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Distribution shift of tree line along climate change

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26281049
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypePartial Multi-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Environmental and ecological symbiosis
Research InstitutionTohoku University

Principal Investigator

Nakashizuka Tohru  東北大学, 生命科学研究科, 教授 (00281105)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 黒川 紘子  国立研究開発法人森林総合研究所, 森林植生研究領域, 主任研究員 (70515733)
Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥16,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥12,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,870,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥4,810,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,110,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥4,810,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,110,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥7,150,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,650,000)
Keywordsaerial photograph / climate change / distribution shift / snow period / tree line / 環境 / 植物 / 生態学 / 温暖化 / 高木限界 / 分布移動
Outline of Final Research Achievements

We elucidated the following points. 1)Tree line was determined by snowing period, maximum snow depth, annual rainfall and other climate factors. 2) The areas with suitable climate for arelpine zone have decreased by 57.3% in recent 30 years and will decrease by 69.7-99.1% by 2100. 3) tree lines have been shifted to higher elevation by 0.3 m per year. And 4) The speed was much slower than that is expected by temperature rise.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Annual Research Report
  • 2014 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (26 results)

All 2016 2015 2014

All Journal Article (5 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 5 results) Presentation (17 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Invited: 1 results) Book (4 results)

  • [Journal Article] Attitudes toward disaster-prevention risk in Japanese coastal areas: analysis of civil preference2016

    • Author(s)
      Kohei Imamura, Kohei Takenaka, Takano, Nobuhito Mori, Tohru Nakashizuka & Shunsuke Managi
    • Journal Title

      Natural Hazards

      Volume: 82 Issue: 1 Pages: 209-226

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11069-016-2210-7

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Relative importance of multiple scale factors to oak tree mortality due to Japanese oak wilt disease2016

    • Author(s)
      Michio Oguro, Sawako Imahiro, Shoichi Saito and Tohru Nakashizuka
    • Journal Title

      Forest Ecology and Management

      Volume: in press

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 機能形質から種のニッチ,共存,そして消失を理解する:亜高山帯湿原群集を対象とした群集生態学と生理生態学からのアプローチ2014

    • Author(s)
      彦坂幸毅・佐々木雄大・神山千穂・片渕正紀・及川真平・嶋崎仁哉・木村 啓・中静 透
    • Journal Title

      地球環境

      Volume: 19(1) Pages: 33-46

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 気候変動が森林動態に与える影響と将来予測:八甲田山のオオシラビソを例として2014

    • Author(s)
      田中孝尚・嶋崎仁哉・黒川紘子・彦坂幸毅・中静 透
    • Journal Title

      地球環境

      Volume: 19(1) Pages: 47-55

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Vulnerability of moorland plant communities to environmental change: consequences of realistic species loss on functional diversity2014

    • Author(s)
      Takehiro Sasaki, Masatoshi Katabuchi, Chiho Kamiyama, Masaya Shimazaki, Tohru Nakashizuka and Kouki Hikosaka
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Applied Ecology

      Volume: 51 Pages: 299-308

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Impacts and risks of climate change on biodiversity and ecosystem2016

    • Author(s)
      Tohru NAKASHIZUKA
    • Organizer
      7th Japan-EU Workshop on Climate Change Research (26-27 April 2016) Tokyo
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-26
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Recent Dynamics and Future Prediction of Mountain Vegetation in Northern Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      Tohru Nakashizuka
    • Organizer
      The 7th International Conference on Water Resources and Encironment Research (ICWRER2016) (June 5-9, 2016) Kyoto
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-05
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 日本の高山帯と高山植物の危機2016

    • Author(s)
      中静 透
    • Organizer
      第2回絶滅危惧植物講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都府立植物園(京都府京都市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-26
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 生態系における地球温暖化研究を適応策の実装化につなげる2016

    • Author(s)
      高野(竹中)宏平・中静 透
    • Organizer
      第63回日本生態学会
    • Place of Presentation
      仙台国際センター(宮城県仙台市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-20
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高木限界の上昇に対する気候変動の影響と将来予測2016

    • Author(s)
      岩井康平,小黒芳生,高野宏平,中静 透
    • Organizer
      第63回日本生態学会
    • Place of Presentation
      仙台国際センター(宮城県仙台市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-20
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 森の未来予想図~変わりゆく森のすがた~2016

    • Author(s)
      中静 透
    • Organizer
      東北大学109周年萩友会関西交流会
    • Place of Presentation
      ホテルグランヴィア大阪(大阪府大阪市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-06
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 気候変動に伴う生態系影響と適応2015

    • Author(s)
      中静 透
    • Organizer
      第3回「森林環境」市民講座「進行する気候変動と森林~私たちはどう適応するか」
    • Place of Presentation
      朝日新聞読者ホール(東京都)
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-24
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 森林生態系の変化と生物多様性2015

    • Author(s)
      中静 透
    • Organizer
      かわさき市民アカデミー2015年度後期 環境とみどりコース「持続可能な社会と環境保全・防災」
    • Place of Presentation
      川崎市生涯学習プラザ(神奈川県川崎市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-22
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Climate change adaptation(CCA) and disaster risk reduction(DRR): Regional agenda and approach2015

    • Author(s)
      Tohru Nakashizuka
    • Organizer
      RACC7
    • Place of Presentation
      国立京都国際会館(京都府京都市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-03
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ブナ林の成り立ちと気候変動の影響2015

    • Author(s)
      中静 透
    • Organizer
      東北大学植物園市民公開講座 自然史講座「日本の森林:多様性と成り立ち」
    • Place of Presentation
      東北大学植物園(宮城県仙台市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-20
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 樹木の養分再吸収率と成長戦略との関係2015

    • Author(s)
      川邊瑞穂,黒川紘子,中静 透
    • Organizer
      第62回日本生態学会
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島市
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-18 – 2015-03-22
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] カワウの営巣が森林動態に与える影響2015

    • Author(s)
      杢屋貴士,中静 透,亀田佳代子
    • Organizer
      第62回日本生態学会
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島市
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-18 – 2015-03-22
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The differences in soil properties under fir and beech in the mixed forest on Mt. Hakkouda, Japan2015

    • Author(s)
      DAUMAL, M. KUROKAWA H. HASHIMOTO K. UEDA, M. NAKASHIZUKA, T
    • Organizer
      第62回日本生態学会
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島市
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-18 – 2015-03-22
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 環境条件によるブナ林の窒素循環の違い2015

    • Author(s)
      橋本桂佑,田中孝尚,黒川紘子,中静 透
    • Organizer
      第62回日本生態学会
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島市
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-18 – 2015-03-22
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] どんな葉っぱが食べられる?:形質-被食の関係のギルド間比較2015

    • Author(s)
      小黒芳生,高柳咲乃,黒川紘子,饗庭正寛,中静 透
    • Organizer
      第62回日本生態学会
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島市
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-18 – 2015-03-22
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 樹木群衆の被食率を説明する形質は何か?:成木と稚樹の比較2015

    • Author(s)
      高柳咲乃,小黒芳生,黒川紘子,饗庭正寛,中静 透
    • Organizer
      第62回日本生態学会
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島市
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-18 – 2015-03-22
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 長期的シカ柵からみえてきたこと-ブナ林2015

    • Author(s)
      中静 透
    • Organizer
      第62回日本生態学会
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島市
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-18 – 2015-03-22
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Structure and Function of Mountain Ecosystems in Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      Tohru Nakashizuka, Masaya Shimazaki, Takehiro Sasaki, Takahisa Tanaka, Hiroko Kurokawa, and Houki Hikosaka
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Structure and Function of Mountain Ecosystems in Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      Kouki Hikosaka, Takehiro Sasaki, Chiho Kamiyama, Masatoshi Katabuchi, Shimpei Oikawa, Masaya Shimazaki, Hiroshi Kimura, and Tohru Nakashizuka
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 森林環境2015-特集 進行する気候変動と森林 ~私たちはどう適応するか「気候変動に伴う生態系影響と適応」2015

    • Author(s)
      中静 透
    • Total Pages
      190
    • Publisher
      公益財団法人森林文化協会
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 環境会議2015年春号「気候変動と生態系-生態系の保全と利用による適応策」2015

    • Author(s)
      中静 透
    • Total Pages
      208
    • Publisher
      事業構想大学院大学出版部
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2018-03-22  

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