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Optimal maintenance policy for non-stationary deteriorating systems subject to varying factors

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25750121
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Social systems engineering/Safety system
Research InstitutionThe University of Electro-Communications

Principal Investigator

JIN LU  電気通信大学, 大学院情報理工学研究科, 准教授 (00436734)

Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,250,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥750,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Keywords信頼性 / 保全性 / 安全性 / 最適方策 / 状態監視保全 / 最適保全方策 / 動的な保全計画 / 非定常マルコフ過程 / 非定常マルコフ決定過程 / Control limit policy / Aging system / Control Limit Policy
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This project investigates the optimal maintenance decision-making problem for deteriorating systems operating in a variable environment with selectable operations. Since there are strong dynamic interactions among a deteriorating system, its surrounding environment, and the operation being executed, this project formulates the optimal decision-making problem for this system as a non-stationary Markov decision process. The structural properties of the resulting optimal expected cost function are examined, and the optimal maintenance policy is found to be given by a control limit policy under certain conditions. Based on the obtained control limit structure, an algorithm is provided for searching the optimal maintenance policy for a deterioration system under a varying environment. Such maintenance policy enhances the dynamic decision-making process for deteriorating systems operating in a variable environment, and supports the implementation of a system-specific maintenance plan.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (34 results)

All 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013

All Journal Article (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 7 results,  Open Access: 1 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results) Presentation (23 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 7 results,  Invited: 9 results) Book (4 results)

  • [Journal Article] Optimal Control Limit Policy for Age-dependent Deteriorating Systems Under Incomplete Observations2016

    • Author(s)
      Lu Jin, U. Bayarsaikhan and Kazuyuki Suzuki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Risk and Reliability

      Volume: 230 Issue: 1 Pages: 34-43

    • DOI

      10.1177/1748006x15589208

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report 2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Optimal Decision Procedure for an Operation-dependent Deteriorating System2015

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L.
    • Journal Title

      Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry

      Volume: 31 Pages: 394-404

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Optimal Decision Policy for Deteriorating Systems with On-line Monitoring in a Variable Environment with Selectable Operations2015

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L.
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Systems Science: Operations & Logistics

      Volume: xx Issue: 4 Pages: 189-199

    • DOI

      10.1080/23302674.2015.1074760

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Optimal Maintenance Policy for Aging Systems Under Non-stationary Markov Deterioration2015

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese Society for Quality Control

      Volume: 45 Pages: 65-73

    • NAID

      110010010769

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Optimal Decision Procedure for an Operation-dependent Deteriorating2015

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L.
    • Journal Title

      Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry

      Volume: xx Issue: 3 Pages: 394-404

    • DOI

      10.1002/asmb.2077

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Optimal Control Limit Policy for Age-Dependent Deteriorating Systems Optimal Control Limit Policy for Age-Dependent Deteriorating Systems2015

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L., Bayarsaikhan, U. and Suzuki, K.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Risk and Reliability

      Volume: XX

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Optimal Maintenance Policy for Partially Observable Markovian Deteriorating System Subject to A Restorable Varying Environment2013

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L., Miyawaki, K. and Suzuki, K.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Reliability Engineering Association of Japan

      Volume: 35 Pages: 177-187

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] マルコフ決定過程に基づくマルチユニットシステムの最適保全方策2017

    • Author(s)
      金路
    • Organizer
      待ち行列シンポジウム、日本オペレーションズリサーチ学会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京理科大学 森戸記念館(東京)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Age Replacement Policy under Weibull Regression Model with Measurement Errors2016

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L., Yukimoto, Y. and Suzuki, K.
    • Organizer
      the 14th Asian Network for Quality Congress (ANQ 2016)
    • Place of Presentation
      Vladivostok, Russia
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Maintenance Policies for Multiple-Component Systems under Dependent Markovian Deterioration2016

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L., Uwano, T. and Suzuki, K
    • Organizer
      The 7th Asia-Pacific International Symposium on Advanced Reliability and Maintenance Modeling (APARM 2016)
    • Place of Presentation
      Seoul, Korea
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Adaptive Age Replacement Using On-line Monitoring2016

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L. and Yamamoto, W.
    • Organizer
      2016 Global Congress on Manufacturing and Management (GCMM 2016)
    • Place of Presentation
      Zhengzhou, China
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Adaptive Maintenance Strategy for Deterioration System with Scheduled Maintenance2016

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L.
    • Organizer
      Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences
    • Place of Presentation
      Beijing, China
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] オンライン状態監視を用いた最適保全方策の理論2016

    • Author(s)
      金 路, 鈴木 和幸
    • Organizer
      第46回信頼性・保全性シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      日本教育会館 (東京)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] オン・コンディション保全の不確実性を考慮した最適点検計画2016

    • Author(s)
      越智優一、金 路, 鈴木 和幸
    • Organizer
      日本品質管理学会第110回研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      日本科学技術連盟・東高円寺ビル(東京)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 完全点検と不完全点検を併用した複合的な保全計画に関する研究2016

    • Author(s)
      小山 尚晃,金路
    • Organizer
      日本品質管理学会第46回研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋工業大学(名古屋)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Optimal Inspection Policy for Scheduled Maintenance of Aging Systems2015

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L.
    • Organizer
      The 2nd East Asia Workshop on Industrial Engineering (EAWIE2015)
    • Place of Presentation
      Seoul, Korea
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-06
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Flexible Maintenance Strategy for Markov Deterioration System with Scheduled Maintenance2015

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L.
    • Organizer
      Seminar of Ewha Womans University
    • Place of Presentation
      Seoul, Korea
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-06
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Weakly Monotone Policies for Deteriorating Systems with Multiple Dependent Units2015

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L., Uwano, F. and Suzuki, K.
    • Organizer
      the 13th Asian Network for Quality Congress (ANQ 2015)
    • Place of Presentation
      Taipei, Taiwan
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-22
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Optimal Decision Making Problem for Systems Under Multiple Deteriorating Mechanisms2015

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L. and Kashiwai, K.
    • Organizer
      the 16th Conference of the Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis International Society (ASMDA 2015)
    • Place of Presentation
      Piraeus, Greece
    • Year and Date
      2015-07-01
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Optimal Maintenance Policy for Deteriorating System with On-line Monitoring in Environments and Operating Condition2015

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L.
    • Organizer
      the 8th International Conference on Mathematical Methods in Reliability: Theory, Methods and Applications (MMR 2015)
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-01
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Optimal Decision Policy for Non-Stationary Deteriorating Systems2014

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L. and Bayarsaikhan, U.
    • Organizer
      the International Conference on Quality 2014
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-19 – 2014-10-22
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] On Uncertainty Evaluation Of S-N Curve Estimation2014

    • Author(s)
      Yamamoto, W and Jin, L.
    • Organizer
      the International Conference on Quality 2014
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-19 – 2014-10-22
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Regression Analysis of Survival Data with a Latent Variable2014

    • Author(s)
      Yamamoto, W and Jin, L
    • Organizer
      the 6th Asia-Pacific International Symposium on Advanced Reliability and Maintenance Modeling (APARM 2014)
    • Place of Presentation
      Sapporo, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-21 – 2014-08-23
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Optimal Maintenance Policy for Age-dependent Markov Deteriorating Systems under Partially Observation2014

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L. and Bayarsaikhan, U.
    • Organizer
      the 6th Asia-Pacific International Symposium on Advanced Reliability and Maintenance Modeling (APARM)
    • Place of Presentation
      Sapporo, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-21 – 2014-08-23
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] A Structured Inspection and Replacement Policy For Aging Systems Over An Infinite Horizon2014

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L. and R. P. D. J. Rajapaksha
    • Organizer
      the International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability and Safety (ICRMS)
    • Place of Presentation
      Guangzhou, China
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-07 – 2014-08-08
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Control Limit Policy for Aging Systems Using Markov Decision Process2014

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L. and Bayarsaikhan, U.
    • Organizer
      the 8th IMA International Conference on Modelling in Industrial Maintenance and Reliability (MIMAR)
    • Place of Presentation
      Oxford, UK
    • Year and Date
      2014-07-10 – 2014-07-12
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Condition Monitoring Maintenance for Non-stationary Deteriorating Systems2014

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L.
    • Organizer
      Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences
    • Place of Presentation
      Beijing, China
    • Year and Date
      2014-05-30
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Control Limit Policy for Non-stationary Deteriorating Systems2014

    • Author(s)
      Bayarsaikhan, U. and Jin, L.
    • Organizer
      情報システム学研究科シンポジウム 第18回「信頼性とシステム安全学」
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Optimal of Monotone Procedure for Monitored Systems Working Under Variable Operations2013

    • Author(s)
      Jin, L. and Suzuki, K.
    • Organizer
      The 8th International Conference on Mathematical Methods in Reliability: Theory, Methods and Applications
    • Place of Presentation
      Cape town
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Optimal Decision Policy for Markovian Aging Systems2013

    • Author(s)
      Bayarsaikhan, U. and Jin, L.
    • Organizer
      日本信頼性学会第26回秋季信頼性シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Book] Theory and Practice of Quality and Reliability Engineering in Asia Industry, Analysis of Window Censored Repair Logs and its Application to Maintenance2016

    • Author(s)
      Watalu Yamamoto, Lu Jin and Kazuyuki Suzuki
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 日本信頼性学会編 新版 信頼性ハンドブック, 第3章12節 保全の理論(Ⅱ)2014

    • Author(s)
      金路
    • Publisher
      日科技連出版社
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 日本信頼性学会編 新版 信頼性ハンドブック, 付録8 信頼性用語対応外国語一覧2014

    • Author(s)
      金路
    • Publisher
      日科技連出版社
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 新版信頼性ハンドブック2014

    • Author(s)
      金路
    • Total Pages
      8
    • Publisher
      日科技連出版社
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-07-25   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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