      Motohiro Fujita
    • Organizer
      Occupational Safety in Transport Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Australia
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-18 – 2014-09-20
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Analysis of traffic congestion due to Typhoon using taxi probe data2013

    • Author(s)
      Mohammad Hannan Mahmud KHAN1, Wisinee WISETJINDAWAT2 and Motohiro FUJITA
    • Organizer
      土木学会土木計画学研究論文集
    • Place of Presentation
      広島工業大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] An Analysis of Probe Data on Traffic Congestion During the Typhoon Using GIS Application2013

    • Author(s)
      Mohammad Hannan Mahmud KHAN, Wisinee WISETJINDAWAT, Motohiro FUJITA, Koji SUZUKI,
    • Organizer
      the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies
    • Place of Presentation
      台北
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Invited

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Published: 2014-07-25   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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