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Experimental econophysics of social learning and collective intelligence

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25610109
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Exploratory Research

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Mathematical physics/Fundamental condensed matter physics
Research InstitutionKitasato University

Principal Investigator

Mori Shintaro  北里大学, 理学部, 講師 (70296424)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) TAKAHASHI TAIKI  北海道大学, 文学研究科, 准教授 (60374170)
Co-Investigator(Renkei-kenkyūsha) HISAKADO MASATO  金融庁, 検査局, 主任専門検査官 (60623923)
Research Collaborator HINO MASAFUMI  株式会社NEC
Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Keywords相転移 / 情報カスケード / 普遍クラス / 集団実験 / 集合知 / 多腕バンディット / 社会的学習 / ベイズ統計 / 普遍類 / 有限サイズスケーリング / バンディット問題 / 集合知効果 / ハード / 確率モデル
Outline of Final Research Achievements

It has been considered that the social learning where agents get information from the behaviors and choices of other agents is the most important factor in the description and the understanding of social and economical phenomena. We have controlled the uncertainty of the information of human collectives in an information cascade experiment and showed that there occurs a phase transition of
non-linear Polya urn. Theoretically, we clarify when the phase transition becomes continuous or discontinuous and the universality class of the former continuous one. Furthermore, we study several ideas how to increase the accuracy of collective intelligence in information cascade.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (34 results)

All 2016 2015 2014 2013 Other

All Journal Article (10 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 10 results,  Open Access: 5 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 8 results) Presentation (16 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results) Book (2 results) Remarks (6 results)

  • [Journal Article] Information cascade on networks2016

    • Author(s)
      M.Hisakado and S.Mori
    • Journal Title

      Physica A

      Volume: 450 Pages: 570-584

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.physa.2015.12.090

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Detection of phase transition in generalized Polya urn in Information cascade experiment2016

    • Author(s)
      M. Hino, Y. Irie, M. Hisakado, T. Takahasi and S.Mori
    • Journal Title

      J.Phys.Soc.Jpn.

      Volume: 85 Issue: 3 Pages: 034002-034013

    • DOI

      10.7566/jpsj.85.034002

    • NAID

      40020761354

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Detection of non-self-correcting nature in information cascade2016

    • Author(s)
      S.Mori, M. Hino, M. Hisakado and T. Takahashi
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of ECCS2014(Springer Proceedings in Complexity)

      Volume: 1 Pages: 1-10

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-3-319-29228-1_1

    • ISBN
      9783319292267, 9783319292281
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Correlation function for generalized Polya urns: Finite-size scaling analysis2015

    • Author(s)
      S.Mori and M.HIsakado
    • Journal Title

      Phys.Rev.E

      Volume: 92 Issue: 5 Pages: 052112-052121

    • DOI

      10.1103/physreve.92.052112

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Information cascade, Kirman's ant colony model, and kinetic Ising model2015

    • Author(s)
      M.Hisakado and S.Mori
    • Journal Title

      Physica A

      Volume: 417 Pages: 63-75

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.physa.2014.09.008

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Finite-Size Scaling Analysis of Binary Stochastic Processes and Universality Classes of Information Cascade Phase Transition2015

    • Author(s)
      S.Mori and M.Hisakado
    • Journal Title

      J.Phys.Soc.Jpn.

      Volume: 84 Issue: 5 Pages: 054001-054013

    • DOI

      10.7566/jpsj.84.054001

    • NAID

      40020461445

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 非定常多腕バンディットゲームと集合知効果2015

    • Author(s)
      吉田俊介、久門正人、守真太郎
    • Journal Title

      人工知能学会誌「ネットワークが創発する知能論文特集

      Volume: 30

    • NAID

      130005122681

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] New Developments in Neuroeconomics:2014

    • Author(s)
      高橋泰城
    • Journal Title

      Organizational Science

      Volume: 47 Issue: 4 Pages: 23-34

    • DOI

      10.11207/soshikikagaku.47.4_23

    • NAID

      130004699054

    • ISSN
      0286-9713, 2187-932X
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-20
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Collective adoption of Max-Min strategy in an information cascade voting experiment2013

    • Author(s)
      Shintaro Mori, Masato Hisakado, Taiki Takahashi
    • Journal Title

      J.Phys.Soc.Jpn.

      Volume: 82 Issue: 8 Pages: 84004-84013

    • DOI

      10.7566/jpsj.82.084004

    • NAID

      40019745173

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The q-Exponential Probability Discounting of Gain and Loss.2013

    • Author(s)
      Taiki Takahashi; Ruokang Han; Hiroshi Nishinaka; Takaki Makino; Hiroki Fukui
    • Journal Title

      Applied Mathematics

      Volume: 4(6) Issue: 06 Pages: 876-881

    • DOI

      10.4236/am.2013.46120

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] Slow and rapid recruitment and oscillation period in information cascade experiment2016

    • Author(s)
      守真太郎、久門正人
    • Organizer
      進化経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学(東京都・文京区)
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-27
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 情報カスケード実験におけるドミノ効果の測定2016

    • Author(s)
      守真太郎、日野雅文、久門正人、高橋泰城
    • Organizer
      日本物理学会
    • Place of Presentation
      東北学院大学(宮城県・仙台市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-20
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Non-linear Polya urn and Information Cascade2015

    • Author(s)
      守真太郎、日野雅文、久門正人、高橋泰城
    • Organizer
      Econophysics Colloquium 2015
    • Place of Presentation
      Institute of Economic Studies, Prague
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-15
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 非線形ポリア過程と不連続転移2015

    • Author(s)
      守真太郎
    • Organizer
      物理学会
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学(東京都新宿区)
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-23
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Scaling Analysis of Information Cascade Experimental Data2015

    • Author(s)
      守真太郎
    • Organizer
      ICMMA2014
    • Place of Presentation
      明治大学(東京都中野区)
    • Year and Date
      2015-01-11
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 情報カスケードにおけるドミノ効果のスケーリング理論2014

    • Author(s)
      守真太郎
    • Organizer
      第18回実験社会科学カンファレンス
    • Place of Presentation
      岐阜聖徳学園大学( 岐阜県岐阜市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-12-14
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 情報カスケードにおけるドミノ効果の計測2014

    • Author(s)
      守真太郎、日野雅文、久門正人、高橋泰城
    • Organizer
      計測自動制御学会
    • Place of Presentation
      岡山大学(岡山県岡山市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-23
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 非定常多腕バンディットゲームと集合知効果2014

    • Author(s)
      吉田俊介、守真太郎
    • Organizer
      計測自動制御学会
    • Place of Presentation
      岡山大学(岡山県岡山市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-23
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Detection of non self-correcting nature in information cascade experiments2014

    • Author(s)
      守真太郎、日野雅文、久門正人、高橋泰城
    • Organizer
      ECCS’14
    • Place of Presentation
      Lucca (Italy)
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-24
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] How others' choices affect one's choice in information cascade experiments2014

    • Author(s)
      守真太郎
    • Organizer
      TDC in ECCS'14
    • Place of Presentation
      Lucca (Italy)
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-24
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 情報カスケード実験における非自己修正性の検証2014

    • Author(s)
      守真太郎、日野雅文、久門正人、高橋泰城
    • Organizer
      物理学会
    • Place of Presentation
      中部大学( 愛知県春日井市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-08
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 二値確率過程のスケーリング解析と情報カスケード相転移の普遍類2014

    • Author(s)
      守真太郎、久門正人
    • Organizer
      物理学会
    • Place of Presentation
      中部大学(愛知県春日井市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-07
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] インタラクティブ多腕バンディットゲーム2014

    • Author(s)
      吉田俊介、守真太郎
    • Organizer
      ネットワークが創発する知能研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      電通大(東京都調布市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-23
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ネットワーク上の情報カスケード2014

    • Author(s)
      久門正人、守真太郎
    • Organizer
      ネットワークが創発する知能研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      電通大(東京都調布市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-21
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 競馬単勝オッズの時系列データ解析とハードの法則2013

    • Author(s)
      守 真太郎
    • Organizer
      日本物理学会
    • Place of Presentation
      徳島大学常三島キャンパス(徳島市)
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Risk of Herd and Phase Transition in a Sequential Voting Experiment2013

    • Author(s)
      S.Mori
    • Organizer
      FNET2013
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学100周年時計台記念館(京都府)
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 経済物理とその周辺(12)「壺の二択クイズの情報カスケード実験 実験の手順とデータアーカイブについて」p.87-92.2016

    • Author(s)
      守真太郎、久門正人、高橋泰城
    • Total Pages
      6
    • Publisher
      統計数理研究所(東京都・立川市)
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 2択のクイズを用いた情報カスケード実験: 実験の手順とデータアーカイブについて2013

    • Author(s)
      守真太郎、入江洋介、久門正人、高橋泰城
    • Total Pages
      12
    • Publisher
      統計数里研究所
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 実験経済物理学

    • URL

      https://sites.google.com/site/expeconophysics/

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 集団知の創発メカニズムの物理

    • URL

      https://sites.google.com/site/expeconophysics/

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 非線形ポリア壺の相関関数

    • URL

      http://arxiv.org/abs/1501.00764

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 非定常多腕バンディットと集合知効果(英語版)

    • URL

      http://arxiv.org/abs/1503.03964

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] ネットワーク上の情報カスケード

    • URL

      http://arxiv.org/abs/1504.00458

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 実験経済物理学

    • URL

      https://sites.google.com/site/expeconophysics/

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-07-25   Modified: 2023-03-16  

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