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General studies and applications for Treatment effect estimation under non-experimental studies

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26285151
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypePartial Multi-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Educational psychology
Research InstitutionKeio University (2015-2017)
The University of Tokyo (2014)

Principal Investigator

Hoshino Takahiro  慶應義塾大学, 経済学部(三田), 教授 (20390586)

Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥14,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥11,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,330,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥2,730,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥630,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥2,990,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥690,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥3,510,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥810,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥5,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,200,000)
Keywords因果効果推定 / 傾向スコア / 選択バイアス / 統計的因果推論 / 階層モデル / 一般化可能性 / 因果効果 / ベイズ / 準実験 / マルチレベル / 調整効果 / 調整変数 / 教育評価 / 異質性
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In this research, we re-defined and integrate several concepts and research designs used in psychological and/or educational sciences, such as quasi-experimental designs, hierarchical data (e.g., schools-classes-individuals), meta-analysis, panel studies in developmental sciences, or various designs in test equating, in terms of Rubin's causal model. Under the proposed unified framework, we specified the assumptions for the above models to be identifiable, and developed the estimation methods which are efficient and robust. We also applied the proposed methods to various real data analysis and found interesting implications, which confirmed the validity of the proposed methods.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Annual Research Report
  • 2015 Annual Research Report
  • 2014 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (37 results)

All 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014

All Journal Article (21 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 20 results,  Open Access: 6 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 9 results) Presentation (15 results) (of which Invited: 2 results) Book (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Bayesian Data Combination Approach for Repeated Durations under Unobserved Missing Indicators2018

    • Author(s)
      Ryosuke Igari and Takahiro Hoshino
    • Journal Title

      Computational Statistics and Data Analysis

      Volume: in press Pages: 150-166

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.csda.2018.04.001

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 中高生におけるインターネット上のいじめ被害と加害の関連性:大規模横断調査による検討2018

    • Author(s)
      浦野由平・大賀真伊・滝沢龍・星野崇宏・下山晴彦
    • Journal Title

      臨床心理学

      Volume: 印刷中

    • NAID

      40021628298

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Inadvertent Learning on a Portal Site: A Longitudinal Field Experiment2018

    • Author(s)
      Tetsuro Kobayashi, Takahiro Hoshino and Takashisa Suzuki
    • Journal Title

      communication research

      Volume: in press Issue: 5 Pages: 729-749

    • DOI

      10.1177/0093650217732208

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Predicting Purchases with Using the Variety of Customer Behaviors2017

    • Author(s)
      新美 潤一郎・星野 崇宏
    • Journal Title

      Transactions of the Japanese Society for Artificial Intelligence

      Volume: 32 Issue: 2 Pages: B-G63_1-9

    • DOI

      10.1527/tjsai.B-G63

    • NAID

      130005399525

    • ISSN
      1346-0714, 1346-8030
    • Year and Date
      2017-03-01
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] A Survival Analysis Incorporating Auxiliary Information by Bayesian Generalized Method of Moment2017

    • Author(s)
      Ryosuke Igari and Takahiro Hoshino
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese Society of Computational Statistics

      Volume: 30 Pages: 27-44

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] An out-of- pocket cost removal intervention on fecal occult blood test attendance.2017

    • Author(s)
      Tabuchi T, Murayama H, Hoshino T, Nakayama T.
    • Journal Title

      American Journal of Preventive Medicine

      Volume: in press Issue: 2 Pages: 51-62

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.amepre.2017.01.004

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report 2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Researchers’ choice of the number and range of levels in experiments affects the resultant variance-accounted-for effect size2017

    • Author(s)
      Okada, K. & Hoshino, T.
    • Journal Title

      Psychological Bulletin & Review

      Volume: 24 Issue: 2 Pages: 607-616

    • DOI

      10.3758/s13423-016-1128-0

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report 2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 効果的な効果検証?:非無作為化デザインによる刑事政策の因果効果の推定2016

    • Author(s)
      高橋哲・只野智弘・星野崇宏
    • Journal Title

      更生保護学研究

      Volume: 9 Pages: 52-74

    • NAID

      40021046205

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] “商品カテゴリー購買と複数ブランド購買の段階型同時分析モデル”2016

    • Author(s)
      宮崎慧・星野崇宏
    • Journal Title

      行動計量学

      Volume: 印刷中

    • NAID

      130006892753

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] “A national survey of psychology education programs and their content in Japan”2016

    • Author(s)
      Takashi Kusumi, Hiroshi Yama, Kensuke Okada, Satoru Kikuchi, and Takahiro Hoshino
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Psychological Research

      Volume: 印刷中

    • NAID

      120006398891

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] “Awareness and use of electronic cigarettes and heat-not-burn tobacco products in Japan”2016

    • Author(s)
      Takahiro Tabuchi, Kosuke Kiyohara, Takahiro Hoshino, Kanae Bekki, Yohei Inaba and Naoki Kunugita
    • Journal Title

      Addiction

      Volume: 111(4) Issue: 4 Pages: 706-713

    • DOI

      10.1111/add.13231

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] “Long-term Radiographic Evaluation of Risk Factors Related to Implant Treatment”2016

    • Author(s)
      Masakazu Hasegawa, Yasunori Hotta, Takahiro Hoshino, Koji Ito, Shinichi Komatsu, and Takashi Saito
    • Journal Title

      Clinical Oral Implants Research

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 10 Pages: 1283-1289

    • DOI

      10.1111/clr.12734

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Are Partial Workplace Smoking Bans as Effective as Complete Smoking Bans? A National Population-Based Study of Smoke-Free Policy Among Japanese Employees2015

    • Author(s)
      Tabuchi T, Hoshino T, Nakayama T
    • Journal Title

      Nicotine & tobacco research

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 5 Pages: 1265-1273

    • DOI

      10.1093/ntr/ntv115

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] ”反復横断データから消費者セグメントの構成比の変化・生成・消滅を理解するための潜在クラスモデルと段階推定法”2015

    • Author(s)
      加藤諒・星野崇宏・堀江尚之
    • Journal Title

      マーケティング・サイエンス

      Volume: 23 Pages: 35-59

    • NAID

      130005093510

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] “解釈レベルの操作を伴うコンジョイント測定法の開発:マーケティングリサーチに生じるバイアスの排除に関する実証分析”2015

    • Author(s)
      竹内真登・星野崇宏
    • Journal Title

      マーケティング・サイエンス

      Volume: 23 Pages: 15-34

    • NAID

      130005093515

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] “ユーザ別アクセス・パターン情報の多様性を用いた顧客行動の予測とモデリング”2015

    • Author(s)
      新美潤一郎・星野崇宏
    • Journal Title

      応用統計学

      Volume: 44(3) Pages: 121-143

    • NAID

      130005160396

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Developmental trajectories of social skills during early childhood and links to parenting practices in a Japanese sample2015

    • Author(s)
      Takahashi, Y., Okada, K., Hoshino, T. & Anme, T.
    • Journal Title

      PLOS ONE

      Volume: 10(8) Issue: 8 Pages: e0135357-e0135357

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pone.0135357

    • NAID

      120007136264

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 解釈レベルの操作を伴うコンジョイント測定法の開発:マーケティングリサーチに生じるバイアスの排除に関する実証分析2015

    • Author(s)
      竹内真登・星野崇宏
    • Journal Title

      マーケティング・サイエンス

      Volume: in press

    • NAID

      130005093515

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 教育・臨床実践のための介入効果の解析と評価2015

    • Author(s)
      安田節之・星野崇宏
    • Journal Title

      教育心理学年報

      Volume: 54

    • NAID

      130005095098

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 階層ベイズ動的サンプル・セレクションモデルによるWebサイトへの誘導とサイト閲覧行動の同時分析2014

    • Author(s)
      猪狩良介・星野崇宏
    • Journal Title

      日本統計学会誌

      Volume: 43 Pages: 185-214

    • NAID

      110009807031

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Complete Workplace Indoor Smoking Ban and Smoking Behavior among Male Workers and Female Non-smoking Workers' husbands: A Pseudo-cohort Study of Japanese Public Workers2014

    • Author(s)
      Takahiro Tabuchi, Takahiro Hoshino, Hitomi Hama, Kayo Nakata (Yamada), Yuri Ito, Akiko Ioka, Akiko Ikeda, Tomio Nakayama, Isao Miyashiro, and Hideaki Tsukuma
    • Journal Title

      BioMed Research International

      Volume: Volume2014 Pages: 9-9

    • DOI

      10.1155/2014/303917

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Presentation] 周辺情報を利用した因果効果推定法の改善2017

    • Author(s)
      星野崇宏
    • Organizer
      第8回生物統計ネットワークシンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      アクロス福岡(福岡県・福岡市)
    • Year and Date
      2017-03-27
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 準ベイズ法による補助情報を利用した欠測のある生存時間解析モデルの提案2017

    • Author(s)
      猪狩 良介・星野 崇宏
    • Organizer
      日本行動計量学会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 準ベイズ法のセミパラメトリックモデルへの拡張と欠測データ解析への応用2017

    • Author(s)
      猪狩 良介・星野 崇宏
    • Organizer
      統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 日本統計学会研究業績賞受賞者記念講演「研究デザインを活用した因果効果推定について」2017

    • Author(s)
      星野崇宏
    • Organizer
      統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 実験条件を増やすと効果量は小さくなる:「効果量ハッキング」の危険性とその対処法について2016

    • Author(s)
      岡田謙介・星野崇宏
    • Organizer
      第58回日本教育心理学会総会
    • Place of Presentation
      サンポートホール高松・かがわ国際会議場(香川県・高松市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-08
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 「参照価格とforward-looking を考慮した消費者の選択行動の構造推定」2015

    • Author(s)
      加藤諒・星野崇宏
    • Organizer
      日本マーケティング・サイエンス学会第98 回研究大会
    • Place of Presentation
      電通ホール(東京都港区)
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-12
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 「解釈レベル理論と消費者の選好変化 -二重過程・文脈効果との関連とマーケティングリサーチへの応用-」2015

    • Author(s)
      竹内真登・星野崇宏
    • Organizer
      行動経済学会第9回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      近畿大学(大阪府東大阪市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-29
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 「解釈レベル操作を伴う文脈効果状況下での商品選択行動の検討」2015

    • Author(s)
      竹内真登・星野崇宏
    • Organizer
      第51回消費者行動研究コンファレンス
    • Place of Presentation
      小樽商科大学(北海道小樽市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-07
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 「Online/Offline 購買における消費者の新製品学習行動モデル:チャネル間比較と関係性の把握」2015

    • Author(s)
      猪狩良介・星野崇宏
    • Organizer
      第51 回消費者行動研究コンファレンス
    • Place of Presentation
      小樽商科大学(北海道小樽市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-07
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 「購買行動データを用いた選択時における脈効果の定量的把握とモデリング」2015

    • Author(s)
      星野崇宏
    • Organizer
      第97回マーケティング・サイエンス学会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪府立大学(大阪府堺市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-14
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 「店舗レベルにおけるポイント販促弾力性と価格弾力性の決定要因-食品スーパーのチェーン全店データによる商圏分析-」2015

    • Author(s)
      星野崇宏・中川宏道
    • Organizer
      第65回 日本商業学会全国研究大会
    • Place of Presentation
      香川大学(香川県高松市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-31
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 「段階推定法を利用した潜在クラスの時系列的把握」2015

    • Author(s)
      加藤諒・星野崇宏・堀江尚之
    • Organizer
      日本オペレーションズ・リサーチ学会「数理的発想とその実践」第1 回研究集会
    • Place of Presentation
      金沢学院大学(石川県金沢市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-23
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 消費者の慣習形成を考慮したブランド選択モデルの構造推定2014

    • Author(s)
      加藤諒・星野崇宏
    • Organizer
      行動経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      慶應義塾大学三田キャンパス
    • Year and Date
      2014-12-06
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 行動経済指標による金融行動の個人差の理解2014

    • Author(s)
      竹内真登・星野崇宏
    • Organizer
      行動経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      慶應義塾大学三田キャンパス
    • Year and Date
      2014-12-06
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 多次元項目反応理論における関心下の次元のみの特性値推定とテスト情報関数の構成について2014

    • Author(s)
      星野崇宏
    • Organizer
      日本テスト学会
    • Place of Presentation
      帝京大学八王子キャンパス
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-31
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 欠測データの統計科学2016

    • Author(s)
      高井啓二・星野崇宏・野間久史
    • Total Pages
      232
    • Publisher
      岩波書店
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2019-03-29  

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