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Spatiotemporal quantification of agroclimate potential with global warming in rice yield in Hokkaido

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25750119
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Geography
Research InstitutionNational Agriculture and Food Research Organization

Principal Investigator

NEMOTO Manabu  国立研究開発法人農業・食品産業技術総合研究機構, 北海道農業研究センター・生産環境研究領域, 主任研究員 (10469843)

Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Keywords温暖化影響評価 / 水稲収量予測 / 水稲発育モデル
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Growth and yield characteristics of rice varieties for Hokkaido region under the hotter air temperature than at present were clarified, and we investigated the yield estimation in future based on the rice varietal characteristics. Field experiment to analyze the rice characteristics under the hot condition was conducted at Ishigaki island in Okinawa prefecture located in the southernmost region in Japan. Rice developmental rate (DVR) model including not only air temperature but also solar radiation as meteorological variables we revised in this study increased its estimate accuracy relatively to traditional DVR model. Moreover, we developed the estimation methods for rice yield components with meteorological elements divided according to rice developmental stages. In future projection at 2.5℃ higher than at present, rice yield in a number of areas in Hokkaido sustains or decrease in comparison to the present, and the yield decreases especially in rice variety of panicle weight type.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (8 results)

All 2016 2015 2014 2013

All Journal Article (4 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 2 results,  Open Access: 1 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results) Presentation (4 results)

  • [Journal Article] Estimation of Rice Yield Components with Meteorological Elements Divided According to Developmental Stages2016

    • Author(s)
      Nemoto, M. Hamasaki, T., Matsuba, S., Hayashi, S., and Yanagihara, S.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Agricultural Meteorology

      Volume: --

    • NAID

      130006847556

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] メッシュ農業気象データに基づく栽培支援情報の提供2015

    • Author(s)
      根本学
    • Journal Title

      JATAFFジャーナル

      Volume: 3 Pages: 17-21

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Sensitivity of cool summer-induced sterility of rice to increased growing-season temperatures: A case study in Hokkaido, Japan2014

    • Author(s)
      Akemi TANAKA, Tomonori SATO, Manabu NEMOTO, Yasuhiro YAMANAKA
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Agricultural Meteorology

      Volume: 70 Issue: 1 Pages: 25-40

    • DOI

      10.2480/agrmet.D-13-00016

    • NAID

      130004878310

    • ISSN
      0021-8588, 1881-0136
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 温暖化後の北海道で,コシヒカリは栽培できるか?2013

    • Author(s)
      濱嵜孝弘、鮫島良次、根本 学、熊谷悦史、大野宏之、脇山恭行、丸山篤志、小沢 聖、後藤慎吉
    • Journal Title

      農業と園芸

      Volume: 88 Pages: 1013-1018

    • NAID

      40019814756

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 早晩性の異なる北海道水稲品種の日射量も考慮した発育予測モデルについて、2016

    • Author(s)
      濱嵜孝弘、根本学、三浦周、藤倉潤治、廣田知良、
    • Organizer
      日本農業気象学会2016年全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      岡山県岡山市
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-14
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 北海道および沖縄県で栽培された北海道向けイネ品種の種子休眠性2015

    • Author(s)
      林怜史・牛木純・松葉修一・岡崎圭毅・根本学
    • Organizer
      日本作物学会
    • Place of Presentation
      神奈川県藤沢市(日本大学)
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-27 – 2015-03-28
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 日射量を考慮した水稲発育モデル構築の試み2015

    • Author(s)
      根本学・濱嵜孝弘
    • Organizer
      日本農業気象学会
    • Place of Presentation
      茨城県つくば市(文部科学省研究交流センター)
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-19
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 温暖化に対応した北海道水稲の収量・生育予測モデルの構築2014

    • Author(s)
      根本学、濱嵜孝弘、廣田知良
    • Organizer
      日本農業気象学会2014年全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道札幌市(北海道大学)
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-07-25   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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