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The Development of Demand Forecasting Models and Applications of Risk and Crisis Management in the Tourism Industry

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25501005
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Tourism Studies
Research InstitutionWakayama University

Principal Investigator

OI Tatsuo  和歌山大学, 観光学部, 准教授 (10367881)

Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,250,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥750,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Keywords観光学 / 需要予測 / リスクマネジメント
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The aim of this research is to contribute an understanding of risk and crisis management focusing on the fast-growing tourism sector and make policy recommendations through many empirical studies. Specifically, life cycle model proves to be valid for them. Risk and crisis management is not only about developing a plan and executing it, but also recognizing effective risk and crisis management as an ongoing process. As a result, it is hoped that the utilization of scientific risk and crisis management serves regional tourism promotion.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (20 results)

All 2016 2015 2014 Other

All Journal Article (8 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 4 results,  Open Access: 4 results) Presentation (12 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results)

  • [Journal Article] MoranのI統計量を使用した地域観光入込客の空間パターン分析2016

    • Author(s)
      大井達雄
    • Journal Title

      研究所報(法政大学日本統計研究所)

      Volume: No.47 Pages: 245-263

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 空間的自己相関を用いた地域観光クラスター分析―和歌山県と北海道による比較―2016

    • Author(s)
      大井達雄
    • Journal Title

      観光学(和歌山大学観光学会)

      Volume: 14号 Pages: 1-11

    • NAID

      120005819053

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 観光統計の現状と真実性からみた課題2015

    • Author(s)
      大井達雄
    • Journal Title

      観光学評論(観光学術学会)

      Volume: Vol.3 No.2 Pages: 87-100

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] ネット社会に求められる情報リテラシーの意義と実践2015

    • Author(s)
      大井達雄
    • Journal Title

      大阪作業療法ジャーナル

      Volume: Vol.28 No.2 Pages: 103-111

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 都市農村交流活動における経済効果の可視化に関する一考察2015

    • Author(s)
      藤田武弘,大井達雄
    • Journal Title

      観光学(和歌山大学観光学会)

      Volume: 12 Pages: 27-39

    • NAID

      120005610721

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 統計指標からみたハウジングアフォーダビリティの国際的動向2014

    • Author(s)
      大井達雄
    • Journal Title

      経済理論(和歌山大学経済学会)

      Volume: 376 Pages: 129-146

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 統計調査の仕組みと方法の問題を探る-観光入込客統計を例として-2014

    • Author(s)
      大井達雄
    • Journal Title

      統計(一般社団法人日本統計協会)

      Volume: 65巻12号 Pages: 32-37

    • NAID

      40020276421

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 統計分析から見た和歌山県の宿泊市場2014

    • Author(s)
      大井達雄
    • Journal Title

      観光学(和歌山大学観光学会)

      Volume: 10 Pages: 1-9

    • NAID

      110009794546

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] GISを用いた観光地分析の適用可能性について2015

    • Author(s)
      大井 達雄
    • Organizer
      経済統計学会第59回全国研究大会
    • Place of Presentation
      北海学園大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-12
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] GISを用いた観光地分析の適用可能性について2015

    • Author(s)
      大井 達雄
    • Organizer
      経済統計学会関西支部例会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪経済大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-07-18
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The Economic Impact of an Art Festival in Japan2015

    • Author(s)
      Tatsuo Oi
    • Organizer
      The 5th Conference of the International Association for Tourism Economics
    • Place of Presentation
      香港理工大学(香港)
    • Year and Date
      2015-07-02
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The Economic Impact of an Art Festival in Japan2015

    • Author(s)
      Tatsuo Oi
    • Organizer
      VI International Congress:Tourism, Economy & Environment
    • Place of Presentation
      マラガ大学(スペイン・マラガ)
    • Year and Date
      2015-04-24
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The Economic Impact of an Art Festival in Japan: A Case Study of Roppongi Art Night2015

    • Author(s)
      Tatsuo Oi
    • Organizer
      VI International Congress: Tourism, Economy,and Environment
    • Place of Presentation
      マラガ大学観光学部(スペイン・マラガ)
    • Year and Date
      2015-04-24
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 観光統計の現状と課題2015

    • Author(s)
      大井達雄
    • Organizer
      観光学術学会第2回研究集会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪府立大学I-siteなんば(大阪府大阪市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-02-21
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] The Characteristics of Japanese Lodging Industry:Microdata Analysis from Accommodation Survey2014

    • Author(s)
      Tatsuo Oi
    • Organizer
      13th Global Forum on Tourism Statistics
    • Place of Presentation
      奈良県新公会堂(奈良県奈良市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-17 – 2014-11-18
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 宿泊旅行統計調査を利用した位置情報分析2014

    • Author(s)
      大井達雄
    • Organizer
      経済統計学会第58回全国研究大会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学(京都府京都市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-12
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Seasonality of Tourism in Japan: Measurement and Decomposition Analysis of the Gini Coefficient

    • Author(s)
      Tatsuo Oi
    • Organizer
      V International Congress: Sustainable Tourism Development and Environment: Innovation, Competitiveness and International Cooperation
    • Place of Presentation
      中国人民大学蘇州校区
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ジニ係数による観光需要の季節変動の測定―Lerman and Yitzhakiの要因分解手法を用いて―

    • Author(s)
      大井達雄
    • Organizer
      経済統計学会関西支部例会
    • Place of Presentation
      キャンパスプラザ京都
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ジニ係数による観光需要の季節変動の測定―Lerman and Yitzhakiの要因分解手法を用いて―

    • Author(s)
      大井達雄
    • Organizer
      観光学術学会第2回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      奈良県立大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ジニ係数による観光需要の季節変動の測定―Lerman and Yitzhakiの要因分解手法を用いて―

    • Author(s)
      大井達雄
    • Organizer
      第57回経済統計学会全国研究大会
    • Place of Presentation
      静岡市産学交流センター
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-07-25   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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