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Impacts of transboundary power trade on domestic and regional security and possible measures to mitigate impacts

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25570003
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Exploratory Research

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Area studies
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

Nakayama Mikiyasu  東京大学, 新領域創成科学研究科, 教授 (10217945)

Research Collaborator SASAKI Daisuke  
Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,640,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥840,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Keywords国際研究者交流 / アラブ首長国連邦 / アイスランド / エネルギー / 安全保障 / 電力 / 貿易 / 資源の呪い
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study was conducted to characterize domestic and diplomatic difficulties of countries planning to commence trading of electricity. Iceland and Tajikistan are examined to highlight particular difficulties. Findings from this study suggest that governments should (a) clarify to the public what benefits might be secured by electricity trade, (b) not politicize electricity trade with foreign countries, and (c) not victimize any country in the region.
Real options were introduced in the form of risk hedges, and we attempted to estimate the hedge cost. Through qualitative analysis we also identified the presence of geopolitical risks. We also found a certain degree of demand risk exists. Therefore, when evaluating project feasibility, the hedge cost of these risks should be considered.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (28 results)

All 2016 2015 2014 2013 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (3 results) Journal Article (8 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 8 results,  Open Access: 4 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 6 results) Presentation (16 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] Masdar Institute(アラブ首長国連邦)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Iceland National University/Landsvirkjun(Iceland)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research]

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Effectiveness of Public Financial Support in an Electricity Transmission Project between Iceland and the UK2016

    • Author(s)
      Sasaki, D., & Nakayama, M.
    • Journal Title

      Business and Management Studies

      Volume: 2 Issue: 2 Pages: 14-20

    • DOI

      10.11114/bms.v2i2.1518

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Conflict over a hydropower plant project between Tajikistan and Uzbekistan2016

    • Author(s)
      Sonoko Ito, Sameh El Khatib & Mikiyasu Nakayama
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Water Resources Development

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 5 Pages: 692-707

    • DOI

      10.1080/07900627.2015.1076381

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] A study on the risk management of the CASA-1000 project2015

    • Author(s)
      Daisuke Sasaki and Mikiyasu Nakayama
    • Journal Title

      Hydrological Research Letters

      Volume: 9 Issue: 4 Pages: 90-96

    • DOI

      10.3178/hrl.9.90

    • NAID

      130005111156

    • ISSN
      1882-3416
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Risk Management in an Electricity Transmission Project between Iceland and the UK2015

    • Author(s)
      Sasaki, D., & Nakayama, M.
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Social Science Studies

      Volume: 4 Issue: 2 Pages: 17-23

    • DOI

      10.11114/ijsss.v4i2.1209

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Domestic and Diplomatic Difficulties in Planning for Transboundary Trading of Electricity2015

    • Author(s)
      中山幹康,佐々木大輔,伊藤園子
    • Journal Title

      JOURNAL OF JAPAN SOCIETY OF HYDROLOGY AND WATER RESOURCES

      Volume: 28 Issue: 2 Pages: 72-83

    • DOI

      10.3178/jjshwr.28.72

    • NAID

      130005092236

    • ISSN
      0915-1389, 1349-2853
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 水力発電による他国への新規売電を阻む内政および外政上の困難に関する考察2015

    • Author(s)
      中山幹康,佐々木大輔,伊藤園子
    • Journal Title

      水文・水資源学会誌

      Volume: 28 Pages: 72-83

    • NAID

      130005092236

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Governance in Timor-Leste: Towards Improvement in Disaster and Environment Management2013

    • Author(s)
      Mikiyasu Nakayama and Yosuke Yamashiki
    • Journal Title

      Asian Journal of Environment and Disaster Management

      Volume: 5 Pages: 299-306

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Can Timor-Leste Escape the Resource Curse?2013

    • Author(s)
      Miko Maekawa and Atsuko Kamioka
    • Journal Title

      Asian Journal of Environment and Disaster Management

      Volume: 5 Pages: 387-396

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Lessons Learned from Regional Electricity Trading and Feed-in-Tariff System in Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      Daisuke Sasaki & Gun Matsuo
    • Organizer
      Masdar Institute of Science and Technology and the University of Tokyo Joint Seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Masdar Instutute, Abu Dhabi, UAE
    • Year and Date
      2016-02-21
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Overview of Systems & Policy Research at University of Tokyo in the Context of Energy and Water Security,2016

    • Author(s)
      Mikiyasu Nakayama
    • Organizer
      Masdar Institute of Science and Technology and the University of Tokyo Joint Seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Masdar Instutute, Abu Dhabi, UAE
    • Year and Date
      2016-02-21
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Decision Support System for Informational Transparency and Normative Symmetry2016

    • Author(s)
      Mikiyasu Nakayama
    • Organizer
      Masdar Institute of Science and Technology and the University of Tokyo Joint Seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Masdar Instutute, Abu Dhabi, UAE
    • Year and Date
      2016-02-21
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Water-Energy-Food Nexus Studies as a Fusion of Politics and Engineering2015

    • Author(s)
      Mikiyasu Nakayama
    • Organizer
      University of Tokyo and Masdar Institute Joint Symposium
    • Place of Presentation
      Masdar Instutute, Abu Dhabi, UAE
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-11
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Water-Energy-Agriculture Nexus in Vakhsh River Basin of Tajikistan2015

    • Author(s)
      Mikiyasu Nakayama, Kazimierz A. Salewicz, Sameh T. El Khatib, Risa Kikuchi, Maiko Sakamoto
    • Organizer
      XVth World Water Congress
    • Place of Presentation
      Edinburgh International Conference Centre, Scotland
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-25
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The Effect of Electricity Trade on Regional Cooperation: The Analysis of SAARC using Game Theory2015

    • Author(s)
      Aoi Minamisaka
    • Organizer
      Joint Seminar: Tackling Regional Security With Better Water-Energy-Food Management
    • Place of Presentation
      Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-03
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Security Implications of Planned Electricity Trade in Middle East2015

    • Author(s)
      Ryota Doi, Gun Matsuo
    • Organizer
      Joint Seminar: Tackling Regional Security With Better Water-Energy-Food Management
    • Place of Presentation
      Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-03
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Water-Energy-Food Nexus in Central Asia2015

    • Author(s)
      Mikiyasu Nakayama
    • Organizer
      Joint Seminar: Tackling Regional Security With Better Water-Energy-Food Management
    • Place of Presentation
      Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-03
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Security Implications of Anticipated Electricity Trade Expansion in South Asia2014

    • Author(s)
      Aoi Minamisaka, Mikiyasu Nakayama
    • Organizer
      Seminar: Impact of Planned New Funding Scheme for Hydropower Development and Electricity Trade
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-17
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Security Implications of Transboundary Power Trade2013

    • Author(s)
      Mikiyasu Nakayama
    • Organizer
      Masdar Institute and The University of Tokyo Joint Open Seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Masdar Institute, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Analyzing International Electricity Trade from the Viewpoint of Security2013

    • Author(s)
      Momoko Nakamura
    • Organizer
      Masdar Institute and The University of Tokyo Joint Open Seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Masdar Institute, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] The issues related to cross border electricity trade for Central Asia and South Asia: Analysis of a conflict between Tajikistan and Uzbekistan2013

    • Author(s)
      Sonoko Ito
    • Organizer
      Masdar Institute and The University of Tokyo Joint Open Seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Masdar Institute, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Concerns over Emergence of Resource Curse in East Timor: Implications of Revenue by Gas and Oil Export2013

    • Author(s)
      Atsuko Kamioka
    • Organizer
      Masdar Institute and The University of Tokyo Joint Open Seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Masdar Institute, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Network Game Approach on Negotiation Process For the Case of the Caspian Oil Allocation2013

    • Author(s)
      Maiko Sakamoto
    • Organizer
      Masdar Institute and The University of Tokyo Joint Open Seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Masdar Institute, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Network Effect of Energy Trade in South Asia2013

    • Author(s)
      Aoi Minamisaka
    • Organizer
      Masdar Institute and The University of Tokyo Joint Open Seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Masdar Institute, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Application of Real Options Approach for Electricity Trade2013

    • Author(s)
      Daisuke Sasaki
    • Organizer
      Masdar Institute and The University of Tokyo Joint Open Seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Masdar Institute, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 中山幹康研究室

    • URL

      http://park.itc.u-tokyo.ac.jp/nakayama/

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2014-07-25   Modified: 2022-02-01  

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