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Development of 3D numerical model for volcanic ash dispersal and risk map system

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25750142
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Natural disaster / Disaster prevention science
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

Suzuki Yujiro  東京大学, 地震研究所, 助教 (30392939)

Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,030,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥930,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Keywords火山噴火 / 噴煙 / 火山灰 / 災害予測 / 数値モデル / 火山災害 / 火山噴煙 / 数値シミュレーション / 大型計算機 / 火山
Outline of Final Research Achievements

To understand the dynamics of eruption cloud and the mechanism of volcanic ash associated with explosive volcanic eruptions, we have developed a numerical model and performed numerical simulations. The 3D model developed in this study solve the fluid dynamics of eruption cloud and the transport of volcanic ash in parallel. Our model can reproduce observed data of various eruptions into arbitrary atmospheric conditions: the strong eruption (the Pinatubo 1991 eruption), the moderate eruption (the Kelud 2014 eruption), and the weak eruption (the Shinmoe-dake 2011 eruption). Our model is considered to be a useful tool that links eruption condition and field observations. In addition, we have quantified the effects of wind on the heights of eruption cloud, and determined the empirical constants for the simple model of eruption cloud.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (34 results)

All 2016 2015 2014 2013 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (1 results) Journal Article (10 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Peer Reviewed: 8 results,  Open Access: 1 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 4 results) Presentation (23 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Invited: 5 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] INGV(イタリア)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Results of the eruptive column model inter-comparison study2016

    • Author(s)
      Costa, A., Suzuki, Y. J., et al.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research

      Volume: - Pages: 2-25

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2016.01.017

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 火山噴煙ダイナミクス:3次元数値シミュレーションモデルの発展と展開2016

    • Author(s)
      鈴木雄治郎
    • Journal Title

      火山

      Volume: -

    • NAID

      130006783529

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] On the relationship between eruption intensity and volcanic plume2016

    • Author(s)
      Suzuki, Y. J., Costa, A., Koyaguchi, T.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research

      Volume: -

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Effects of wind on entrainment efficiency in volcanic plumes2015

    • Author(s)
      Suzuki, Y. J. and Koyaguchi, T.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Geophysical Research

      Volume: 120 Issue: 9 Pages: 6122-6140

    • DOI

      10.1002/2015jb012208

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] A novel apparatus for the simulation of eruptive gas-rock interactions2015

    • Author(s)
      Ayris, P. M., Cimarelli, C., Delmelle, P., Wadsworth, F. B., Vasseur, J., Suzuki, Y. J., Dingwell, D.B.
    • Journal Title

      Bulletin of Volcanology

      Volume: 77 Issue: 12 Pages: 104-104

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00445-015-0990-3

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 3D numerical simulation of the volcanic eruption clouds during the 2014 Kelud eruption2015

    • Author(s)
      Suzuki, Y. J. and Koyaguchi, T.
    • Journal Title

      Annual report of the Earth Simulator Center

      Volume: - Pages: 89-94

    • NAID

      40020824257

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 火山噴火における混相流現象(火山噴煙の数値シミュレーション)2015

    • Author(s)
      鈴木雄治郎
    • Journal Title

      混相流

      Volume: 29 Pages: 106-113

    • NAID

      130005088066

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] HCl uptake by volcanic ash in the high temperature eruption plume: Mechanistic insights2014

    • Author(s)
      Ayris, P. M., P. Delmelle, C. Cimarelli, E. C. Maters, Y. J. Suzuki, D. B. Dingwell
    • Journal Title

      Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta

      Volume: 144 Pages: 188-201

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.gca.2014.08.028

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Estimation of exit velocity of volcanic plume from analysis of vortex structures2014

    • Author(s)
      H. Suwa, Y. J. Suzuki, A. Yokoo
    • Journal Title

      Earth and Planetary Science Letters

      Volume: 385 Pages: 154-161

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.epsl.2013.10.032

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 3D numerical simulation of volcanic eruption clouds during the 2011 Shinmoe-dake eruptions2013

    • Author(s)
      Y. J. Suzuki, T. Koyaguchi
    • Journal Title

      Earth Planets Space

      Volume: 65 Issue: 6 Pages: 581-589

    • DOI

      10.5047/eps.2013.03.009

    • NAID

      10031193471

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Intercomparison of volcanic eruption column models2015

    • Author(s)
      Suzuki, Y. J. and Costa, A.
    • Organizer
      WMO 7th International Volcanic Ash Workshop
    • Place of Presentation
      Anchorage (USA)
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-19
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 新燃岳2011 年噴火事例における火山灰供給モデルの検討2015

    • Author(s)
      橋本明弘・鈴木雄治郎・新堀敏基・石井憲介
    • Organizer
      日本 火山学会2015 年秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      富山大学(富山県・富山市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-27
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] SO2 and HCl uptake by volcanic glass in H2O-bearing pseudo-eruptive atmospheres2015

    • Author(s)
      Ayris, P. M., P. Delmelle, C. Cimarelli, Y. J. Suzuki and D. B. Dingwell
    • Organizer
      Goldshmidt 2015
    • Place of Presentation
      Prague (Czech Republic)
    • Year and Date
      2015-08-18
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Inter-comparison exercise of volcanic eruption column models2015

    • Author(s)
      Suzuki, Y. J. and Costa, A.
    • Organizer
      26th IUGG General Assembly
    • Place of Presentation
      Prague (Czech Republic)
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-22
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 阿蘇巨大噴火の降灰シミュレーション2015

    • Author(s)
      石井憲介・鈴木雄治郎・新堀敏基・福井敬一・佐藤英一
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星 科学連合2015 年大会
    • Place of Presentation
      幕張メッセ(千葉県・千葉市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-25
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 1 次元火道流・3 次元火山噴煙統合モデルを用いた爆発的噴火の推移予測2015

    • Author(s)
      小屋口剛博・鈴木雄治郎
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星 科学連合2015 年大会
    • Place of Presentation
      幕張メッセ(千葉県・千葉市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-25
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 降下火砕堆積物の分布から供給源を推定する逆解析手法の確立:鉛直拡 散と噴煙形状の影響2015

    • Author(s)
      清杉孝司・小屋口剛博・鈴木雄治郎
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星 科学連合2015 年大会
    • Place of Presentation
      幕張メッセ(千葉県・千葉市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-25
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 3D numerical simulations of volcanic plume and tephra dispersal: Reconstruction of the 2014 Kelud eruption2014

    • Author(s)
      Yujiro, Y. J., M. Iguchi, F. Maeno, S. Nakada, A. Hashimoto, T. Shimbori, K. Ishii
    • Organizer
      American Geophysical Union 2014 Fall Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      San Francisco, USA
    • Year and Date
      2014-12-19
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] HCl uptake by volcanic ash in the high temperature eruption plume: mechanistic insights2014

    • Author(s)
      Ayris, P., P. Delmelle, C. Cimarelli, E. Maters, Y. Suzuki, D. Dingwell
    • Organizer
      American Geophysical Union 2014 Fall Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      San Francisco, USA
    • Year and Date
      2014-12-19
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Reconstruction of eruption column model based on the 3D numerical simulation of volcanic plume for 2011 Shinmoe-dake eruption2014

    • Author(s)
      Hashimoto, A., Y. Suzuki, T. Shimbori, K. Ishii, A. Takagi
    • Organizer
      American Geophysical Union 2014 Fall Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      San Francisco, USA
    • Year and Date
      2014-12-18
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 全球移流拡散モデルによるカルデラ噴火時の降灰シミュレーション2014

    • Author(s)
      石井憲介・鈴木雄治郎・福井敬一・新堀敏基・佐藤英一
    • Organizer
      第12回環境研究シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋講堂(東京都千代田区)
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-18
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 気象衛星でとらえた傘型噴煙 -2014年2月13日のケルート火山噴火-2014

    • Author(s)
      石井憲介・桜井利幸・鈴木雄治郎・新堀敏基・福井敬一・佐藤英一
    • Organizer
      日本火山学会2014年秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      福岡大学(福岡県福岡市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-02
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 3D numerical simulations of dispersion of volcanic ash using a Lagrangian model2014

    • Author(s)
      Suzuki, Y. J., T. Koyaguchi
    • Organizer
      EGU General Assembly 2014
    • Place of Presentation
      Vienna, Austria
    • Year and Date
      2014-05-02
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 2011年1月26-27日新燃岳噴火に伴う火山灰輸送に関する数値実験2014

    • Author(s)
      橋本明弘・鈴木雄治郎・新堀敏基・高木朗充
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2014年大会
    • Place of Presentation
      横浜パシフィコ(神奈川県横浜市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-04-28 – 2014-05-02
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 火山灰拡散シミュレーションのための風データの検討2014

    • Author(s)
      清杉孝司・小屋口剛博・鈴木雄治郎
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2014年大会
    • Place of Presentation
      横浜パシフィコ(神奈川県横浜市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-04-28 – 2014-05-02
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 1次元浅水波方程式による火砕流モデリングにおける流れの先端部の数値的取り扱い2014

    • Author(s)
      志水宏行・小屋口剛博・鈴木雄治郎
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2014年大会
    • Place of Presentation
      横浜パシフィコ(神奈川県横浜市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-04-28 – 2014-05-02
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 火山噴煙の3次元シミュレーション:風による噴煙と大気の乱流混合効率の見積り2013

    • Author(s)
      鈴木, 雄治郎 , 小屋口, 剛博
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2013年大会
    • Place of Presentation
      千葉,幕張メッセ
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 火山灰追跡モデルPUFF を用いて計算された堆積物の分布に対する鉛直方向の粒子拡散の影響2013

    • Author(s)
      清杉, 孝司 , 小屋口, 剛博 , 鈴木, 雄治郎
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2013年大会
    • Place of Presentation
      千葉,幕張メッセ
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 不足膨張噴流が形成する内部構造と乱流混合過程に与える影響についての3次元数値モデルを用いた研究2013

    • Author(s)
      稲川, 聡 , 小屋口, 剛博 , 鈴木, 雄治郎
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2013年大会
    • Place of Presentation
      千葉,幕張メッセ
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Effects of vertical diffusivity of particles on distribution of deposits calculated by the tephra-tracking model PUFF2013

    • Author(s)
      Kiyosugi, Koji , Koyaguchi, Takehiro , Suzuki, Yujiro
    • Organizer
      IAVCEI 2013 Science Assembly
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Reconstruction of volcanic plume dynamics and fallout deposits on the basis of numerical simulations2013

    • Author(s)
      Suzuki, Yujiro , Koyaguchi, Takehiro
    • Organizer
      IAVCEI 2013 Science Assembly
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 3D numerical simulation of volcanic plume dynamics and ash dispersal2013

    • Author(s)
      Suzuki, Yujiro , Koyaguchi, Takehiro
    • Organizer
      Ash dispersal forecast and civil aviation
    • Place of Presentation
      スイス,ジュネーブ
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 数100kmにわたる火山灰長距離輸送に関するモデル開発と数値実験2013

    • Author(s)
      橋本明弘,鈴木雄治郎,新堀敏基,高木朗充
    • Organizer
      日本火山学会2013年秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      福島県猪苗代町
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-07-25   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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