A comparative study between Japan and Sweden: Life course of old-old people and future cost trends of long-term care
| Project/Area Number |
26285137
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
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| Allocation Type | Partial Multi-year Fund |
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| Section | 一般 |
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| Research Field |
Social welfare and social work studies
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| Research Institution | Nihon Fukushi University |
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Principal Investigator |
KURUBE Noriko 日本福祉大学, 福祉経営学部, 教授 (10329766)
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| Co-Investigator(Renkei-kenkyūsha) |
SAITO Yasuhiko 日本大学, 総合科学研究科, 教授 (00277485)
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| Research Collaborator |
JINNO Naohiko
LAGERGREN Marten
THORSLUND Mats
PARKER Marti
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| Project Period (FY) |
2014-04-01 – 2017-03-31
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| Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
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| Budget Amount *help |
¥15,730,000 (Direct Cost: ¥12,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,630,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥5,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,200,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥5,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,200,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥5,330,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,230,000)
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| Keywords | 高齢者福祉 / 後期高齢者ライフコース / 後期高齢者のライフコース / サービスコスト予測 |
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| Outline of Final Research Achievements |
This study was aimed to project the future costs trends of long-term care from 2010 until 2040, and to analyze the life course of old-old people in Japan and Sweden. Regarding the projection of the future cost trends two different scenarios were used: the first scenario based on a constant level of need for LTC by age group and gender, and the other based on a continuation of the present LTC need trends until 2025. For Japan this resulted in a projected cost increase of 93% for the first scenario and 80% for the second scenario. For Sweden the corresponding result was 52% and 24% respectively. The future individual states in terms of death, functional dependency, and level of LTC depends to a large degree on the initial state. 78-year-old persons who have no functional dependency and no LTC have a much higher probability to survive the next 10-15 years compared to people of the same age who already are dependent and in need of LTC services.
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Report
(4 results)
Research Products
(7 results)
