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Community prediction in control projects of alien species based on assembly rules

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25440234
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Ecology/Environment
Research InstitutionYokohama National University

Principal Investigator

Koike Fumito  横浜国立大学, 大学院環境情報研究院, 教授 (20202054)

Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Keywords外来生物 / アセンブリールール / 生態特性 / 地形環境 / 群集予測 / 立地環境 / 種特性 / 外来種管理 / 小笠原 / 保全 / 小笠原諸島 / 海洋島 / 生態系回復目標 / 在来生態系復元 / アカギ / 立地解析
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Many control programs to invasive alien species caused recovery of native species; however, sometimes caused increases in unwanted species. This research aimed to predict abundance of individual species in the biological community by using the assembly rule of communities defined as statistical/machine learning approach based on ecological traits of local species pool. We can predict future community maps after removing invasive species or adding once-extinct native species to the local species pool.
The whole project includes (a) species pool dynamics, (b) analyzing assembly rules, (c) construct trait database, (d) analyzing environmental responses of traits, (e) geographical map of traits in complicated environment, (f) reading traits at a geographical point from the trait map, (g) predicting community at the point and drawing the map of community. We focused on Ogasawara Islands where alien species caused major threat to the endemic ecosystem.

Report

(6 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (7 results)

All 2018 2017 2015 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (1 results) Journal Article (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 2 results) Presentation (3 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] City College of New York(米国)

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Supervised forecasting of the range expansion of novel non‐indigenous organisms: Alien pest organisms and the 2009 H1N1 flu pandemic2018

    • Author(s)
      Fumito Koike & Nobuo Morimoto
    • Journal Title

      Global Ecology and Biogeography

      Volume: - Issue: 8 Pages: 991-1000

    • DOI

      10.1111/geb.12754

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Synoptic scale mammal density index map based on roadkill records2018

    • Author(s)
      Tatewaki, T. and Koike, F.
    • Journal Title

      Ecological Indicators

      Volume: 85 Pages: 468-478

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.10.056

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 専門家アンケートをもとにした一対比較による在来植物の脅威となる外来生物の重要度評価2015

    • Author(s)
      小池文人・小出可能・西田智子・川道美枝子
    • Journal Title

      保全生態学研究

      Volume: 20 Pages: 87-100

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 過去の分布拡大情報を利用した外来生物の分布拡大予測2017

    • Author(s)
      小池文人, 森本信生
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Exploring interactions between invasive raccoons and co-occurring carnivores in Japan using a multispecies occupancy model2017

    • Author(s)
      Kass, Jamie; Tingley, Morgan W.; Tetsuya, Tatsuyuki; Koike, Fumito
    • Organizer
      Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of Japan
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 外来生物の影響と除去後に目指すべき群集の推定-小笠原の外来植物の例-2017

    • Author(s)
      小池文人
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会第64回全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-07-25   Modified: 2022-06-07  

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