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Developing a recursive-dynamic multiregional CGE model for Japan for assessing the economic impact of a future possible natural disaster

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25750144
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Natural disaster / Disaster prevention science
Research InstitutionNagoya University

Principal Investigator

YAMAZAKI MASATO  名古屋大学, 減災連携研究センター, 寄附研究部門助教 (60628981)

Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,160,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥960,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Keywords自然災害 / 経済被害 / 応用一般均衡モデル / 経済 / シミュレーション / 南海トラフ巨大地震 / 災害の経済被害 / 経済シミュレーション / 災害
Outline of Final Research Achievements

As economic losses caused by natural disasters increase, assessing the economic impact of a future possible natural disaster is becoming more and more important. A computable general equilibrium (CGE) model is a strong candidate for such an assessment. The study develops a recursive-dynamic multiregional CGE model for Japan and then calibrates a set of substitution parameters for this model. A heuristic method is employed for the calibration, in which the substitution parameters in the CGE model are adjusted so as to reproduce the actual economic impacts of the 2011 Great East Japan earthquake.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (15 results)

All 2015 2014 2013

All Journal Article (6 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 2 results,  Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (7 results) Book (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] 南海トラフ巨大地震による製油所被災の経済被害評価2015

    • Author(s)
      山崎雅人・小池淳司・曽根好徳
    • Journal Title

      化学経済

      Volume: 62 Pages: 72-77

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 全国47都道府県動的応用一般均衡モデルによる東日本大震災の経済被害再現研究2015

    • Author(s)
      山崎雅人・曽根好徳・小池淳司・多々納祐一
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究・講演集

      Volume: 51 Pages: 1-6

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Economic Impact Assessment of Immediate Shutdown of All Nuclear Power Plants in Japan2015

    • Author(s)
      Masato Yamazaki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Policy Science (Policy Science Association of Ritsumeikan University)

      Volume: 9 Pages: 65-80

    • NAID

      120005694617

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 巨大地震の「経済被害」をどう読むか2014

    • Author(s)
      山崎雅人
    • Journal Title

      安全工学

      Volume: 53巻2号 Pages: 94-99

    • NAID

      130005253669

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 「中部圏応用一般均衡モデル」による巨大地震の経済被害評価‐「中部圏地域間産業連関表(2005年版)」に準拠して‐2014

    • Author(s)
      山崎雅人,曽根好徳
    • Journal Title

      中部圏研究

      Volume: 188 Pages: 80-95

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] An assessment of nuclear power shutdown in Japan using the computable general equilibrium model2013

    • Author(s)
      Masato Yamazaki, Shiro Takeda
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Integrated Disaster Risk Management

      Volume: Vol.3,No.1 Pages: 36-55

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 全国47都道府県動的応用一般均衡モデルによる東日本大震災の経済被害再現研究2015

    • Author(s)
      山崎雅人
    • Organizer
      第51回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      九州大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-06
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] CGE Study of Economic Damage Caused by a Huge Earthquake2014

    • Author(s)
      Masato Yamazaki, Yoshinori Sone
    • Organizer
      The 5th Conference of the International Society for Integrated Disaster Risk Management
    • Place of Presentation
      Western University
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-30 – 2014-11-01
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 日本の原子力発電シナリオ及び再生可能エネルギー政策の経済分析2014

    • Author(s)
      山崎雅人
    • Organizer
      環境経済・政策学会2014年大会
    • Place of Presentation
      法政大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-03 – 2014-09-13
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of Nuclear Shutdown and Feed-in Tariff in Japan2014

    • Author(s)
      Masato Yamazaki
    • Organizer
      The 5th World Congress of Environmental and Resource Economists
    • Place of Presentation
      Istanbul
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-28 – 2014-07-02
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] An Assessment of Nuclear Power Shutdown in Japan Using the Computable General Equilibrium Model2013

    • Author(s)
      Masato Yamazaki
    • Organizer
      The 36th Annual IAEE International Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Daegu, Korea
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] A CGE Study of Economic Restoration after a Natural Disaster2013

    • Author(s)
      Masato Yamazaki
    • Organizer
      21st International Input-Output Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Kitakyushu, Japan
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] A CGE Study of Economic Restoration after a Natural Disaster2013

    • Author(s)
      Masato Yamazaki
    • Organizer
      Dealing with Disasters (DwD) with the 4th Conference of the Integrated Disaster Risk Management (IDRiM)
    • Place of Presentation
      Newcastle,England
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 温暖化対策の新しい排出削減メカニズム2015

    • Author(s)
      セクター別クレジットメカニズムの経済分析
    • Total Pages
      180
    • Publisher
      日本評論社
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 「自然災害と産業活動」『災害の経済学』所収2013

    • Author(s)
      山崎雅人
    • Total Pages
      288
    • Publisher
      中央経済社
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2014-07-25   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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