Modeling for emerging process of social cooperative behavior to prevent pandemic of influenza and its analysis
Project/Area Number |
25560165
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Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Exploratory Research
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Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
Research Field |
Social systems engineering/Safety system
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Research Institution | Kyushu University |
Principal Investigator |
TANIMOTO Jun 九州大学, 総合理工学研究科(研究院), 教授 (60227238)
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Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) |
HAGISHIMA Aya 九州大学, 大学院総合理工学研究院, 准教授 (60294980)
IKEGAYA Naoki 九州大学, 大学院総合理工学研究院, 助教 (70628213)
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Project Period (FY) |
2013-04-01 – 2015-03-31
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Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 2014)
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Budget Amount *help |
¥3,640,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥840,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥2,210,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥510,000)
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Keywords | パンデミック / 進化ゲーム / 感染ダイナミクス / 複雑ネットワーク / インフルエンザ / 疫学 / マルチエージェントシミュレーション |
Outline of Final Research Achievements |
This study has successfully explored how people’s decision-making process with social dilemma of individual vaccination, namely whether or not to be vaccinated is influenced in a complex realistic social system, by means of the model of dynamics for epidemic spreading on a social network applied to evolutionary game theory. On underlying networks, both epidemic and information of agent’s strategy are transferred, where the former is modeled by SIR and the latter is emulated as a spatial evolutionary game. Simulation results imply that both the vaccination acceptance fraction and final epidemic size are significantly affected by how strategy updating happens; namely whether he/ she copying from a neighbor or imitating a social trend, and underlying network topologies. The study poses one example of how the social physics helps to understand complex phenomenon taking place in a real world.
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Report
(3 results)
Research Products
(19 results)
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[Journal Article] Risk assessment for infectious disease and its impact on voluntary vaccination behavior in social networks2014
Author(s)
Fukuda,E., Kokubo,S., Tanimoto,J., Wang,Z., Hagishima,A., Ikegaya,N.
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Journal Title
Chaos, Solitons & Fractals
Volume: 68
Pages: 1-9
DOI
Related Report
Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
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[Journal Article] The evolution of fairness in the coevolutionary ultimatum games2013
Author(s)
Miyaji,K., Wang,Z., Tanimoto,J., Hagishima,A., Kokubo,S
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Journal Title
Chaos, Solitons & Fractals
Volume: 56
Pages: 13-18
DOI
Related Report
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[Journal Article] Direct reciprocity in spatial populations enhances R-reciprocity as well as ST-Reciprocity,2013
Author(s)
Miyaji,K., Wang,Z., Tanimoto,J., Hagishima,A., Ikegaya,N.
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Journal Title
PLOS One
Volume: 8 (8)
Issue: 8
Pages: e71961-e71961
DOI
Related Report
Peer Reviewed
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