Establishing time-series databases of party manifestos and estimating party positions

• Project/Area Number: 25780104
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
• Allocation Type: Multi-year Fund
• Research Field: Politics
• Research Institution: Waseda University
• Principal Investigator: Hino Airo 早稲田大学, 政治経済学術院, 教授 (30457816)
• Project Period (FY): 2013-04-01 – 2017-03-31
• Project Status: Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
• Budget Amount: ¥3,640,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥840,000); Fiscal Year 2016: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000); Fiscal Year 2015: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000); Fiscal Year 2014: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000); Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
• Keywords: 政党 / マニフェスト / コンピュータ・コーディング / 計量テキスト分析 / 政策位置 / 政策分析

Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study aims to establish a historical database of party manifestos in Japan and to estimate their policy positions by applying various coding techniques. Party manifestos are valuable resources for the studies of political parties and in particular for empirically observing their policy positions. Yet, there have been only limited attempts to archive them in a systematic manner and to analyse them by applying various computer-assisted coding techniques developed in the recent years. This study attempts to fill this lacuna by collecting the past manifestos where possible and discussing how various coding techniques can help us understand the policy positions of political parties in Japan.

Research Products

• [Int'l Joint Research] ミラノ大学(イタリア)
• [Int'l Joint Research] ミラノ大学(イタリア)
• [Journal Article] Japan (2016)
  • Author(s): Hino, A.
  • Journal Title: European Journal of Political Research, Political Data Yearbook Volume: 55 Issue: 1 Pages: 156-163
  • DOI: 10.1111/2047-8852.12134
• [Journal Article] 選挙研究事始め－「ネット選挙」に効果はあったのか？ (2016)
  • Author(s): 日野愛郎
  • Journal Title: 『早稲田政治経済学雑誌』 Volume: 389-390号 Pages: 37-43
  • NAID: 120005775137
  • Open Access
• [Journal Article] Representation and Integration of New Political Issues in Party Systems: Analyses of New Challenger Parties in 15 West European Democracies (2015)
  • Author(s): Airo Hino
  • Journal Title: 『年報政治学』 Volume: 2015-II Pages: 130-165
  • NAID: 130007531260
• [Journal Article] 政治学におけるCAI調査の現状と課題－早稲田大学CASI調査と選挙結果の比較から (2015)
  • Author(s): 田中愛治・日野愛郎
  • Journal Title: 『理論と方法』 Volume: Vol.30, No. 2 Pages: 201-224
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 選挙制度改革が政治過程に与えた影響 (2015)
  • Author(s): 日野愛郎
  • Journal Title: 『論究ジュリスト』 Volume: 2015年春号 Pages: 126-132
• [Journal Article] Political Communication Research in Asia (2015)
  • Author(s): Airo Hino and Willy Jou
  • Journal Title: International Encyclopedia of Political Communication Volume: I Pages: 1042-1052
  • DOI: 10.1002/9781118541555.wbiepc240
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Journal Article] Japan (2015)
  • Author(s): Airo Hino
  • Journal Title: European Journal of Political Research Volume: 54 Issue: 1 Pages: 169-180
  • DOI: 10.1111/2047-8852.12095
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Journal Article] 日本における世論調査の現状と課題 (2015)
  • Author(s): 日野愛郎
  • Journal Title: よろん Volume: 115号 Pages: 26-42
  • Open Access
• [Journal Article] 選挙制度改革が政治過程に与えた影響 (2015)
  • Author(s): 日野愛郎
  • Journal Title: 論究ジュリスト Volume: 2015年春号 Pages: 126-132
• [Journal Article] 視線追跡で明らかにする調査回答過程：政党支持質問と価値観質問における順序効果 (2014)
  • Author(s): 日野愛郎・山崎新・遠藤晶久
  • Journal Title: 選挙研究 Volume: 第30巻第1号 Pages: 31-43
  • NAID: 130006302166
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 視線追跡で明らかにする調査回答過程 (2014)
  • Author(s): 日野愛郎・山崎新・遠藤晶久
  • Journal Title: 選挙研究 Volume: 30 Pages: 31-43
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Party System Dynamics in Japan: Measuring the underlying changes and status-quos (2013)
  • Author(s): Airo Hino
  • Journal Title: Working Paper Series, Institute for Research in Contemporary Political and Economic Affairs, Waseda University Volume: No. E1310 Pages: 1-17
• [Presentation] Sketching policies from scratch: Comparing policy estimates between ‘real’ party manifestos and ‘quasi’ manifestos by semi-structured interviews (2017)
  • Author(s): Hino, A, and Curini, L.
  • Organizer: European Political Science Association
  • Place of Presentation: Palazzo delle Stelline, Milano
  • Year and Date: 2017-06-22
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] 熟慮の質に関する指標化の試み－Reasoning Quality Index (RQI)とArgument Repertoire(AR)の比較を通して (2017)
  • Author(s): 今井亮佑・千葉涼・日野愛郎
  • Organizer: 政治経済学会
  • Place of Presentation: 早稲田大学
  • Year and Date: 2017-03-05
• [Presentation] Beyond Ideology: Measuring the Intensity of the Government-Opposition Divide from Legislative Speeches: An application to Japanese Parliamentary Debates, 1953-2013 (2017)
  • Author(s): Hino, A.
  • Organizer: Institute of Asia and Pacific Studies
  • Place of Presentation: University of Nottingham
  • Year and Date: 2017-02-23
  • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
• [Presentation] To fight or not to fight for issue ownership: Analyses of New Politics Parties and Extreme Right Parties across 15 West European democracies (2016)
  • Author(s): Hino, A.
  • Organizer: EU-Japan Forum
  • Place of Presentation: Egmont Palace, Brussels
  • Year and Date: 2016-10-25
  • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
• [Presentation] Electoral systems and its consequences (2016)
  • Author(s): Hino, A.
  • Organizer: 26th ECPR Ph.D Summer School of Political Parties and Party Systems
  • Place of Presentation: University of Nottingham
  • Year and Date: 2016-09-21
  • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
• [Presentation] Warping the trend: the use and reuse of social media data in social science (2016)
  • Author(s): Hino, A.
  • Organizer: Annual Conference, Italian Political Science Association
  • Place of Presentation: University of Milan
  • Year and Date: 2016-09-15
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] To fight or not to fight for issue ownership: Analyses of New Politics Parties and Extreme Right Parties across 15 West European democracies (2016)
  • Author(s): Hino, A.
  • Organizer: General Conference, European Consortium for Political Research
  • Place of Presentation: Charles University, Prague
  • Year and Date: 2016-09-10
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Sorting out Chicken and Egg: Causal Mechanisms of the Media and Public Sentiment (2016)
  • Author(s): Hino, A.
  • Organizer: Seminario di Dipartimento di Scienze Sociali e Politiche
  • Place of Presentation: Universita degli Studi di Milano
  • Year and Date: 2016-06-28
  • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
• [Presentation] Sorting out Chicken and Egg: Causal Mechanisms of the Media and Public Sentiment (2016)
  • Author(s): Airo Hino, Luigi Curini, Kensuke Nakanishi, Minoru Kakuma, Yohei Kobashi, Yutaro Akashi
  • Organizer: Southern Political Science Association
  • Place of Presentation: Puerto Rico
  • Year and Date: 2016-01-06
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Modality Theory and Syntactic-based Exploratory Analysis to Measure Political Polarization on Twitter (2016)
  • Author(s): Yohei Kobashi, Minoru Kakuma, Kensuke Nakanishi, Airo Hino
  • Organizer: Southern Political Science Association
  • Place of Presentation: Puerto Rico
  • Year and Date: 2016-01-06
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Measuring the quality of deliberation within – A proposal of Reasoning Quality Index (2015)
  • Author(s): Hino, A., Imai, R., and Chiba, R.
  • Organizer: 9th General Conference of European Consortium for Political Research
  • Place of Presentation: University of Montreal
  • Year and Date: 2015-08-26
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] 世論調査における回答者の『熟慮』」－その度合に関する指標化の試み (2015)
  • Author(s): 日野愛郎・千葉涼・今井亮佑
  • Organizer: 2015年度日本選挙学会研究大会
  • Place of Presentation: 熊本、崇城大学ホール
  • Year and Date: 2015-05-16
• [Presentation] Twitterデータの集積と分析：景況感指標と株価の時系列分析 (2015)
  • Author(s): 日野愛郎・明石裕太郎・中西健輔・稲村勇輝
  • Organizer: 政治経済学会研究大会
  • Place of Presentation: 早稲田大学
  • Year and Date: 2015-03-07
• [Presentation] 日本における世論調査の現状と課題 (2014)
  • Author(s): 日野愛郎
  • Organizer: 日本世論調査協会特別研究大会
  • Place of Presentation: 市ヶ谷アルカディア
  • Year and Date: 2014-11-13
  • Invited
• [Presentation] 政党システムの変容と政策対立軸の変化 (2014)
  • Author(s): 今井亮佑・荒井紀一郎・日野愛郎
  • Organizer: 日本政治学会研究大会
  • Place of Presentation: 早稲田大学
  • Year and Date: 2014-10-12
• [Presentation] Dying with Dynastic Politicians: Who is Voting for Hereditary Candidates in Japan? (2014)
  • Author(s): Hino, A. and Mutoh, Y.
  • Organizer: World Congress, International Political Science Association,
  • Place of Presentation: Montreal
  • Year and Date: 2014-07-22
• [Presentation] Measuring Party Competition from Legislative Speeches: Analyses of Japanese Parliamentary Debates, 1953-2011 (2013)
  • Author(s): Airo Hino, Luigi Curini, and Atsushi Osaki
  • Organizer: European Consortium for Political Research General Conference
  • Place of Presentation: Science Po Bordeaux
• [Presentation] Looking at how respondents look at survey questions: Eye-tracking examination of response order effects in party support question and value batteries
  • Author(s): Airo Hino, Arata Yamazaki, Masahisa Endo
  • Organizer: 2014 Asian Political Methodology Meeting Poster Session
  • Place of Presentation: Tokyo Technology University
• [Book] ‘Mecanismos de participacion ciudadana en Japon’, in Instituto Electoral del Estado de Queretaro (ed.), Mecanismos de participacion ciudadana: Una Experiencia Global (2017)
  • Author(s): Hino, A.
  • Publisher: Instituto Electoral del Estado de Queretaro, Mexico
• [Book] 現代ベルギー政治 (2017)
  • Author(s): 正躰朝香・津田由美子・日野愛郎・松尾秀哉（五十音順）（編著）
  • Publisher: ミネルヴァ書房
• [Book] ‘Examining Response Order Effects through the Computer Randomization’, Kohno, M. and Nishizawa, Y. (eds.), Electoral Survey Methodology: Insight from Japan using computer assisted personal interviews (2016)
  • Author(s): Imai, R. and Hino, A.
  • Publisher: Routledge
• [Book] 「欧州議会の機能と構造‐立法・選挙・政党」福田耕治（編）『EU・欧州統合研究 改訂版－”Brexit”以後の欧州ガバナンス』 (2016)
  • Author(s): 日野愛郎
  • Publisher: 成文堂
• [Book] 吉野孝・谷藤悦史・今村浩編『論点 日本の政治』 (2015)
  • Author(s): 日野愛郎
  • Total Pages: 256
  • Publisher: 東京法令出版
• [Book] “Political Communication Research in Asia”, Mazzoleni, Gianpetro (ed.), International Encyclopedia of Political Communication (2015)
  • Author(s): Hino, A. and Jou, W.
  • Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell
• [Book] 「比例代表制を中心とする選挙制度の現状と課題」『本格政権が機能するための政治のあり方－選挙制度のあり方と参議院の役割－』 (2014)
  • Author(s): 日野愛郎
  • Publisher: 21世紀政策研究所日本政治プロジェクト報告書
• [Book] 「オランダ・ベルギーにおける社民政党の現状と試み」『「欧州政党の政策動向研究委員会」研究報告・政策提言』 (2014)
  • Author(s): 日野愛郎
  • Publisher: 政策研究フォーラム
• [Book] ヨーロッパのデモクラシー（改訂第2版） (2014)
  • Author(s): 日野愛郎「オランダ・ベルギー」網谷龍介・伊藤武・成廣孝編
  • Total Pages: 49
  • Publisher: ナカニシヤ出版
• [Book] 世論調査の新たな地平―CASI方式世論調査 (2013)
  • Author(s): 日野愛郎・田中愛治編
  • Total Pages: 327
  • Publisher: 勁草書房