The Impact of Uncertainty on Greenfield FDI via GVC Disruptions Pre- and Post-Covid & Trump/Biden Trade War

• Project/Area Number: 25K05050
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• Allocation Type: Multi-year Fund
• Section: 一般
• Review Section: Basic Section 07040:Economic policy-related
• Research Institution: Yokohama National University
• Principal Investigator: C・R Parsons 横浜国立大学, 大学院国際社会科学研究院, 教授 (10334616)
• Project Period (FY): 2025-04-01 – 2028-03-31
• Project Status: Granted (Fiscal Year 2025)
• Budget Amount: ¥3,510,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥810,000); Fiscal Year 2027: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000); Fiscal Year 2026: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000); Fiscal Year 2025: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
• Keywords: FDI / Uncertainty

Outline of Research at the Start

Some research has found that while global uncertainty reduced FDI, country-specific uncertainty does *not*.Our preliminary results overturn this finding.Host country uncertainty *does* make a difference.Also, we find large sectoral differences. Some sectors even experience an increase in investment during uncertainty. This new line of research will expand on this research and examine compare impacts during the pre-Covid and the first Trump-Biden trade war and also the widening global trade war that has just begun in 2025.