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Study on temporal and spatial patterns of tuberculosis and influenza epidemics in China

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25460769
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Epidemiology and preventive medicine
Research InstitutionSapporo Medical University

Principal Investigator

Sumi Ayako  札幌医科大学, 医学部, 准教授 (10363699)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) KOBAYASHI Nobumichi  札幌医科大学, 医学部, 教授 (80186759)
ゴッシュ ソウビック  札幌医科大学, 医学部, 助教 (30597175)
Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Keywords結核 / インフルエンザ / 喀痰塗抹陽性 / 喀痰塗抹陰性 / 時系列解析 / 季節変動 / 気象変動 / 中国 / 感染症 / 空間疫学 / 予測解析 / サーベイランス / 国際情報交換 / 水痘
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Results obtained are as follows; 1. We investigated the seasonality of tuberculosis in Wuhan, China, to evaluate the increased risk of disease transmission during each season and to develop an effective TB control strategy. On the basis of results obtained, we suggested that, for summer peaks of SSP, summer influenza epidemics contribute to the increase in TB prevalence (2014); 2. By using surveillance data of chickenpox in Japan and that of hand-foot-and-mouth disease, we proposed a method to investigate the correlation of infectious disease epidemics with meteorological phenomena (2015a, 2015b); 3. We investigated the seasonality of age-specific tuberculosis with monthly age-specific numbers of newly registered cases of active tuberculosis in Japan (2016); 4. We investigated correlation of temporal patterns of reported numbers of admitted patients of both dengue fever and leptospirosis with meteorological conditions [temperature, relative humidity, and rainfall] (in preparation).

Report

(4 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (20 results)

All 2016 2015 2014 2013 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (4 results) Journal Article (5 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 5 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 4 results,  Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (11 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] 武漢疾病予防センター/ハルビン医科大学(中国)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] 香港中文大学(香港)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] サン・ラザロ病院(フィリピン)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] コレラ・腸管感染症研究所(インド)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Time-series analysis of monthly age-specific numbers of newly registered cases of active tuberculosis in Japan from 1998 to 20132016

    • Author(s)
      Kohei Y, Sumi A, Kobayashi N
    • Journal Title

      Epidemiology and Infection

      Volume: - Pages: 1-14

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Time series analysis of reported cases of hand, hoot, and mouth disease from 2010 to 2013 in Wuhan, China2015

    • Author(s)
      Chen, B, Sumi A, Toyoda S, Hu Q, Zhou D, Mise K, Zhao J, Kobayashi N
    • Journal Title

      BMC Infectious Diseases

      Volume: 15 Pages: 495-509

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] The role of temperature in reported chickenpox cases from 2000 to 2011 in Japan2015

    • Author(s)
      Harigane K, Sumi A, Mise K, Kobayashi N
    • Journal Title

      Epidemiology and Infection

      Volume: 143 Pages: 2666-2678

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] The role of temperature in reported chickenpox cases from 2000 to 2011 in Japan2015

    • Author(s)
      針金佳代子、鷲見紋子、小林宣道、三瀬敬治
    • Journal Title

      Epdemiology and Infection ., . © Cambridge University Press

      Volume: 143 Issue: 12 Pages: 1-13

    • DOI

      10.1017/s095026881400363x

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Seasonality of reported tuberculosis cases from 2006 to 2010 in Wuhan, China2014

    • Author(s)
      T.Luo, A.Sumi, D.Zhou, N.Kobayashi, K.Mise, B.Yu, D.Kong, J.Wang and Q.Duan
    • Journal Title

      Epidemiology and Infection

      Volume: in press Issue: 10 Pages: 1-13

    • DOI

      10.1017/s0950268813003142

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Effect of temperature, relative humidity and rainfall on dengue fever and leptospirosis infections in Manila, the Philippines2016

    • Author(s)
      Sumi A, Telan EFO, Chagan-Yasutan H, Piolo MB, Hattori T, Kobayashi N
    • Organizer
      Conference of international society for environmental epidemiology and international society of exposure science -Asia Chapter 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道大学学術交流会館(札幌市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-26
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 日本における新登録結核患者総数時系列データへの時系列解析の適用:年齢階層別2016

    • Author(s)
      鷲見紋子、小塀ゆかり、小林宣道
    • Organizer
      第86回日本衛生学会
    • Place of Presentation
      旭川市民文化会館(旭川市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-12
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 中国における結核等の感染症発生動向に関する共同研究2016

    • Author(s)
      鷲見紋子
    • Organizer
      第86回日本衛生学会
    • Place of Presentation
      旭川市民文化会館(旭川市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-11
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 日本における結核の流行変動に関する研究:年齢階層別2016

    • Author(s)
      鷲見紋子、小塀ゆかり、小林宣道
    • Organizer
      第26回日本疫学会
    • Place of Presentation
      米子コンベンションセンター(米子市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-01-22
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Seasonality of tuberculosis epidemics -An application of time series analysis to the surveillance data-2015

    • Author(s)
      Ayako SUMI
    • Organizer
      第3回国連世界防災会議パブリック・フォーラム“Medical and public health preparedness for large scale disaster(巨大災害に対する保健医療の備え)”
    • Place of Presentation
      東北大学川内北キャンパス(宮城県、仙台市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-14 – 2015-03-18
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Effect of meteorological conditions on incidences infectious diseases in Japan: Chickenpox2015

    • Author(s)
      鷲見紋子、針金佳代子、小林宣道
    • Organizer
      第25回日本疫学会
    • Place of Presentation
      ウインクあいち(愛知県、名古屋市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-01-21 – 2015-01-23
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 中国における結核流行変動の時間的変動構造2014

    • Author(s)
      鷲見紋子
    • Organizer
      平成26年度厚生労働科学研究委託費[多剤耐性結核の分子疫学的解析、診断・治療法の開発に関する研究]第二回班会議
    • Place of Presentation
      東北大学医学部メガバンク棟(宮城県、仙台市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-12-20
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Time Series Analysis for Surveillance Data of Tuberculosis in Hubei, China2014

    • Author(s)
      Ayako SUMI
    • Organizer
      Biostatistics Seminar Series -Infectious Diseases Modeling-
    • Place of Presentation
      香港
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-15
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Time Series Analysis for Incidence Data of Viral Infectious Diseases in Wuhan, China: Measles and Hand-Foot-Mouth Disease2014

    • Author(s)
      Ayako SUMI, Banghua CHEN, Dunjin ZHOU, Tongyong LUO, and Nobumichi KOBAYASHI
    • Organizer
      第10回日中ウイルス学会
    • Place of Presentation
      中国・長春
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-25 – 2014-08-27
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 中国・武漢市における結核の時間的な流行動態に関する研究2014

    • Author(s)
      鷲見紋子、ルオ・トンヤン、小林宣道
    • Organizer
      第24回日本疫学会
    • Place of Presentation
      仙台市青年文化センター
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 中国・武漢市における結核の時間的な流行動態に関する研究2013

    • Author(s)
      鷲見紋子、ルオ・トンヤン、小林宣道
    • Organizer
      第65回北海道公衆衛生学会
    • Place of Presentation
      札幌市生涯学習センター ちえりあ
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-07-25   Modified: 2022-02-16  

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