Budget Amount *help |
¥15,990,000 (Direct Cost: ¥12,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,690,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
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Outline of Final Research Achievements |
To date, agent-based social simulation (ABSS) is a popular method to study the behavior of a social system and the interaction of the constituent members of the system. With the development of information technologies, many ABSS approaches have been proposed with wide application. However, the definitive methodology for modeling of the agent’s behavior in ABSS has not been established yet. This study proposed a new methodology of modeling of the agent’s behavior in ABSS using Bayesian network based on the questionnaire survey. This method enables us to simultaneously perform the construction of the agent's behavior model and the estimation of the internal parameters within the model. This study took Japanese medical insurance market as an example, since this complicated market deserves detailed consideration. We verified the effectiveness of the proposed methodology by applying the scenario analysis to this case.
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