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Study on extreme events of polar stratospheric temperature change and their long term variability

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25800261
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Meteorology/Physical oceanography/Hydrology
Research InstitutionMie University (2016)
The University of Tokyo (2013-2015)

Principal Investigator

Nishii Kazuaki  三重大学, 生物資源学研究科, 准教授 (50623401)

Research Collaborator Orsolini Yvan J.  ノルウェー大気科学研究所
NAKAMURA Hisashi  東京大学, 先端科学技術研究センター, 教授
Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,160,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥960,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥2,080,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥480,000)
Keywords成層圏突然昇温 / 成層圏極端現象 / 北大西洋パターン / 中緯度海洋前線 / 海氷 / 十年規模変動 / 海洋前線 / 成層圏 / 惑星波 / 長期トレンド / 中緯度海洋 / 西太平洋パターン
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In winter, temperatures in the Arctic stratosphere experience large variability. The duration of each extreme temperature event differs from event to event, and the frequency of those extreme events shows decadal-scale variability. We classified stratospheric extreme events into short and long events, and found that the duration is dependent on the duration of associated incoming planetary waves from the troposphere. The intensity of the planetary waves depends on tropospheric local circulation anomalies in particular domains. We investigated the mechanism of the Western Pacific pattern that affects the intensity of planetary waves. We also performed ensemble experiments of an atmospheric general circulation model to investigate factors that affect the Arctic stratosphere under various boundary conditions. We found that the midlatitude oceanic front can be one of such factors.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (24 results)

All 2016 2015 2014 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (2 results) Journal Article (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 3 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (19 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results,  Invited: 1 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] ノルウェー大気科学研究所(ノルウェー)

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Norwegian Institute for Air Research(ノルウェー)

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Vertical structure and energetics of the Western Pacific teleconnection pattern2016

    • Author(s)
      S. Tanaka, K. Nishii, H. Nakamura
    • Journal Title

      Journal of climate

      Volume: 29 Issue: 18 Pages: 6597-6616

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-15-0549.1

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Importance of midlatiude oceanic frontal zones for the Annular Mode variability: Interbasin differences in the Southern Annular Mode signature2016

    • Author(s)
      F. Ogawa, H. Nakamura, K. Nishii, T. Miyasaka, A. Kuwano-Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Journal of climate

      Volume: 29 Issue: 17 Pages: 6179-6199

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-15-0885.1

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Arctic summer storm track in CMIP3/5 climate models2015

    • Author(s)
      K. Nishii, H. Nakamura, Y.J. Orsolini
    • Journal Title

      Climate Dynamics

      Volume: 44 Issue: 5-6 Pages: 1311-1327

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00382-014-2229-y

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Duration and decay of extreme vortex events in the polar stratosphere2016

    • Author(s)
      Kazuaki NISHII, Yvan J. ORSOLINI, Hisashi NAKAMURA
    • Organizer
      International Symposium on the Whole Atmosphere (ISWA)
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学(東京都・文京区)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Vertical structure and energetics of the Western Pacific Teleconnection Pattern2016

    • Author(s)
      Nishii, K., Tanaka, S., Nakamura,H
    • Organizer
      CLIVAR Open Science Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      中華人民共和国・青島
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 季節平均降水量の潜在的予測可能性に対する中緯度海洋の役割2016

    • Author(s)
      西井和晃,田口文明,吉田 聡,中村 尚,小坂 優,宮坂貴文
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2016年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学(愛知県・名古屋市)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] オホーツク海海氷減少に対する大気応答2015

    • Author(s)
      西井和晃,中村尚,中村哲
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-30
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Persistent cooling of the polar stratosphere in 2011 winter and spring2015

    • Author(s)
      Kazuaki Nishii, Hisashi Nakamura, Yvan J. Orsolini
    • Organizer
      Asian Conference on Meteorology
    • Place of Presentation
      京都
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-26
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Persistent cooling of the polar stratosphere in 2011 winter and spring2015

    • Author(s)
      Kazuaki Nishii, Hisashi Nakamura, Yvan J. Orsolini
    • Organizer
      26th General Assembly of IUGG
    • Place of Presentation
      プラハ,チェコ
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-26
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Atmospheric response to anomalous sea ice in the Sea of Okhotsk2015

    • Author(s)
      Kazuaki Nishii, Hisashi Nakamura, and Tetsu Nakamura
    • Organizer
      26th General Assembly of IUGG
    • Place of Presentation
      プラハ,チェコ
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-26
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Atmospheric response to anomalous sea ice in the Sea of Okhotsk2015

    • Author(s)
      K. Nishii*, H. Nakamura, T. Nakamura
    • Organizer
      The Fourth International Symposium on the Arctic Research (ISAR-4)
    • Place of Presentation
      富山国際会議場
    • Year and Date
      2015-04-29
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Persistent cooling of the polar stratosphere in 2011 winter and spring2015

    • Author(s)
      K. Nishii*, H. Nakamura, Y. J. Orsolini
    • Organizer
      The Fourth International Symposium on the Arctic Research (ISAR-4)
    • Place of Presentation
      富山国際会議場
    • Year and Date
      2015-04-29
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Persistent cooling of the polar stratosphere in 2011 winter and spring2015

    • Author(s)
      Kazuaki Nishii, Hisashi Nakamura, Yvan J. Orsolini
    • Organizer
      ISAR-4
    • Place of Presentation
      富山
    • Year and Date
      2015-04-28
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Atmospheric response to anomalous sea ice in the Sea of Okhotsk2015

    • Author(s)
      Kazuaki Nishii, Hisashi Nakamura, and Tetsu Nakamura
    • Organizer
      26th General Assembly of IUGG
    • Place of Presentation
      富山
    • Year and Date
      2015-04-28
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 亜寒帯ジェットと海洋前線帯2014

    • Author(s)
      西井 和晃
    • Organizer
      東京大学大気海洋研究所国際沿岸海洋研究センター研究集会
    • Place of Presentation
      大槌町中央公民館(岩手県大槌町)
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-28
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Role of the midlatitude oceanic frontal zone in the Southern Hemisphere climate change due to the stratospheric ozone depletion in climate model simulations2014

    • Author(s)
      K. Nishii, H. Nakamura, F. Ogawa, N-E. Omrani, N. Keenlyside
    • Organizer
      Asia Oceania Geosciences Society 11th Annual Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      ロイトン札幌ホテル(北海道札幌市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-07-30
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 気候モデル中の夏季南半球対流圏の亜寒帯ジェットと海面水温前線帯2014

    • Author(s)
      西井和晃,中村尚,小川史明
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2014年度春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      横浜情報文化センター(神奈川県横浜市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-05-21
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 成層圏オゾンによる南半球気候変化にたいする中緯度海洋前線帯の役割2014

    • Author(s)
      西井和晃,小川史明,中村尚,N-E. Omrani, N. Keenlyside
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星連合大会2014
    • Place of Presentation
      パシフィコ横浜(神奈川県横浜市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-04-30
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Projected changes in Arctic summer storm-track activity by CMIP3 climate models

    • Author(s)
      西井和晃,中村尚,YJ Orsolini
    • Organizer
      DACA-13
    • Place of Presentation
      ダボス(スイス)
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 気候モデル中での海洋前線帯の南半球気候平均場及びトレンドへの影響

    • Author(s)
      西井和晃,中村尚,小川史明
    • Organizer
      平成25年度研究集会「異常気象と気候システム変動のメカニズムと予測可能性」
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学(京都府)
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 秋季対馬海峡流量と冬季西太平洋パターンとの関係について

    • Author(s)
      西井和晃, 久保木結 ,中村尚, 宮坂貴文
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2013年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      仙台国際センター(宮城県)
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Blockings and Upward Planetary-Wave propagation into the stratosphere

    • Author(s)
      西井和晃,中村尚,YJ Orsolini
    • Organizer
      SPARC GA 2014
    • Place of Presentation
      クイーンズタウン(ニュージーランド)
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-07-25   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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